Thread #64914827
File: and iran so far away.jpg (319.7 KB)
319.7 KB JPG
(tactically speaking)
439 RepliesView Thread
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64914834
Not that I don't think the will is there but I don't think relying on the civilian population to rise up and take over is achievable in a country like Iran. Without outside influence they're probably gonna devolve into civil war as proxies fight for power.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64914842
Still an improvement.
But in seriousness, I get that. Just fuck doing it ourselves. We can prop up whoever sets up in Tehran first if we have to, or maybe we just leave the place in a pile of rubble, whatever. Trying to clean up Afghanistan after we broke it by accident didn't work out, so let's not try again.
>>
>>
>>64914854
Right but just bombing the shit outta Iran and fucking off isn't going to achieve anything either, infact it's just going to harbor more resentment and become another problem in the future to deal with. Unless the US has serious plans on backing somebody and have everything in place to begin after the bombings then what are we doing? If Trump's statement is anything to be believe from last night...he just wants to the local population to deal with the aftermath which would be a disaster.
>>
>>64914827
The only ethnic that one out are Azeris (biggest source of spy for Israel), Kurd and maybe Baloch. The rest is kinda don't really care. Iran biggest problem was rural who are biggest Khomeini supporters.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64914863
I'm serious but literally nobody fucking like the iranian regime, they literally have been protesting yearly since 2016 and just a month ago, the iranian government fucking killed ten of thousands of people just to end the massive protests after the economy exploded
American could storm in and burn iranian cities to the ground and the average iranian would hate the government more than anything
>>
>>
>>64914874
I know that and I understand that but what's the actual plan with Iran now? That's the worrying part because we haven't seen much happen after venezuela either. We took Maduro but his same shitty corrupt party is still in power so nobody's lives are getting any better over there. I don't want to be cynical about it but it's hard not to.
>>
>>
>>
File: IMG_2170.jpg (1.1 MB)
1.1 MB JPG
>>64914827
I wonder if Aliyev has ordered his General Staff to draw up "liberation" plans for Iranian Azerbaijan.
>>
>>64914867
There was no regime change in Serbia. It's still filled with the same genocidal fucks as back then.
Libya is 1% the size of Iran and already had a civil war and didn't have the same oppressive infrastructure as Iran. Iran like China and Russia is built on repression, the civilians don't have guns. It's that simple.
>>
>>64914881
I assume the plan is the same. Keep the existing government structure but bully them and force them to capitulate on policies at gun point. Foster a local opposition political party or movement that has a little more legitimacy than mere plants ie bring political leaders in exile. Force the existing government to leave them alone at gunpoint. Eventually force them to transition power at gunpoint, ideally in a democratic way. Use the existing regime as glorified scafolding for the new one.
It's basically an experiment in doing the opposite of nation building we saw in Iraq and Afghanistan. The planners behind it must have specifically analyzed why they failed and are testing if this will work instead.
>>
>>
>>
>>64914999
I feel like the issue with forcing the current regime to transition out of power via gunpoint is that they aren't corrupt mobsters like Maduro and his gaggle of retards. The Iranian regime are fucking horrible but they're also not going to take it lying down. I imagine they're gonna fight back as hard as their circumstances will allow them because it's existential in nature for them, they got nothing to lose. Also we're extorting the venezuelan's oil but what we benefit from toppling Iran is a little more abstract to define.
>>
>>
File: giant-of-kandahar-1-3844538902.jpg (459.7 KB)
459.7 KB JPG
>>64914888
as fanatic as they are, they know better not to rouse the giants that lurk beneath
>>
>>
>>
>>64915052
I mean it could work
There certainly not going to fight for it themselves but if it were to happen, i think they would be happy to find themselves in a economically stable country that doesn't force women to wrap there head in a black towel or forcefully troon you out for being a faggot
>>
>>
File: iranes eunt domus.png (217.5 KB)
217.5 KB PNG
>>64914827
>RIGHT, NOW DON'T DO IT AGAIN
That's it.
We leave.
We do not set a single foot in Iran.
Nor do we let them come in.
Nor do we give them any aid whatsoever. NONE.
Do not pass Tehran, do not collect 200 riyals.
We bomb them again if they threaten us again, that's it.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64915052
There isn't, but it wouldn't be a long shot to say that the relatively well equipped and battle experienced Azeri military could move in and take over the region, assuming there isn't much resistance from the locals.
>>
>>
>>64915078
Hell i'm pretty sure they could easily recruit, what would the people there rather have? a economy that actually work or a regime that have killed ten of thousands of people and will literally troon you out if your a faggot
>>
>>
>>
>>
the real issue is that our guys in the region are the liberalized urbanites and getting them to fight is going to be hard.
the hope id think is that the regular army flips, which is possible since the regular army does not like the irgc. Both are essentially the private army of warlords, the regular army was just big and strong enough to survive the revolution and so got integrated into the structure of iran. Their leadership is still the old elites. The irgc has economic dominance by using their share of conscripts for unpaid labor in various business ventures and the army elites might be looking at that and imagining it being them.
whatever the case i hope we just keep bombing irgc untill there are none left
>>64915069
they will always do it again they have lost touch with reality we just have to kill them.
>>
Obviously Iranian Azerbaijan should join with Azerbaijan, Iranian Kurdistan with Iraqi Kurdistan (de facto independent) and Turkish Kurdistan, Iranian Baluschistan with Pakistani Baluchistan (and together with India and Afghanistan put an end to the Pakistani experiment). Arabistan should have been Iraq's but after Saddam's failed invasion they don't want anything to do with Iraq, perhaps if they were offered more autonomy, but I suspect they'd rather be their own thing (low population and oil will make them another Kuwait).
>>
>>
>>
File: mystery zone.png (33 KB)
33 KB PNG
>>64914827
What goes on here?
>>
>>
>>64915817
Things that require the lack of habitation.
Seriously though, its either a desert or an arid mountain. The majority of the population is in Tehran along the banks of the Caspian Sea there.
>>64915137
What would you suggest that does not involve the US invading?
>>
>>
>>
File: file.png (3.1 MB)
3.1 MB PNG
>>64914827
Dropping guns and ammo
Popcorn
>>
>>64914881
>>64914999
>>64915023
The son of their last king has been in America for some time now. He's involved and reinstatement of the monarchy is likely to be the planned move. Hopefully it's a constitutional monarchy and not an absolute.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64915897
Nothing but stop dropping billions of dollars for the sole sake of Israël PM.
You can kill a bunch of assholes but bringing down a whole state is another kind of challenge. You won't do it with a bombing campain.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64916714
They're hated by every single country around them not for lack of reason. The Israelis take all the smoke for it, but SA and Kuwait fucking hate them, as does the UAE, and increasingly, Qatar. It was SA and Israel together that rapidly urged the preemptive daytime strikes to kill IRGC leadership on Saturday.
>>
>>
>>64916750
They're currently getting every single one of their military bases blown the fuck up. What power? When all their tanks, planes, artillery, and munitions stockpiles are rubble, it's only a matter of time before the retards in these units give up and desert. Exactly what happens in Iraq in 03. You fucking annihilate the brown retards with overwhelming force and show them that fighting means certain death, and their inherent sand-monkey instincts kick in and they run like cowards.
>>
>>
>>64914827
Who the fuck knows. There isn't any coherent plan here besides "they're weak now so let's fuck them up and hope they collapse". As much as I hate the regime in Iran, and while they are retarded in many ways, they're not going to be toppled by a bombing campaign. Both sides will sling shit at each other until they run out of ammo, which could be months depending on how the intensity holds up. And after all of this, it will still be the Islamic Republic of Iran.
