Thread #533371943
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Day: 11 of the 14-day ceasefire™ period
Day: 49 of the 1 day Special Military Operation to Decapitate Iran™
Trump War Tantrum / Cope Counter: 30+ https://litter.catbox.moe/f0hmqh.txt
▶RECENT:
>FRIDAY TruthSocial PUMPnDUMP. Contradictions GALORE.
>Trumps statements are not confirmed by the opposing parties, both Israelis and Iranians.
>A new round of US–Iran talks is expected to take place in Islamabad, Pakistan, on Monday, APR 20th, according to CNN, citing Iranian officials.
>Israelis are not happy about the rumors of peace and started complaining again.
>Conflicting reports of the strait being open. Iran claims they are open to prevent Israel attacking Lebanon, while Trump claims Lebanon is not part of the deal.
>Intense Israeli artillery shelling of Khiam, Debbine and southeast Lebanon, less than 30 minutes into the ceasefire.
>Lebanon ceasefire went into effect, APR 16th 21:00 UTC.
>US & Iran ceasefire is set to expire on April 22.
▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
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>>533371943
welcome to /pig/
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>>533371932
Time is definitely on Iran's side, which is why I expect the US to go on the offensive in the coming weeks.
The market manipulation is not merely a tool for the insiders to profit, it also serves to soften the blow when news hits that war has resumed.
>>533372017
There wouldn't have been a ceasefire if it were not for the Chinese pressuring Iran.
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>>533372017
Chinaaa!!!
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>>533372047
>There wouldn't have been a ceasefire if it were not for the Chinese pressuring Iran.
They are pressuring because we're at a very critical point where a lot of people are going to suffer for the incoming oil shortage. China is trying to desperately be the moral fag in the situation. And that's not exactly bad but you're dealing with America and Israel the most immoral degenerates that basically want to kill everyone to either make a profit or create the greater Israel. Eventually you can't take the high road anymore. This shit can't go on.
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>>533372017
Actually true, they have been extremely restrained. This is pushing the limits of the Daoist do nothing and win policy however. I don’t think the great satan realises how close it is to China stepping in and telling them to stop being gigantic cunts or else.
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>>533372055
THE JEWS HAVE FLED INTO THE VENTILATION SHAFT
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>>533372243
I wish the poor bastards wouldn't risk trying to get back to their homes knowing how insane the IDF is but jesus christ I would probably run back to my home to try and salvage what I could too if I was in that situation just to grab at least some sentimental things before they're torched. Israel is so fucking evil.
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Yids rape kids
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>>533372322
israel gencoided the city tyre of christians, something muslims didn't manage in centuries
all with US means and support
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>>533371930
Not sanctioned using your TankerTrackers source
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:755070/mmsi: 636014909/imo:9447574/vessel:FPMC_C _LORD
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:459665/mmsi: 305021400/imo:9351816/vessel:BHAGYA _LAXMI
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:7168652/mmsi :229770000/imo:9935569/vessel:AKTI_ A
And as far as toll is concerned, I'm convinced they aren't collecting any. There is simply no evidence of any effective toll collection system. Iran has also said they aren't charging India at all. If they aren't charging India presumably because they consider them friendly, who are they charging? It's clearly not a universal, impartial toll system then, if it exists.
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I've given up trying to figure out what the fuck is happening with this war. There is a ceasefire. There is no ceasfire. There's a war. There is no war. It's closed. It's open. There's a blockade. There isn't. They're pulling out. They're invading. It's completely tiresome and baffling.
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>>533372622
they can win the genocide not the war, same as after the gaza ghetto uprising on october 7
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>failed to capture Bint Jbeil in 2006
>failed to capture Bint Jbeil in 2026
Stay classy, zhids
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>>533372800
israel ethnically cleansed palestine and displaced the muslims into lebanon, then they funded and supported a christian milita to ethnically cleanse the muslims, in response a muslim shia resistance movement called hezbollah got founded
gaad sad always tells you what happened to him but never why
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War's over boys, pack it up. The regime sure did change.
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>>533372854
yes but not for the reasons you might think. having jews next door fueled muslims to fuck like rabbits for the next wave to prepare for jihad. Lebanese Christians are relatively safe and had France on their side, kind of.
also, the Syrian war dumped a shitton of muzzies into the mountains of Lebanon where they get UN support and spend their time whoring and breeding.
