>>62120873
Isn't the best strategy to just scour people's profiles till you find an obvious insider trader and just copy whatever they do?
It is litterally the copy Pelosi strategy but in real time.

>>62120962
Can you share some inside trader profiles?

>>62121048
Hey man, Tyson is going to lose to Mayweather. You're welcome

>>62120873
Easy 14% if somebody wants big apy with little risk
https://polymarket.com/de/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027
Betting no on Fc Bayern winning Cbhampions League could be a good gamble.
https://polymarket.com/de/event/uefa-champions-league-winner

>>62120873
Unless you have insider knowledge, you aren't going to makeit with polymarket

>>62120873
scam alert

>>62120873
I saw the CEO for this on Fox Business and he looked and sounded really gay

>>62121120
You can if you find undervalued items to buy and sell them later at a bit higher price. I use this for scanning
[code]
function is_good(prices) {
if (len(prices) == 0) {
return false
}
let did_have3 = false
let did_have4 = false
let did_have3_second = false

let hi_price = maxn(prices, 10)
let lo_price = hi_price / 4 * 3

prices.each(price => {
if (price <= lo_price) {
if (did_have4) {
did_have3_second = true
} else {
did_have3 = true
}
}

if (price >= hi_price && did_have3) {
did_have4 = true
}
})
did_have3_second
}

function process(offset) {
events(100, offset).each(event => {
event.markets.each(market_info => {
try {
let market = get_market(market_info.slug)
let prices = price_history(market.Yes(), "1d").map(p => p.Price)
if (is_good(prices)) {
println(`Found good market: polymarket.com/market/${market_info.slug}`)
}
} catch(e) {
//println(e)
}
})
})
offset += 1
process(offset)
}

process(0)
[/code]

Was just about to make a thread. I have a Kalshi script I've been working on and it's actually profitable during my testing of buying/selling 1 contract over the course of a few days, but I'm really worried about buying and selling multiple contracts. I think that's the next biggest bottleneck. I started at $10.17, got up to $11.56 yesterday, and now I'm at $10.74. It's a slow process, but at least it's working.

>>62121374
I spent the last 2 days making a weather prediction model and it is just below the profitability line
(simulated on last 30 events with 1$ for each, got 10 wins and 28$)
The wins are pretty good on average. If I can somehow filter out the bad positions, maybe I can make it profitable.

>>62120873
'Nothing Ever Happens': This Bot Always Bets 'No' on Polymarket, And It Has a Point
Sterling Crispin's 'Nothing Ever Happens' bot automatically buys "No" on every non-sports Polymarket it finds. It's not that crazy.

lmao scammers

polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by-april-7-346

>>62121420
I trade on the 15 minute Bitcoin market, which is already full of bots. I can achieve a high win rate, but it's the losses that kill my profit. I'm buying at $0.50 just to sell at $0.75, but if it doesn't hit then I'm losing the majority of my money. Stop losses are difficult because the price of BTC can vary so much, so I set it to around 0.19 or 0.20 to retain at least a little money. I haven't tried other markets like weather, but I might start looking into sports since there's a lot of data available.

>>62121422
I would say 98% of the time my bot buys No, but I did have an occasional 'Yes' here and there.

>>62121521
Have you tried splitting the investments? Like investing 10% or 20% of the pool instead of all at once?

>>62121533
Right now I'm just buying 1 contract for testing, I want to run it for a month to see how it fares. If it does well I'll put in $100 and bet 20% at a time, and if that does well, then I'll move onto 1k.

I'm making an avg of $320 a day on this broken nigga. There is no part of the UI that isn't jeeted beyond belief. Surprised they even manage to show their logo graphic

>>62121727
>I'm making an avg of $320 a day on this broken nigga
how?

>>62121727
Also today the API sent fake order book prices for several hours. Some markets just say 404 if you try to visit the correct url in a browser. It's incredible. The worst coding of any online project in the history of the internet

>>62121732
My own bot. Makes a couple hundred bets each day when the conditions say I should expect positive EV. I am currently running 15 strategies, but some of them barely ever trigger

>>62121747
Why is everyone making a bot here

>>62121767
Because it feels good waking up to $1600 created out of nothing (my personal record for one night) that you can then send to your metamask and convert to hyperliquid for your make it stack

>>62121727
How much volume are you churning through for those returns? I have seen lots of profiles that must be using bots where they made like 30k in 6 months with a volume of a couple million dollars kek.

>>62122081
How do I even go about building a bot? Do I do weather? Or is bitcoin event easier? Or something else entirely.
I can't for the life of me get the weather model to work above 40%. Then again, I am doing a coastal city in Asia, maybe that is not the best idea since weather there is unstable

>>62120873
>>62121374
WTF there was already a thread: >>62119145
Started 14 hours before this one.