>>
>>
>>64916788
Don't forget Bahrain, who just took a bunch of missile and drone strikes on random civilian targets. And Afghanistan, who have a huge water rights dispute with them. And Syria, whose new government spent the last decade fighting a dude propped up by them.
Iran is not very good at making friends.
>>
>>
>>64916714
They've been shitstirring the entire region and basically their only friend was Syria. Qatar, UAE, Iraq, SA (especially), Egypt, Kuwait, everyone else would have pissed themselves laughing if a nuke from Israel turned Tehran into a parking lot.
>>
>>
>>64916806
>they're not going to be toppled by a bombing campaign
No, but they can absolutely be toppled by a bunch of rebels fed up with their lack of power and water in the capital, who conveniently received a bunch of free guns and munitions from a mysterious merchant with a hook-shaped nose. The bombing campaign ensures that the regime cannot respond quickly and decisively as they did last time.
>>
>>
>>64914827
Convince the IRG and Military to surrender (hardest part)
Convince regional allies to form a Muslim led multinational peacekeeping force to stabilize the country while a transitional government is set up (possibly involve Palavi)
End sanctions, set up global aid and investment in rebuilding
>>
>>
File: Nissan-Qashqai_2010.jpg (115.1 KB)
115.1 KB JPG
>>64914827
The Qashqai must be free.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64914888
The IRCG is part of the upper strata of Iranian society; they're not the guys sitting in caves, they're the guys directing others to sit in caves. On top of that, have you looked at a population density map of Iran? There is a reason why over half of Iran is either uninhabited or very sparsely inhabited and it isn't because of an abundance of water and food.
>>
>>
>(tactically speaking)
Keep bombing until people forget about the Epstein files.
>>64916926
Edgy little kids love to behave in the opposite way to what their parent shave told them to whenever they feel their parents won't catch them doing so.
>>
>>64914827
Through succession or revolution, install a regime in Tehran that will play ball with America. Get them to stop funding every terrorist group in the ME, and then forge a peace between Israel, Turkey, and the Gulf States.
Long term, the U.S. receives friendly or at least acceptable regimes in the region capable of managing their affairs without massive U.S. commitment while also limiting China and Russia's access.
>>
File: Homelander.gif (1.9 MB)
1.9 MB GIF
>>64916926
Because we're Americans and we can do whatever the fuck we want!
>>
>>
>>
File: pringles sends his regards.png (9.3 KB)
9.3 KB PNG
hey can anyone tell me what the implications of rogue generals operating missile launchers completely independently are? iran is still strong guys right?
>>
>>
>>
File: its over.png (16.4 KB)
16.4 KB PNG
yea i've seen enough
if the pussies across the pond are finally stepping in to help, then it's truly done for the IRGC lmao
maybe we'll finally see some of that famous rafale technology i hear so much about from saars
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917074
>e what the implications of rogue generals operating missile launchers completely independently are? iran is still strong guy right?
I read they changed their operations directive after last year when Israel successfully stopped launches and now regional military commanders can authorize ballistic missile launches instead of relaying on central authority
>>
>>64917135
this
>>64917131
and also because they don't just keep to themselves but its very funny how you retards want to carry water for this regime acting like theyre just heckin wholesome good boys who dindu nuffin
>>
>>
>>
>>64917150
>and also because they don't just keep to themselves
That's because it an Israel, and by proxy America, are constantly killing fellow browns. To me it's understandable why they hate Israel. And if Iran is wrong for fucking around in the desert, then how is Israel not the same for genociding their muslim cousins? I'm not saying they are innocent, no one there is, I'm saying this is a pointless blood shedding that will only increase suffering.
>>
>>
>>64917177
The Iranian people dont give a fuck about Israel, Israel has made it apparent from day 1 they support the old secular regime that many Iranians like. Israel/Iran for a moment were friendly when everyone else in the region were violent islamists. Persians just wamt to grill.
>>
>>64917120
The source is some random Dunecoon Twitter account, anon.
If the UK, France and motherfucking Germany actually said "Yeah, fuck 'em, we're going to drop some bombs over yonder too, join in on the fun." you'd hear it in the news the world over.
>>
>>
>>
>>64917193
Here is one saying UK is already intercepting https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/uk-raf-shoots-down-iranian-drone-1782319
>>
File: 25830-1693087587-78561408.jpg (951.8 KB)
951.8 KB JPG
>>64917184
Really tragic stuff, here are the remains of some 10,000 rural Persians after getting vaporized by the goy beam.
>>
>>
File: 1772033301757396.jpg (27.3 KB)
27.3 KB JPG
>>64917200
>>
>>64917189
The entire Arab world hates Israel, even if their leaders love Israel now. I doubt only the Arabs, they are Arabs to me, in Iran like Israel. Most in the west do not like Israel, not to the same degree of course.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917212
Hearts-and-minds nigger boomers in the military brass that tried to play politics in war. Turns out just killing the leadership and decapitation of the military to the point where they can only impotently lob missiles everywhere is a sound strategy.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917235
>>64917225
They are Arabs, even if you do not like it.
>>
File: 15682638472842.png (69.9 KB)
69.9 KB PNG
>>64914827
4 more weeks
>>
>>64917131
>Why can't we just leave them to their sandnig ways?
Turns out when you keep exporting terrorism and giving advanced weapons, not just a couple crates of RPGs and AK, to people who go on to cause major headaches for the rest of the world, ie the Houthis and Hamas, you're going to get your shit slapped.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917231
Persia is free, this muslim government is more popular than any secular or monarch government that would be imposed from outside. They are just horrid people that need autocracy, like every part of the Arab world. Unless you want to genocide them all and replace them with Whites then this is pointless suffering.
>>
Iran and America are largely similar. If aliens came, disintigrated everyone in the Epstein files and left everyone else alone I dont think many Americans would be upset. Similar thing with the US killing off the IRGC and the extremists in Iran.
>>
File: dt1unawerahf1.jpg (37.7 KB)
37.7 KB JPG
>>64917203
Yeah, UK has some ship(s?) there and is helping defend the uninvolved as well as their own shit.
But there's absolutely no word of something like Du Gaulle joining in to bomb the place or any continental EU nation sending its own jets to get some practice from Arab airfields of US carriers.
Quite a far cry from "We are going to come in and destroy Iranian military capabilities as a defensive precaution."
Or at the very least I haven't seen it anywhere outside of the single tweet in Arabic that liveuamaps picked up on and anon reposted.
>>
>>
>>
>>64917189
>Persians just wamt to grill.
Persians are the people who ousted the old regime and turned Iran into what it is today. It was popular revolution, nearly bloodless due to its almost universal support that ousted the shah. People want to gaslight you into imagining every Iranian wants the government overthrown-this is untrue. There are a LOT of more liberal people in cities, and that's who gets the international attention. More or less you're seeing the opinions of Iran's Portland, and imagining the whole country supports their beliefs. It is untrue and acting on this false premise will lead to disaster.
It is important to separate ones personal beliefs from the matter. Westerners want to believe Iranians are well educated and support freedom and an open society. Some do. Many do not. It's the same deal with China. Why did Tienanmen square happen? A fool will say because the Chinese people wanted freedom. In reality, the Chinese people followed orders, gunned down their countrymen, and pretended nothing happened. Iran couldn't gun down tens of thousands of protesters if they didn't have an equal or greater number of supporters.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917288
they literally funded the syrain war on behalf of assad and sent billions in weapons to him to slaughter some 500k people you are such a massive fucking zigger faggot for this one
just kys
>>64917296
brown seething tankie
>>
>>64917286
Some do, yes. There are large numbers of Iranians who fervently support their government. This is no different from Afghanistan.