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Most of the tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz this morning are all linked to Iran/Russia/China & US-sanctioned.
https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2045401916469874875
Iran won
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>>533372800
>What happened to all the majority-Christian countries in the Middle East actually?
Islam happened, anon. There hasn't been Christian rule in the middle east since the crusades. Islam mandates the extermination of outsiders. Christians and everyone else were displaced, killed or wiped out in cruel and unusual ways with only brief interludes where Muslim leaders realized their civilization might need white people, before regressing to genocide again.
Here's another shocking revelation for you. Mongrel araboid mutts are not the indigenous race of Egypt, Syria, Lebanon or Iraq. They're the consequence of centuries of genocidal, racially supremacist islamic rule.
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>>533373144
*tips hat*
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>>533372958
israel to overthrow a man called assad together with the GCC created the NATO proxies ISIS
/pol/ for ages predicted the ethnic cleansing of christians from syria and this happened as well
meanwhile christians are being spat on in israel every day
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>Iran reopened its airspace on Saturday to international flights crossing the eastern part of its territory, the country's Civil Aviation Authority said. “Air routes in the eastern section of the country's airspace are open for international flights transiting through Iran,” it said, quoted by Agence France-Presse.
Could be really over I reckon
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>>533373328
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>>533373408
israel has been bombing synagogues and threatening them around the world since the founding
they did the bagdhad synagogue bombings and one israeli teen is responsible for thousands of bomb threats to the synagogues in the US over three years
another israeli just got convicted, those bomb threats help those synagogues get state funding for protection, more political support for israel
and so forth
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1950%E2%80%931951_Baghdad_bombings
for jews to be safe israel can no longer exist I fear
they are hate crimes against non jews bringign them and their societies into disrepute
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>>533371943
LEGO are helping Iran
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>>533373450
Jews did according to both christian and muslim sources.
As reward muslims let jews garrison christian cities and co rule muslim spain for 700 years, this was known as the jewish golden age.
After the christian reconquest of spain muslims and jews were made to convert to christianity or leave. They called that the inquisition.
Thus the spanish golden age begun.
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>“Director Kash Patel was preparing to leave work for the weekend, he struggled to log into an internal computer system. He quickly became convinced that he had been locked out, and he panicked, frantically calling aides and allies to announce that he had been fired by the White House, according to nine people familiar with his outreach.”
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/2026/04/kash-patel-fbi-director-d rinking-absences/686839/
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>>533373670
+
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YL_APKnLtJo
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>>533373640
Some unsanctioned ships are passing through.
>https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2045416562157592728
>5 sanctioned, 5 unsanctioned
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>>533373748
Tasnim reports "control of the Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state", due to US blockade.
>https://x.com/Tasnimbrk/status/2045411964361338939
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>>533373618
haha
btw everyone that works under them hates their guts, the first thing Pam bondi's former subordinates did after she was fired was take her picture down, through it in a trash can, take a picture of it and send it to news networks lmao
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interdasting
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Iran apparently agreed to a limited number of tankers passing, the US
we do not know how many
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pool's closed
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>>533373748
>>533373801
so looks like america doesn't really want a deal if they still doing the blockade shit
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>>533374188
>#BREAKING Iran military command says has closed Hormuz again over US blockade
https://x.com/AFP/status/2045419453974819245
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>>533374188
>>533374223
there we go, if india starves it will be the fault of modi for being too pro american and pro israeli
if pakistanis starve it will be because they side with saudi arabia instead of their geographic natural ally iran
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>>533374346
mexico benefits from this crisis, the worse it gets the more mexico benefits
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>>533371943
post the original
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>>533374256
I assume they just don't want to lift it before the further talks take place.
>hehe, we're the ones blockading now. Checkmate Irannies.
Blockade intact = pools closed even if the iranians say you can go through. Nobody will risk it.
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>>533371943
>>533374432
I very clearly remember US "preemptively" striking the targets as opposed to announcing them beforehand. Bit of a whitewashing, just like the OP.
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It’s over for these guys, this was the best chance they got and they lost, they will never get the chance to ethnically cleanse the arabs from greater israel, this was their peak and it’s all downhill from here. Opposing them is seen as cool, rebellious, brave, and righteous by everyone younger than 50. They played all of their cards and they got nothing to show for it, even mentioning the holocaust makes them look worse now because everyone immediately remembers how they treat palestinians. It was always delusional to think this had a chance of success, they never developed traditions of statecraft, they never learned how to cohabitate with someone as the dominant side, they always lived submissively in the margins refusing to assimilate and at the same time trying to not cause too much trouble, and they will become reverting back to this
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>Support kikes to own muslims
>Kikes destroy christian settlements and kill christians
>Cheeto performs blasphemy by depicting himself as Jesus
>Grindr party in white house(gay dating site owned by jew)
Is there creature more gullible and incapable of critical thought than evangelical christian?