>bro everyone totally supports the northern alliance nobody likes the Taliban!
It's simply not true. They're not American. They do not by and large believe in freedom the way we do.
That doesn't mean we shouldn't bomb them. But an understanding of the reality of the situation is necessary, to prevent us from wasting two decades propping up a house of cards that will collapse the second we leave. Iran has done plenty to earn what it's getting now.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917302
Seeing that people were packing streets demanding regime change I think theyll do fine unlike Afghanistan where everyone begged Bush to let them install a monarchy and he said no. Iranians meanwhile are trying to modernize and genuinely dont want a theocracy getting in the way of their prosperity while all of the arab states are okay with it so long as a Muslim rules over them.
>>
>>64916714
>fund every single terrorist group running havoc in the entire middle east
>after your terrorist proxies all got BTFO you start directly escalating and threatening your neighbours with conventional war
I wonder
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917324
>Seeing that people were packing streets demanding regime
Those people are dead now.
>>64917336
Ok, so we're guilty of it-what is anyone going to do about it? Nothing? Well, shouldn't have started shit then.
>b-but that's unfair
lmao get airstriked retard
>>
>>64917280
You are glossing over the fact that military/security forces are staffed with the supporters of those that are in power. So there's an imbalance of forces that support/oppose governments and the side that oppose often needs way more people than the minority that supports in order to topple the regime
>>
>>
>>
>>64917303
If you theoretically dropped a bomb on the head of "every member of the regime", then sure, you might have regime change, but that's way easier said than done.
You underestimate how big a "regime" is. It's thousands and thousands of people. People keep falling for this stupid fucking fallacy that if you cut off the head you'll kill the snake, but that's not how most governments work, with a very few exceptions. A government is just a set of jobs. If you kill someone in one of those jobs, they just put some other guy in there and the machine keeps running. They have a bottomless pool of potential replacements, unless you're talking about genociding the entire country, which you might argue for on the Internet but isn't really feasible in real life. If you kill a bunch of them at once, it can cause some confusion, but that's why chains of command exist. You can hope to cause infighting between people that want the top jobs, but you can't count on that happening. And if there's someone who's really good at their job, you can kill him and hope the successor is more incompetent (see Qasem Soleimani), which can help but isn't enough to bring regime change all by itself.
The only time the "cut off the head" approach brings about regime change is when the regime is a thin and unstable minority ruling over a majority that hates them, and that's not true in Iran. And I hate to break it to you, but usually that's more true of the regimes we prop up than the ones we bring down.
>>
File: 1771627996705.jpg (52.5 KB)
52.5 KB JPG
Where are the tomcats? Are they safe? Are they alright?
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917280
>Iran couldn't gun down tens of thousands of protesters if they didn't have an equal or greater number of supporters.
This is turdie mentality. A legitimate regime doesn't need to gun down tens of thousands of its own people. Post hand and outlet now.
>>
>>
>>
File: IMG_20260301_163100823.jpg (225.7 KB)
225.7 KB JPG
>>64917524
Hand. Outlet. Gun. Now.
>>
File: Screenshot 2026-03-01 163343.png (220.3 KB)
220.3 KB PNG
>>64917120
Here's the real statement.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/joint-e3-leaders-statement-on-iran- 28-february-202
>>
>>
>>
>>64917481
This is such a smooth brained take. This isn’t cutting the head off the snake to kill the body. It’s smacking a dog on the snout to get it to stop it from digging in the trash. We tried the whole snake thing in Iraq with debaathification and it was a total failure. So we’re just forcing some organizational rearrangements and seeing how that turns out…also we have a snitch telling us where all these assholes are and we just have to kill his bosses and competitors to get what we want.
>>
>>64917489
>>64917511
Ok, even if you could bomb enough people to bring about regime change (which I think would basically require genocide levels of bombing we would never do in practice) what comes after that? How do you get a new regime that's better than the old one?
Unless the majority of the population sees you as liberators getting rid of a hated tyrant (again, not true in Iran despite what American media tells you, there are many who hate the regime but it's not even close to an overwhelming majority), you have two options: Either you stand on principles, allow them to hold elections and let the genuine will of the people be done--and they'll all be united on a platform of "Fuck those guys who just bombed us" so you'll be back to square one with an unfriendly regime. Or you install a handpicked regime that is friendly, and the people will hate them because you installed them, even if they try to rule well. They'll have to use repressive tactics to stay in power and rely on your support, which results in you having to spend money and soldiers on propping up a regime that is just as brutal as the one you tore down. We literally already tried that in the SAME FUCKING COUNTRY.
>>
>>64917296
>OMG why can't we leave the heckin' Qudsbros alone, bro?
>They have pissed off the entirety of the region and are a major player in making the Mid-East an unstable shithole
>OKAY SO WHY NOT BOMB THESE MUCH LARGER AND NUCLEAR-CAPABLE COUNTRIES THEN HUH
This is the most reddit whataboutism I've ever seen. Go back there, brownskin.
>>
File: ukfrancegermany.png (851.7 KB)
851.7 KB PNG
>>64917546
That's from two days ago, moron.
>>
>>
File: guneye.jpg (672.8 KB)
672.8 KB JPG
>>64917541
don't feel like it. Have an eye, a computer, and a gun.
>b-but that's not what I said
I don't take orders from glockniggers.
I know you're really invested into the propaganda that Iranians are just like us and value freedom and liberty and all that, but it's not true. Many of them do, many of them do not, and it's not our fucking problem.
>>
>>
>>64917587
>>64917546
Iran just bombed French troops and in an incredibly fast reply the CDG battle group is underway
>>
>>64917567
Yeah that's fine, but that's not the same thing as "bombing them into regime change". That's just "bombing shit until they swap out some people in leadership and promise not to make nukes or support terrorists anymore" but I wouldn't call that "regime change". They're not writing a new constitution or having complete replacement elections in that scenario. That idea is way more feasible though I still hate it because we're fighting an unconstitutional war with American tax money on behalf of the Jews.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917595
it's very simple anon.
Killing our enemies=good
wasting time pretending we can fix their shitholes=bad
if we stick to the first I think it's great. I just don't agree with the delusion that Iranians all hate their government and all support western intervention. They don't. It's not true.
>>
>>
>>64917614
Yeah and you're autistically focusing on the whole will-of-the-people angle while also desperately trying to downplay the real crux of the matter, that being Iran was an out and proud hostile nation-state to the west that was directly making things difficult for it and finally got to the FO part of FAFO. You're not fooling anyone.
Why would anyone be huffing over the key players of the Iranian regime being ousted for next to no cost and acting like they don't understand why it benefits the west? I'm not sure, some are saying you're a brown-skin acting on orders, I personally think you're just a buttblasted tankie from elsewhere.
>>
File: JVPITER.jpg (84.6 KB)
84.6 KB JPG
>>64917599
>YOU COULD HAVE HAD PEACE
>NOW YOU GET JVPITER
>>
>>64917623
No I'm not. I already said, Iran deserves this and it's a good thing we're not putting up with their bullshit anymore.
>some are saying you're a brown-skin acting on orders
Literally posted my fuckin eyeball, you blind or retarded or don't know what brown is?
I am simply capable of being fully correct, while you have to settle for being wrong.
>b-but the people have to want this and they have to support regime change otherwise we're the baddie
get over it faggot they hate us and always will. The people protesting are a tiny minority everyone else thinks are faggots in need of execution.