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>>533374700
The funniest part is that they put all their faith and trust in Donald Trump, a man they themselves made and groomed, to deliver them a solid outcome, and like with every group, he promised them the world and then delivered them a pile of shit.
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>>533374700
Sponsors come and go. I believe Israel made a bargain with China to shoo the USA into this debacle, fundamentally weakening it.
Whether this grand betrayal results in China displacing USA as world hegemon or just multipolarity isn't known rn, but Israel can present itself as having helped birth whatever results.
In return Israel hopes to switch from being USA's enforcer/hub in the region to being Chinas. The form of that role to be decided by China.
In return Israel gets all the economic and military support that entails, perhaps not as much as USA provided, perhaps not as much latitude, but some say in regional affairs and crumbs from the table.
Ironically this will benefit Americans.
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>>533374692
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>>533374933
didn't have the terminals, more expensive, ukraine and the US block them
in a sense it is russias fault too, did you know that the polish norwegian gas pipeline went online the day after nordstream
meaning to isolate offensive polish posturing in this war from the terror attack
if I was russia I would have destroyed that pipeline the day after nordstream then cut the british london speed internet finance cable
and pleaded ignorance to their accusation but proposed an international charter against the attacks on underwater infrastructure in the maritime commons
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>>533374932
>negotiate being China's enforcer
literally no country other than the USA is dumb enough to trust Israel and their stock as an "ally" or even a tool have diminished significantly since the war began. I doubt they'd have anything to do with Israel given how duplicitous, uncontrollable, reckless and above all just how weak they've been shown to be.
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Easy money, even Trump is not the ridiculous.
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>CUT MY DICK INTO PIECES
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>>533374432
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So is America getting kicked out of the gulf completely? Also while this def accelerated the deatj of the american empire I fear the petrodollar will remain intact because there jist isnt a better option FOR NOW i imagine in the next couple of years there will be one
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>>533375255
>Also while this def accelerated the deatj of the american empire I fear the petrodollar will remain intact because there jist isnt a better option FOR NOW i imagine in the next couple of years there will be one
IMO the big thing to watch out for once this happening subsidises is a massive push for a BRICs unit of value / exchange. The talks on that were supposed to happen this year but have been postponed because of the war.
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>>533375200
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>>533375039
>trust
Its about force projection. Israel is in a key geographical spot for that. Africa, Europe, Mideast are all a J20 flight away. Europe has nowhere else to go but Africa, they are rearming to dominate there, and China needs to defend its interests there. Likewise when energy producing gulf states actually follow through on pipelines to Europe terminating in Israel, its important for China to be there.
Israel will be required to rebrand from expansionist settler fucknuts to reduce toxicity for China and that won't be easy but China can present itself as being a force which can curtail their excesses and suddenly its a win for them globally and regionally.
But its worth remembering, empire/hegemon usually pick war over downsizing, so Israel will do more to help guide the USA towards more mistakes, further weakening, and a controlled belly flop collapse.
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The fucking chutzpah
Incredible how brazenly they do this trading shit without even trying to cover it
People are so domesticated that now they don’t even have to be preoccupied of the public opinion, you can do a fake war and play openly and all people will do now is complain online
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>>533375411
>>533375433
>Its about force projection.
it is not, and it is not about the oil
israel hurts the oil and force projection in catastrophic capacity
stop dropping your old talking points you will only run into anons here who know more than you about your own country
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>>533374932
This was Israel's plan since the 80's, when the Chinese were still eating rice with their hands.
And the idea that Israel needed any sort of external incentive to betray the US and cause its decline and withdrawal from their region is absurd.
So I don't see what would make you think that China would give Israel something in exchange for doing something that they would have done anyway.
Israel just hoped to get both Iran and the West to be destroyed as a result of a single war.
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trump threatens iran with bombs
as said prior, iran breaking the ceasefire on tuesday will/would have catastrophic impacts on
bessents oil/SPR sheanigans as the future expire/come due
massive demand will happen on wednesday with them having to be satisfied from the spot market
the higher oil is on tuesday+wednesday, the more the US has to sink into a bailout either by money or more likely by physical oil from the reserve, it would drastical hurt their staying power and posture
https://xcancel.com/atrupar/status/2045354025420198312#m
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>>533375519
China is soon at energy independence, are you? No, never have been. You fought two expansionist world wars and lost both because of it. Now you are fighting Russia to try and steal their resources, which still isn't working, so you can only go to Africa. Where you think you will beat China lmao!
The ability to project force to control energy dependency is the 'great game' of this century. 107 years after the anglo and Russia carved up Iran they fucked Trumps attempt at energy dominance. It has been the lawnmower engine heard around the world.
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>>533375742
It seems... in your anger... you blockaded it.
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>Open
>Closed
>Open
>Closed
>Open
>Clopen
>Opeclos-o-cl-ope-clos-op-c-ope-clo-open-clo-op-closed
man what the fuck. Let's just glass the Middle East (and India) and call it a day.
>>533375411
I can't tell whether or not that's supposed to remind me of Epstein's temple, but it's making me laugh either way.
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>>533375742
iran closed it because the US kept blockading iranian ships
wednesday oil future come due and bessent loaned out US strategic petroleum reserves to depress prices
should oil be very high wednesday (kinetic impact on the easst west saudi pipeline or houthis joining tuesday)
then those companies would either go under or hope for a bailout either the federal reserve or from the petroleum reserve
since doing it with money would increase the price the US would have no choice but to draing their reserve to a critical low quantity
if I'm correct
the ideal iranian play is to either get the houthis involved tuesday or to hit the saudi pipeline then in my book, before they let the US renew those futures
at a discount
it is a bit silly as it does nothing for the physical availabillity of oil but it is how trump is fighting this war, like a ponzi conman
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>>533375808
russia being too retarded to establish deterrence to keep their critical energy infrastructure secure is not germanies fault
for whatever faults germany got which are plenty
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>>533375797
No one will run out of fuel entirely. It will just get really fucking expensive until demand destruction reaches price equilibrium. It’s not like ALL the oil goes through the strait. For the poorfag countries who can’t afford to bid up oil things could get bad though. The fertiliser situation is the real problem here, billions will die if farmtards can’t get their chemical ferts.
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>>533376083
it is 50% of all exported oil in the world
30% of fertilizer and as energy input 10+20% of fertilizer production
australia as secondary market with input from asia which gets all their energy from the gulf
is extra fucked, new zealand or aorteroreao in savage speak is fucked too
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>>533376159
>australia as secondary market with input from asia which gets all their energy from the gulf
>is extra fucked
We have trillions in savings, our own oil deposits, large gas deposits, the largest deposits of coal, uranium, rare earths, etc.
We're not fucked; just means we're seeing higher prices for a bit. If the situation continues we will adapt, as we've always done.
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why does the US keep the blockade when they must have known that Iran will have to keep Hormuz closed in that case?
what's even the point of what happened yesterday?
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>>533374188
>>533374310
>Iran closes strait
>U.S closes strait in response
>Iran opens strait (per agreement)
>U.S keeps strait closed
>Iran closes strait in response
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>>533375986
>Germans love affair with Drang nach Osten is everyone elses fault
Still not working as foreign policy, and as a consequence the new army Germany is building is for Africa. There is nowhere else to go, and the groundwork has already been laid with the North African 'neighborhood policy'. China isn't going to let you mengzhai mf's do that though.
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>>533376159
We have like fifty million cows, we aren’t running out of fertiliser anytime soon. Maybe we can send the jeets out to collect the poop from the fields. We have lots of prime farmland and a very small population. We wouldn’t even suffer power outages since we have a crazy hydropower setup. Fuel shortages here would basically mean that only trucks, agricultural machines and tradies get fuel and everyone else is walking or biking which is fine since we don’t live a hundred miles of highway away from our jobs We will still get hit but it won’t be the holobunga that other places will have.
There is a reason all the richfags build their doomsday bunkers here.
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>>533376258
you'll be fine on a 10-20 year horizont I give you that cunt
>>533376264
my theory is that the US currently got two primary objectives
1. get the tankers out of the persian gulf for an oil infusion that allows for a less painful second round of fighting (iran must from their amoral point prevent this at all cost)
2. depress the price of oil before the oil futures come due on wednesday, bessent loaned out oil from the strategic petroleum reserve earlier thus they are holding futures but to serve them the private companies would have to purchase oil spot prices then I think
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>>533375986
>is not germanies fault
It kind of is. Russia is a poor shithole gas station country, specifically Germany's gas station. Germany not stopping the US from provoking a war is Germany's fault, as the most influential European country.