>>
>>
>>64917640
>No I'm not.
Please see >>64917336
>Literally posted my fuckin eyeball
There is literally no way of proving that's not something you yoinked from the internet you daft twat, and why would you even do that instead of your hand? Are you mentally ill?
>>b-but the people have to want this and they have to support regime change otherwise we're the baddie
You're doing it again.
Have a good one, Ahmed, or Chang, or whatever other ethnic name you go by.
>>
>>
File: saintuwu.gif (109.9 KB)
109.9 KB GIF
>>64917591
>Have an eye
What the actual fuck man, why are you posting an eye and not something that's easy and verifiable like a hand in front of your monitor?
Are you retarded?
>>
File: file.png (175.8 KB)
175.8 KB PNG
>>64917665
>There is literally no way of proving that's not something you yoinked from the internet you daft twat
I can keep doing it. How many pictures of the same eye do you think I have? An infinite number, since they're my eyes.
>please read
Why? I'm not interested in some retard's post.
>You're doing it again.
Being correct? I always am. Simply accept that I am and I'll stop. Yes, it's good that we're bombing Iran. No, the people don't support it.
>b-but you can't say that
I can, I did, and I'm correct.
>>64917652
That's Japanese you retard normalfag.
>>64917670
thanks
>>64917691
because if I do that anon will keep crying regardless. Post a non-brown eye or you're just a lightskin Indian.
>>
>>
>>
>>64917212
1) Intel wasn't as good. Remember, we kicked OIF off a little early because we thought we knew where Saddam was... but were wrong. And then he couldn't be found for the next couple months, despite lots of effort. It helps that the Ayatollah didn't expect the Spanish Inquisition and thought it was safe to have a big all-hands meeting in his fancy palace. It also helps that Mossad has apparently had the Iranian government thoroughly penetrated for years. And, of course, we have a lot more options in munitions and stealthy delivery platforms now, for a surprise deep strike.
2) W probably wanted to go for Iran--there were certainly some indications of it back in '03 and very early '04. But, there was a ton of political resistance to it, and then came the elections where being anti-war was suddenly a political cudgel wielded shamelessly by many of the same folks who had just been in favor of OIF before it had actually started. And after the elections, the insurgency (with different elements backed by Iran or by rich Sunnis and/or Sunni governments) kicked into high gear, and there certainly was no political capitol for dealing with Iran (despite all of the GIs Iran's insurgents killed).
3) As for the occupations, back then, the whole premise was that we didn't want to have any more 9/11s, and the best way to do that was to install local governments that would watch for and deal with local terrorists where we really couldn't. It wasn't talked about in government circles, but there was a fair bit of public opinion that Plan B was to start indiscriminate slaughter (e.g., nukes or massive bombing) to scare everyone into compliance. The carrot was viewed as far superior to the big, scary stick. The carrot didn't work (partly from being botched), but killing a few tens of thousands of jihadis (the "flypaper" strategy) *may* have had an effect.
4) If there's one thing Trump has demonstrated, it's that he knows how to cut Gordian Knots.
>>
>>
>>64917601
Nigga who fucking cares? As long as they stop propping up terrorist groups, stop fucking with shipping lanes, and stop trying to build nukes how is this anything other than a flawless fucking victory for the US? Extra credit if we get their oil instead of China because then we reduce their energy output by 20% without ever firing a shot at them kek.
>>
>>
>>
File: 1762956859307700.jpg (266.4 KB)
266.4 KB JPG
>>64917591
>D:\FVS\For shitp
>>
>>64914827
Just keep bombing them until something interesting happens. Full on coup by secular types (even just secular militarists, such as non-IRGC army formations) is most desirable. Even just a Syria style civil war cluster fuck will do, as long as Iran as we know it isn't a thing anymore. Lack of stability means Iran is no longer an organized threat, just a disorganized shithole of various factions including various Islamic extremists. These factions are a terror threat, but not a regional power with significant influence and as we've seen western governments have no problem with dealing with a foreign terror threat since it just means more domestic surveillance and authoritarianism.
>>
>>64917255
That's a fair point. Europe and Asia would have gone nuts and made every non-military effort to re-open Hormuz (i.e., appeasement for Iran and pressure for the US) if the straits had been closed. Now? Things are a little different, both on the supply side and on the demand side.
>>
>>64917701
>Being correct? I always am. Simply accept that I am and I'll stop. Yes, it's good that we're bombing Iran. No, the people don't support it.
anon you're really, stupidly hung up on this whole part when it's just a small component of why people are all for this shit going down, so either accept that the main argument peeps are making in here is that the Iran regime was fucking around with its terrorist funding and finally got its comeuppance after repeatedly not backing off from it or take your meds and leave us in peace.
>>
>>64917599
Well, regardless of whether they did it or not, Iran has long since deserved full retaliation from basically everyone around them. An unironic coalition of the willing with everyone in the region, most of EU/NATO and the US would be fully expected if it wasn't for how defensible Iran is.
I guess it takes someone brazen like Trump to get the ball rolling, but the issue is making everything stick hard enough to make the IRGC collapse for good, that's pretty much the reason why nobody went at it for so long.
>>
>>64917280
You left out the part where they ousted the Shah and then the mullahs came in and killed more people than the Shah had ever dreamed of. Oddly enough, kinda like the Russian Revolution, which was not started by nor won by the Bolsheviks, or the French Revolution, where nobody who started it wanted an Emperor to rule them, or the Mexican Revolution, ditto with Santa Anna, or...
History is full of the meanest and cruelest people seizing power when things get wobbly, and they're usually not the ones who started the revolt.
>>
>>64917131
Because, retard, their "sandnig ways" are directly benefitting other, more powerful states that are against Western interests and are also a major force behind other bullshit like the ongoing flow of refugees from areas that have been destabilized in large part by Iran's whims. Now, with the economy in shambles, a major uprising still close in the rearview mirror, and their proxies castrated, it's no wonder these strikes are happening. Think before you post.
>>64917296
Oh nevermind you're brown, lmao.
>>
File: 1752164566392003.gif (4 MB)
4 MB GIF
>>64914827
>So what now?
WE FUCK THEIR ASSES UNTIL WE MELT
>>
>>
>>64917720
no paying attention to such things please.
>>64917731
>why people are all for this shit going down, so either accept that the main argument peeps are making in here is that the Iran regime was fucking around with its terrorist funding and finally got its comeuppance after repeatedly not backing off
I already accepted that and said so myself. If you need me to say it again I will: we absolutely should be bombing Iran and we never should have tolerated their nonsense so long in the first place.
Are you happy now that I've said the same thing for the dozenth time? Did you finally read it?
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917193
it is in the news
>>64917271
the de gaulle is beIng moved to the eastern med from the baltics right now
>>
>>
File: EZNg2J0XYAIO68K.png (154.3 KB)
154.3 KB PNG
>>64917805
lmffaaaaooooooo good luck then bro
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: 1772298828617226.webm (852.5 KB)
852.5 KB WEBM
>>64917818
Some anon said something about a French airbase getting hit just before that thread got nuked. Can anyone substantiate that?
>>
File: 1772296091612124.png (413.5 KB)
413.5 KB PNG
>>64914827
>So what now?
Our next conversation with Iran will be with the new Iranian government. They could be a revolutionary replacement or a stand-in from the current power-structure that we permit to LARP as independent opposition while actually being anything but (Venezuela). It makes no difference to us.
We won't be talking to them until then. The strike will continue in the meantime.