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>>533216692
around april 30th we should see sharp spikes - i had said 21st but that's US crude (WTI) futures. Brent is the most important marker for global trade as many if not all other grades are balanced off of it.
This oil / commodities / futures stuff is really fascinating. The jargon is a bit daunting but here's a good explainer for anyone interested
https://x.com/CRUDEOIL231/status/2043792180310094150
TIL about contango and backwardation
TL;DR SHTF towards the end of April, these current low oil prices are just delirium.
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>>533376258
>our own oil deposits,
That greenoids will never let you use, so what's the point of mentioning it? It's like Germany shutting down all it's nuclear plants.
Instead they'll cut down/pave over the outback to build worthless wind farms
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>>533376258
Nuclear steam cars when?
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>>533376488
No actually they eat grass which is why we are the highest milk exporter per capita on the planet because our shit is actually good unlike the cancer juice most of the planets cows produce off their diet of snoybeans
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>>533376530
They won't mess with us again, they learned their place last time.
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>>533376264
this is irans foreign minister
>In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon...
They had some kind of deal.
trump posted:
>Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A. Enough is enough!!!
Israel then immediately broke the ceasefire and now the straight is closed, it never really even had time to open.
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>>533376552
Pipe down former hegemon, you can’t even beat a sand country with flying lawnmowers. My tiny nation of retards could make enough flying lawnmowers to stand off one of your trillion dollar carrier groups now that your shit has been exposed as obsolete.
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>>533376494
Brutal mogging
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>>533376708
It blows that you send all the glowing rocks to the great satan man. I wish you would unfuck your shit and incorporate us as a state, Australia is awesome and our countries could be so cozy chilling at the bottom of the world together doing our own thing while everyone else blows each other to shit.
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>>533376552
>Nothing ever happens kek.
Anon, I....
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>>533376568
Sadly you're getting shafted on the prices, I have lived in NZ for several years and dairy isn't cheaper than in France
I know there's a controversy going on recently as US butter has hit your shelves at a much lower price than NZ butter (but also lower quality)
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>>533376865
Yeah man we get shafted by big corpo like everywhere else on the planet. Cow is two miles down the road yet we have to pay (((international prices))) for our own product because communism bad or some shit. I just get my shit direct from a farm for cheap.
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>>533376862
My gas is lower than in 2022 under Pedo Joe, buddy. Nothing doomer trannies have said has come to pass. It will never come to pass, just like you will never pass as a woman. KEK
>>533376697
You think a lot about cocks and foreskin, fag.
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>>533376973
the US wants iran to release some tankers but keep their blockade going on iranian oil
my theory is that the issue is that iran would do a metered release of tankers but the US wants a burst out
before the next round of fighting
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I have produced so much content, I work hard every day, and Nobody will commit to my channel. I produce tons of planes, missiles, and bologna sandwiches for all of Europe. In fact one of those missiles hit Iran the other day. But these are my terms, I don't live a pitiful life, I just want some engagement, not tons of viewers, but I'm Phil in the Internet.
If anyone wants to name my grilled cheese sandwich, the first one to donate 5 gorillions will get it, and then we will have a Street Fighter marathon.
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>>533376986
>My gas is lower than in 2022 under Pedo Joe
it is because donald epstein trump cut global oil export production by 50%
law of supply and demand is that the less supply the lower the price
watch mark the great one levin to learn more
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POOLS CLOSED
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>>533377097
Call me when my life is affected at all, tranny. Til' then, keep dilating that troongash
>>533377135
And why should I care how prices stay low? Not my fucking problem. Still voting (R) in November. Kiss my balls lil' Ataturk.
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>>533377097
>My gas is lower than in 2022 under Pedo Joe, buddy.
that is bad faith US partisan propaganda, he pretends to be a retarded migger but is a campaign operative
it is too focussed on specific talking points and tailored to for impact
on facebook or twitter he might be some fox news watching boomer, here it is obvious that 90% chance that he is a paid shill
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>>533376960
>I just get my shit direct from a farm for cheap.
Nice lad, I sometimes do as well depends where I'm living
NZ cheese is honestly really good, the country is so fucking deeply green the cows are doing great
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>>533377225
some fox news watching boomer knows who ataturk is
>>533377230
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>>533372047
>The market manipulation is not merely a tool for the insiders to profit, it also serves to soften the blow when news hits that war has resumed.