>>
>>
>>64917825
correct, hard to find major news outlets that have extensive reporting on this yet, because it just happened, but a French naval base was hit (mildly) with a drone strike, and now JVPITER has just cause to enter the war. charles de gaulle carrier strike group on the way as we speak, which will bring the total up to 3 for coalition forces.
also, RAF has opened up two bases, including Diego Garcia, for US use and has started shifting assets in order to seemingly begin bombing of their own. no real news on what germany has decided to do, but mertz announced it alongside starmer and jvpiter.
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/france-deploys-its-aircraft-carrier-to -eastern-mediterranean-as-tensions- escalate/3845637
>>
>>64917845
It's very much in the interest of pretty much every other surrounding nation if Iran did a Syria and abandoned being a retarded dictatorship. It's pretty much the only way to quell the idiocy for any significant amount of time.
>>
>>
>>64917905
already happened
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5761746-b2-bombers-iran-strikes-cen tcom/
probably gonna happen a lot more
>>
>>64917845
The ball is in the court about how this'll do economically. I have no doubts we can make sure there's no major Iranian fuckery with the hormuz straits but that might not dissuade anxious insurance policy carriers and so on. I'd also expect Trump to charge the Gulf states for us protecting/clearing it.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917944
>Doesn't Russia want a refugee crisis in their country though?
>Where else are the IRGC and their bootlickers going to flee to?
Please let them into Russia and join the fight aaist Ukraine! I can't wait for my tax dollars to kill Russians AND Iranians and the same field of honor!
>>
>>
I'm aware there are a lot of moving pieces and fog of war stuff going on, but I'm still a little unsure of how we go from "Bomb Iran" to "Regime change". The leadership has certainly gotten got, but the institutions within Iran they led don't appead to have unravelled, and are talking about successors and acting leaders, so it feels like it will be a challenge to truly neutralise them. And given one of the chief aims these institutions were united in is repressing internal dissent I'm not sure how a more favourable faction is supposed to grab power.
t. Dumb person.
>>
>>64917967
You know how Iran has two militaries? That's because one's main job was to keep the other from revolting and killing leadership, and there's also the civilian populace. The regime change being aimed at isn't Western democracy, it's just for them to stop being retarded and fucking with global shipping and other forms of terrorism, which is a much more achievable goal from whoever wins out the power struggle
>>
>>64917967
Physically remove the government and military apparatus until either what's left agrees to disband itself or the people come out and do it for them.
Yes, it does sound ambitious. That's also why we are physically removing the government and military apparatus. Just in case.
>>
>>64917967
we're 48 hours into this campaign. we achieved air superiority very rapidly and are now working on air supremacy. in this phase of the war, the primary goal is destroying launchers, missile silos, the stored missiles themselves, and important signals intelligence assets. after that, you will probably begin to see targets shift to things like military bases, tanks, artillery, really any of the low value sitting duck assets that couldn't ever threaten an air asset. then who knows.
we've already started hitting some pretty important government buildings and blowing the fuck up out of military leadership.
>>
File: exterminate.gif (1.2 MB)
1.2 MB GIF
>>64917967
>>64917988
To put it less flippantly, "anarchy is fine too"
>>
>>64917980
Yeah, I'm not anticipating full westernisation or anything. I just wonder how durable and resiliant the current institutions are, and how much will it take for there to be a fracture in their current apparent unity. As long as they're coherent and united they might try a Taliban strategy of wait until America gets bored. And would America have the patience to adequately dismantle them enough to collapse without doing a Tacitus and call the desert a peace.
>>
File: Oh Canada!.jpg (1.7 MB)
1.7 MB JPG
>>64917711
We still haven't had anyone breach this highmark in a while though, it's just been pearl-clutching cowards and this makes me sad.
>>
>>
>>
>>64918022
Bruh we had laseranon and that's probably never being topped. A genuine felon schizo living in a junkyard in Alaska coping for his inability to (legally) own guns by going in on BP revolvers and, of course, lasers. He was fucking obssessed with getting the most powerful laser possible because he wanted nothing more than to blind federal agents or set them on fire. Then he vanishes forever because, as it turned out, he had a Glock and used it to kill his ex girlfriend and got put away.
>>
File: file.png (593.6 KB)
593.6 KB PNG
>>64917850
yeah
>>64917940
>>64917945
you need the other eye for your database dorks, here
>>
>>64918029
gee anon idk couldn't be the like 80 speeches given by US and Israeli leaders + the continuation of literally what occurred last year
i know it's really hard for brown retards to think further in advance than 10 seconds, but please try for your own sake
>>
File: 1771011539280784.jpg (89.1 KB)
89.1 KB JPG
>>64918029
I wouldn't worry about it.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917652
>chink letting in toolbar
>>64917701
>That's Japanese you retard normalfag.
I don't know Anon, looks like Simplified Chinese to me.
Simplified Chinese: 这就是中国能向其引以为傲的盟友提供的最佳援助吗?
Japanese: これが中国が誇りある同盟国に提供できる最善の支援なのだろうか?
>>
File: wrinkledflag.png (1.5 MB)
1.5 MB PNG
>>64918074
This guy.
>>
File: Best End.jpg (224.6 KB)
224.6 KB JPG
>>64914827
>>
File: Iran.png (25.2 KB)
25.2 KB PNG
>>64915128
I made a map
>>
>>
>>
File: file.png (259.1 KB)
259.1 KB PNG
>>64918089
>not knowing Japanese uses Chinese characters
tard
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATUpo33OvdA
>>64918089
not me
>>
File: Iran.png (49.4 KB)
49.4 KB PNG
>>64918139
With names
>>
File: hfj5yhfq.png (490.4 KB)
490.4 KB PNG
drop a bomb on this ones house. repeat until none left.
>>
>>64918181
>>64918139
Very nice, tho Kurdistan should include Iraqi and Syrian regions if it has Turkish ones
>>
>>64916806
>they're not going to be toppled by a bombing campaign.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_military_intervention_in_Libya
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64917967
It's mostly banking off of the secular army deciding it's best just to kill the IRGC and the other hardliners in the government. This will mostly depend on two things:
>they can confidently outmatch the IRGC/potential loyalists
The only way they'll go ahead with an attempt at regime change is if it ends in a (relatively) bloodless coup instead of a civil war. That's going to largely depend on how the strikes go and if they disproportionately target the IRGC.
>security assurances from America and friends
If a coup leads to a significantly worse national security situation, then it would be completely pointless. Trump has been hinting that he won't bomb them if they go through with it, but there hasn't been anything concrete as far as i'm aware.
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: Untitled.jpg (132.2 KB)
132.2 KB JPG
>>64917638
>>
>>
File: 4tltrifkxrhg1.png (592.4 KB)
592.4 KB PNG
so 9 ships subk, but which, all the biggest I assume
>>
>>
>>
File: guess.png (704 KB)
704 KB PNG
>>64918335
her's my guess based on what I would have gone for first, by tomorrow most of the rest of their large boats will be gone too
>>
File: sunsunkiranship.png (1.5 MB)
1.5 MB PNG
>>64918347
here's an image from this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8XHZm2VL-UY
can any anon match it to the chart?
>>
>>
>>64918008
The Taliban were sheltered and supported by Pakistan so they could afford to sit and wait for 20 years. The IRGC and hardliners don't have that luxury. On top of that, while the US had to build institutions from scratch in Afghanistan Iran already has functional bureaucracy and institutions that can continue to function under new leadership. And finally, the Taliban was able to continuously recruit because the average rural Afghani or tribal Pakistani is dirt poor with no prospects; Iranians, even poor rural ones, have a higher quality of life which isn't particularly conducive to getting people to live in caves for years and martyr themselves as long as the quality of life is maintained.
>>
File: Screenshot_2-3-2026_15052_www.thesun.ie.jpg (165.7 KB)
165.7 KB JPG
>>64918354
>>64918347
snother imsage from here
https://www.thesun.ie/news/16609661/us-forces-sink-iranian-warship-fur y-strikes-satellite-pics-show-smoke /
>>
File: Stroke Trump.png (881.2 KB)
881.2 KB PNG
>>64914827
>Inspire massive Iranian protests with claims that you'll back them up
>Don't back them up and let Iran kill all of the protestors
>Months after they're dead and buried, launch a war that strategically entirely hinges on the dead protestors rising up and taking power
>They're all still dead and nobody's rising up
>Uhh, okay okay, maybe the infamously devout and hardline IRGC will make peace with you after taking power? Like in corrupt disloyal Venezuela
>Oh shit instead they're escalating the war and there are revolts in Bahrain and Pakistan now
I think this is the dumbest, least necessary big war we've ever fought.
>>
File: ea9c881a-5a86-4d62-a75e-e95817623741.png (1.8 MB)
1.8 MB PNG
>>64918363
thanks found it
>>
>>
>>
>>64914827
I think the Shaheds are going to be a problem over the coming days / weeks / months / YEARS. If I were Iran, I'd bunker down for a protracted war of attrition with those things. Trump is saying he's going to keep bombing but those flying lawnmowers are cheap, easy to produce, and I don't see why Iran can't keep launching them at U.S. bases around the Gulf. I have confidence that Iran can't prevent the U.S. and Israel from gaining and maintaining air superiority but I don't have confidence the U.S. and Israel can halt Shahed production without actually invading Iran with ground troops, and those forces are not in the region in anywhere sufficient numbers to do that. Saw a video of one of them exploding at a base in Kuwait. Like you'd think the U.S. military would have more gun trucks like the Ukrainians but I suppose we're going to have to learn the hard way. Well, not a moment too soon at any rate.
>>64917967
>>64917481
Yeah, like Iran is not Venezuela. The government is bad (don't let clerics run your society) but think they have more of a real deep state there. Homer Simpson understood this:
https://youtu.be/dpEF6QPSVJE
>>
>>64918382
The combined strike force is disrupting the Iranian navies’ ability to attack international shipping and US Navy vessels as part of the effort to degrade Iran’s retaliatory capabilities. An Israeli OSINT account reported strikes on the IRGC Navy frigate Jamaran, as ISW-CTP reported in its February 28 Morning Update.[39] The Jamaran is a Moudge-class frigate.[40] The Jamaran previously seized two US unmanned surface vessels in September 2022 and operated around the Red Sea during at least parts of the Houthis’ campaign against international shipping during the October 7 war.[41] Vantor separately captured satellite imagery of what appears to be an Alvand-class frigate on fire in Konarak, Sistan and Baluchistan Province (see below). Alvand-class frigates are the largest surface combatants that Iran has.[42] Iran had three Alvand-class frigates prior to the current conflict.[43] The remaining two Alvand-class frigates are moored in Bandar Abbas, Hormozgan Province.[44] The imagery shows that two Bayandor-class corvettes were moored next to the Alvand-class frigate. ISW-CTP assesses that the two Bayandor-class corvettes are the IRIS Bayandor and IRIS Naghdi.
>>64918382
>>
>>
File: @UK_MTO.jpg (178.5 KB)
178.5 KB JPG
>>64918382
>>64918393
The Iranians hit four tankers today.
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: @CENTCOM.jpg (364.8 KB)
364.8 KB JPG
>>64918354
>>64918363
>>64918382
>>64918397
>>64918403
CENTCOM claimed it's a Jamaran-class corvette
https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/2028115452036022614
>>
>>
>>
File: WP_20210908_01.jpg (265.5 KB)
265.5 KB JPG
>>64918303
Sir, I work on steam trains for a living, I have no need for a suit since my wedding.
>>
>>
>>64918400
It's definitely a reason, but I don't know if Trump intends for it to go on that long. That said, he might not have a fucking say in the matter since it seems Iran is intent on reestablishing deterrence and trying to make us take enough casualties to think twice next time.
>>
File: SUNK.png (146.4 KB)
146.4 KB PNG
>>64918408
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64918434
>my condolences to jamaica
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqVy6eRXc7Q
>>
>>64918331
>>64918347
Do you have links to these? Because the only one I know about (I was at work all day) was the corvette from yesterday. Which actually now that I look you haven't even marked off...
>>
>>
>>64918439
>Do you have links to these?
>>64918354
>>64918366
>>
>>64917870
>charles de gaulle carrier strike group on the way as we speak, which will bring the total up to 3 for coalition forces.
I doubt it will be for anything substantial regarding Iran itself. It will help having another carrier in the area, but don't expect any bombardment mission or whatever. France has a defense treaty with the United Arab Emirates, so it's likely there to help for defense. UAE already had to intercept more than 200 missiles and drones aimed at them, and one can assume stockpiles of interceptors are not infinite. A little help is always welcome, and France will honor their words. Something ziggers and BRICS turdies can't even conceptualize.
>>
>>
>>
File: B2.jpg (213.3 KB)
213.3 KB JPG
>>64918390
>I think the Shaheds are going to be a problem over the coming days / weeks / months / YEARS. If I were Iran, I'd bunker down for a protracted war of attrition with those things.
The US and Israel aren't Ukraine or Russia, they have air supremacy over Iran right now and can just bomb every single factory and wharehouse inside it.
>>
>>64918423
>he might not have a fucking say in the matter since it seems Iran is intent on reestablishing deterrence and trying to make us take enough casualties to think twice next time.
Zero chance they accomplish this. It'll end when Congress grows balls or Trump gets Article 19'd or he leaves office for other reasons.
>>
File: NgLhEAH.jpg (132.2 KB)
132.2 KB JPG
>>64918450
>>
>>
>>64918464
No onew likes Iran anywhere
this is long overdue.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/HCgUD9QSqd8
>>
>>64918390
there aren't going to be more Shaheds you retard. not to be used against the region or sent to Russia. years? yeah okay what other claims do you want to throw out now before literally everyone dogpiles over the next month.
>>
File: Poll.jpg (114.5 KB)
114.5 KB JPG
>>64918502
Having a realistic view of the situation doesn't suddenly make me not American.
I refuse to behave like a fucking zigger coping away every potential setback.
>>
>>
>>
>>64918497
Man, if only we had complete air dominance and could hunt TELs and other launch sites like it's 1990 and we're chasing down SCUDs, except this time with 2026 IRST elements. Oh, wait, we can? Golly, that sounds like it'll be a problem for Iran's attempts to launch further strikes, not to mention they're depleting their missile stocks far faster because they're being destroyed before launch by those same planes.
>>
>>
>>
>>64918523
US>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Israel
Iran made the big leage just like it always hoped and dreamed it would. The US will flatten every military asset there. You're vision of them keeping missile resources sufficent to degrade the interceptor stockpile of the US milirary while being bombed by most of the US air force is outright nuts. They will be lucky if they have bows and arrows by next weekend.
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: 1767432753720439.png (897.8 KB)
897.8 KB PNG
>>64918531
Okay, and?
>>
File: 1744482366326321.png (102.2 KB)
102.2 KB PNG
>>64918523
>Except Israel did that throughout the 12 Day War and it didn't stop launches.
It reduced Iran to barely double digit launches per 24 hour period by the end of the 12 Day War, and that was with only Israel's airforce operating over Iranian airspace. You're the same fucking retard who was arguing that it wasn't impossible for Iran to somehow destroy every US base in the area which is why the US was acting with restraint, only to find out that they couldn't and Iran was living by the virtue of the Western world's mercy while the thread was quite literally still up.
>>
>>
File: 1772392838340980.jpg (96.2 KB)
96.2 KB JPG
>>64918556
There were three ship above water here yesterday evening
>>
File: 1686780111230060.png (653.9 KB)
653.9 KB PNG
>>64918513
cope is not realistic. navy is gone. air force is gone. there is no AA. there will be no more shasneeds to use and Russia has lost this supply chain in total. the state is decapitated and we know it is bad as their fragmented military spit out what they did have in all directions pissing literally everyone in the region off who are now vowing to participate.
realism is accepting that stability may not come to the region and something worse can happen over time. but that's not what you are saying you're making up bullshit and posting charts I didn't read.
>>
File: 1772410815088256.jpg (87.5 KB)
87.5 KB JPG
>>64918556
life must be a continual disappointment for you
>>
File: @LittleMoiz(2).jpg (461.3 KB)
461.3 KB JPG
>>64918557
30 being "barely double digit" is a bit hyperbolic, no?
>only to find out that they couldn't and Iran was living by the virtue of the Western world's mercy
Except now bases in Iraq, Kuwait and Bahrain are on fire and Iran's still firing missiles in drones.
I don't know what the fuck you're getting so defensive for. This must be how the few sane Russians felt on 24 February 2022.
>>64918564
Three Corvettes =/= Half the Iranian Navy. It doesn't even = half their Corvettes.
>>
>>64918570
\He should have tried taling about the minine the srait of hormuz but no, Iran will magically emerge from this with enough muissile systems to deplete US interceptor stcks without cosiderig the minute they launch, the whole launch site and everyone and everything in it gets obliterated and cannot continue to function,
>>
>>64918570
>>64918573
Can you guys say more stupid shit with future timestamps like this guy so I can re-post your posts when it doesn't happen and laugh just like I did with the russkis? That was the funnest part of their respective weird jingoistic unstrategic seething.
>>
File: images jh(50).jpg (11.9 KB)
11.9 KB JPG
>>64918583
you're talking absolute hyperbolic turdie garbage anon,
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: 1772414873407255.png (218.4 KB)
218.4 KB PNG
>>64918585
>>64918586
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-strikes-2026/card/iran-s-securit y-chief-makes-fresh-push-to-resume- talks-with-u-s--Mi0JcWnvsfO50qKwPcK 8
cry about it.
>>
>>
>>64918595
I won't be prooven wrong, over the next month there won't be an Iranian military left to do anything let alone pose a threat to US assets.
You can't hide large surface vessels from satellites either. Irans navy is absolutely doomed.
>>
>>64918604
>>64918593
>because Iran will probably capitulate before we even make 72 hours
>>
>>
>>64918595
>Are you going to blush like a school girl when 72 hours comes and goes and Iran is still firing missiles and drones, or will you erase this conversation from your mind as a form of cope?
What will you do if the opposite comes to pass?
>>
File: ssstwitter.com_1772420843863.webm (493.7 KB)
493.7 KB WEBM
new footage
https://x.com/CENTCOM
>>
>>64918626
The United States of America, as said.
Again, you seem to think that everyone from their country has to act like a zigger for their country.
I never even defended Iran; I only said they were aiming to restore deterrence and that it was possible for them to.
>>64918629
I'll at least know that my predication was based on logical conclusions from the information I had at the time. Nobody's actually tried to argue my points and has instead just resorted to ad homs and hyperbolic statements.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64918637
>Nobody's actually tried to argue my points
that's because they are laughably shit
< Russia fucked up so the USA will!
>Iran will have cast stocks of missiles left and a functioning navy and airforce after the US air campaign!
big yeah
>>
>>64918637
>I'll at least know that my predication was based on logical conclusions from the information I had at the time. Nobody's actually tried to argue my points and has instead just resorted to ad homs and hyperbolic statements.
You didn't really answer my question.
I will make you a deal: I just walked into the thread but I'll go back and try and read your posts if you'll just goodfaith engage with my question.
>>
>>
>>
File: hop-on-the-cycle-frontier.gif (148.3 KB)
148.3 KB GIF
>>64918664
>>
>>64918664
>What are your thoughts on Kim of North Korea
His daughter is kinda cute. That is the best I can give you.
>is he a fat tard of no value to humanity?
Easy yes
>why do you post exactly like norktard?
I don't know, but I don't think I really do. Also, he's an idiot who thinks he knows more than he actually does and says some of the most retarded shit and doubles down when you present counter info.
>>
>>64918653
Look up the definition of capitulation, ESL.
>>64918655
>< Russia fucked up so the USA will!
That isn't my point
>>Iran will have cast stocks of missiles left and a functioning navy and airforce after the US air campaign!
Low estimates for Iranian ballistic missile stores are at ~1,000. If you fucking knew anything about the subject you'd know that. Their air force and navy are also irrelevant on the subject of deterrence. Iran's only means of deterrence are it's missiles and drones, which I already said.
>>64918656
I don't really see how I didn't answer your question. You asked what I'd do, I said what I'd think about it because it isn't really a scenario wherein I do anything other than reflect, and what I posted are the reflections I'd make.
What do you think I should do if my vague prediction is wrong? Your question is strange.
>>
>>64918683
>>64918655
>< Russia fucked up so the USA will!
>>Iran will have vast stocks of missiles left and a functioning navy and airforce after the US air campaign!
>big yeah
those are your points right?
>>
>>
>>64918689
>Your question is strange.
Legitimate question: Where are you on the spectrum?
>>64918692
Why are you replying to me? All I did was address your questions and none of my answers had anything to do with Russia, USA, Iran, missiles, navies, or air campaigns. You're about to schizo out, aren't you?
>>
>>
File: 200w.gif (199 KB)
199 KB GIF
>>64918689
>Low estimates for Iranian ballistic missile stores are at ~1,000.
No no where's my tel launcher!
>>
>>64918701
They're not only firing missiles; they're firing drones as well.
>>64918705
>Legitimate question: Where are you on the spectrum?
So you ask me to engage in goodfaith and then proceed with this bullshit?
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64918390
>>64918497
Good points to be honest, so how is it possible to wage a war of attrition when your logistics can be bombed but the enemy's cant?
>>
>>64918714
>So you ask me to engage in goodfaith and then proceed with this bullshit?
Well, one, that was under the pretext that you would answer my question. Which as I said you failed to do.
Secondly, and more importantly, its a genuine question, not a veiled barb.
>BECAUSE YOU ARE ASSUMING THAT ENOUGH MISSILES WILL...blahblahblah
You have me confused with someone else. Take a breath and check your reply chains. I literally don't even know what claims I am supposed to have made (or what point you are trying to make) as I haven't even read that part of the thread. You reply to me with more schizo shit and you just aren't gonna get a reply.
>>
>>64918720
>>64918720
>he 12 Day War
and was the US airforce and navy massively comitted to that? No. spot the difference.
>>
>>
>>64918726
Fucking christ I forgot to link you here >>64918740
The second part is clearly meant for you.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64918737
Cheers big ears.
>>64918740
>Well, one, that was under the pretext that you would answer my question. Which as I said you failed to do.
Except I literally did, and you have failed to explain how I did not. There is no world in which what I said does not constitute an answer to your question.
>>BECAUSE YOU ARE ASSUMING THAT ENOUGH MISSILES WILL...blahblahblah
That's a different anon chimping out thinking you are me. It's you who has to check your reply chains.
>>
>>
File: WP_20210905_002.jpg (843.5 KB)
843.5 KB JPG
>>64918758
I am not a furry.
>>
>>64914881
>I know that and I understand that but what's the actual plan with Iran now?
Hopefully the "plan" is to do nothing inside Iran (and Venezuela, etc.) and let them sort it out themselves and as long as they stop being retards, we won't bomb them again.
20+ years in Afghanistan and Iraq trying to fix it _for them_ got us nothing, the best policy is to bomb them if they get uppity but otherwise let them be.
>>
>>64918753
>Except I literally did, and you have failed to explain how I did not. There is no world in which what I said does not constitute an answer to your question.
Okay, I'm not going to argue with you. If you don't want to engage, then I'm just not going to reply to you after this post. I genuinely tried; tell yourself whatever you like.
>That's a different anon chimping out thinking you are me. It's you who has to check your reply chains.
Yeah, I know, that's why I instantly fixed it a couple of minutes before you even replied to me. >>64918744 But you saw that and just wanted to try and dunk on something easy. Good job on your part, you win.
>>
>>64918763
>I genuinely tried
You didn't try at all. You asked a vague confusing question, claimed I didn't answer when I did, and refused twice to elaborate on what it was you wanted.
>But you saw that and just wanted to try and dunk on something easy
No, I only look at (You)s. You did not (You) me.
>>
>>
>>
>>64918763
>>64918767
Oh, and I should add, you ad hom'd on your first refusal to elaborate.
I tried engaging with you but you keep dodging me while claiming I'm not trying to engage. I'm as open to talk as ever but go be a fucking weirdo somewhere else if you wanna keep being weird. Tell me what you want or fuck off.
>>
>>64918753
Can you explain exactly how can Iran wage a long term war of attrition when western forces have free reign to destroy its wharehouses, ammo dumps, factories, bunkers and command centers freely while it can barely damage some bases?
>>
>>
>>
>>64918777
>>64918782
>Okay, I'm not going to argue with you. If you don't want to engage, then I'm just not going to reply to you after this post. I genuinely tried; tell yourself whatever you like.
>>
>>
>>
>>64918786
>12 Day War
No one would be as confident as they are if it weren't for what a non threat Iranian missiles turned out to be during that conflict. People are ignoring it because they don't believe you believe the 12 War is an example of how Iran can attrit the US, Israel, and now France, Britain, and the Gulf States.
>>
>>64918873
France, Britain and the Gulf States are absolutely not going to get directly involved. That just shows how little you know on the subject.
Look at a map showing U.S. bases in the Middle East. Compare them to Israel. If you don't feel stupid, then look at it until you do.
>>
>>64918884
Are you retarded? The Charles DeGaulle is steaming to the Eastern Mediterranean as we speak. Britain has stated its intent to participate and cities in the Gulf States were attacked; they are going to respond. US bases were already evacuated before this even began. No one is afraid of Iran. The damage they did to Israel last year was pitiful. They are now facing a coalition, which they themselves worked to expand, that is considerably more numerous and powerful, while starting from a considerably weaker starting point. Iran is screwed.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: 1772426790378764.png (14.5 KB)
14.5 KB PNG
>>64918940
they're trying to
>>
File: 413b43827ff3576d53d9900f51e869a4affb8eac.jpg (55.3 KB)
55.3 KB JPG
>>64919034
They're not trying hard enough, so I don't believe them.
>>
>>
>>64917487
>>64917500
>anger
*epic fury
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
File: NATO qt.jpg (215.2 KB)
215.2 KB JPG
>>64917131
>Their people support their current government
How do we know this if they haven't elected it in free, universal and fair elections?
Non-democracies are not legitimate and should be dismantled if they pose a threat to others.
>>
>>
File: 1772436918092859m.jpg (54.9 KB)
54.9 KB JPG
>>64919439
It's possible that Ben is already dead.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>64918593
I don't think they'll capitulate over 72 hours but Iran cannot win an extended fight in a way that actually ensures they get anything out of it. Sure, maybe the government will still exist but they'll be back at square 1.
>>
>>
>>64914827
I mean judging by the map and knowing that they are mostly all Shia, how are you going to exploit that? Whatever you prop up is going to have to be shia muslim aligned if you want it to succeed at all. Correct me if I am wrong, but isn't the main resentment from the people in Iran based on urban/rural divide and a disagreement of government involvement in daily life? Basically a general "wish we didnt have a corrupt dictatorship, but we do" type of thing?
What are you going to do with that? Arm the "progressives" who are still shia muslims? Tbh we probably pissed them off when we took out all those school girls in the strikes.
If the government of Iran is always saying we are the great satan, the great satan is coming to kill you and the civvies watch us blow them up- doesn't that kind of prove their point? Sure, vast majority of targets are IRGC. But still, to be intervening violently in any way when state run media calls you the great satan doesn't really look good on you.
If there are reformers or rebels that gain influence and authority, constantly bombing whoever Israel says to bomb is going to get some of them killed too. You want to be friends with the new government, not murderers of them.
On one hand you could say that the killings conducted by the government bolster the regime change position, like hey, people of Iran- we took out those bastards that ordered your unceremonious executions at the protests! But at the same time the regime could make the argument that those protesters enabled the attacks from the great satan and that they were just trying to protect Iran by taking them out.
Who knows. All I know is that this is very expensive and will only get more expensive if we do any actual invasion operations and I'm sure EVERYONE on /k/ knows how dumb it would be to try to run logistics through Iranian mountains or dislodge Iranian defenders in those same mountains.. which is most of the country.
>>
File: Iran.png (896.9 KB)
896.9 KB PNG
>>64914827
I would ask what now strategically speaking.
Iran at one point was much more westernized and shah from the time pushed strongly towards US and capitalism and than Islamic revolution succeeded. Similar thing happend with Iraq and ISIS, Afghanistan and Talibans and so on, there are other examples. Strong US intervention is usually followed by renewed fervor among Islamic fundamentalists. What leads to new prolonged conflicts or even 9/11 when they are at the top of their game.
So what is the strategic plan here ? How does US plan to prevent emergence of Islamic fundamentalists.
>>
>>64919034
If only
"resume nuclear talks" means going back to just before the attacks.
Which means going back to Iran saying no to anything beyond limiting enrichment (But the IAEA can't go here, here and here and for anything else we need a month's notice in advance)
>>
>>64918213
I'm boomer enough to have followed this as it happened. By the time the bombing campaign started, Libya was already in full blown civil war with half the country occupied by rebels, including Benghazi. So a very different situation to the current war, where there is no cohesive resistance movement and, so far, not so much as single village out of government control.
>>
File: iranian_tel_live_reaction.webm (3.7 MB)
3.7 MB WEBM
>>64918720
>Apparently all over the fucking place since they keep firing the fucking things
You'll note that videos of the destroyed units show the TELs deploying/mid-erection (lol) with crew, or just-fired with no crew in sight. There is 0 (zero) signs of reloading, shoot-and-scoot, etc going on in any case.
This would imply crews have been informed to completely abandon everything upon firing just once. Meaning the very-short-term bottleneck for Iran isn't TELs, nor missiles, but crews to operate and deploy the systems.
>>
>>
>>64916926
They have some attempted assassinations on American soil with one car bomb detonating but failing to kill its intended target or it’s driver. They were also a massive enemy in the war on terror. From 2003 to 2011, 17% of all U.S. troop deaths were directly attributable to Iran