I don't see how. In fact, I'd argue it does the exact reverse. Fucking up with price discovery only ends in bigger disasters. It doesn't soften anything, it makes the jump even bigger.
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>>533377268
this is an amazing post because the shill slips up in his hick ohh chuck mask as he drops casually the founding father of modern turkey to insult me
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>>533377307
>It doesn't soften anything, it makes the jump even bigger.
In the long term, yes, but Bessent has demonstrated that the US Treasury can indeed suppress paper oil in the short term.
It would make sense to do this if their strategy is a (relatively) quick and decisive victory.
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>>533377359
you are in the wrong place friendo
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Why did he piss his pant? Answer this or you're in for a big surprise.
>you're in
>urine
>surprise.
Ok, I'm out now. bye.
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>>533377515
pledge allegiance to charles de gaulle and denounce the american dogs and putiin
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an american small town redneck with the written dialect who doesn't care about world affairs beyond the pump of his local gas station and that you vote the good ol boy republican party
but posts on belgian choclate statue crafting board in the thread about middle eastern conflict, being aware of german demographics and the founding father of modern turkey
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>>533377656
What? Lmao
>>533377668
What grain are you talking about?
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>>533375822
Looney Dunes
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>>533377692
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/04/17/ukraine-and -israel-in-dispute-over-russian-shi p-carrying-ukrainian-grain_6752539_ 4.html
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>>533377577
we have to fight the CCPee
bring the piss to Hong Kong
getting paid by falun gong
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Iran will keep its ballistic missile deterrence.
There won't be any pro Israel regime change.
Iran will also keep its nuclear power plant projects - that includes low grade enrichment.
The Strait of Hormuz will be kept under control as another huge deterrence against any further attacks.
US will leave the Gulf States.
That is what I see coming
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A ship was allegedly attacked in the Strait of Hormuz.
A tanker/cargo that tried to sneak without an authorization from the IRGC ? Possibly the "Sanmar Herald" that renamed to "IndianshipIndianCrew" recently
https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2045438966854217931
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>>533377865
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Happening status?
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>>533377957
>The US would have to suffer a humilitating military defeat before they capitulate to any of these demands by Iran.he US would have to suffer a humilitating military defeat before they capitulate to any of these demands by Iran.
Iran doesn't really demand anything they don't already control.
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>>533377068
I think it’s entirely in Irans interest to drag everything out as long as possible. And if they aren’t shooting all the better.
Their main weapon is economic surge in the dollar system and its derivative markets. Saving as much of their assets and weapons for the freak our tantrum later is best when the first big wave of inflation and shortages really hits the west as stocks wind down.
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>>533372017
Yeah, you'd expect them to take advantage of this situation more aggressively. But conservatively the situation as of now is beneficial enough to their long-term protection of economic power, so they benefit with providing the minimum to Iran to prolong this war which AFAIK only extends to use of Chinese satelites, some non military aid, and things that aren't explosives Iran needs to manufacture their missiles/drones (microcontrollers and whatnot). They achieve the effect more direct involvement without much of the diplomatic and trade costs. At the cost of Iran, but how can they refuse aid?
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>>533378033
I think it is in irans interest to horizontally expand the disorder until no regime in the middle east is standing but oman and iraq.
To be honest. Has the US and Israel ever relented once they got this far in a country? The "bombing" nuclear power plant thing happens on 15-20 years
regime survival maximum so far. They got a perfect track record.
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Looks like big IDF casualty numbers from yesterday before the cease-fire are about to drop:
hebrew
A bloody weekend in southern Lebanon
Further update from yesterday's event to follow
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>>533376740
>>533377413
I think they got those anti-ship drones from them but I dont know about a whole lot
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>>533376862
The WTI contact closes Monday 20th I think. So you have to be out and take any losses on shorts or go find oil for delivery you said you would take 90 dollars for.
Meanwhile it’s 130-160 on the cash spot. And with all those short having to deliver or close we could see a squeeze develop over next 20 days or so (they’ve a month to deliver physically).
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>>533378096
It's a golden opportunity for China to present itself as the sensible adult in the room who respects rules and boundaries while the US is busy alienating all of its allies and fucking over the whole world for no reason.
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>>533378198
and anon told me they would close wednesday?
if we assume you are correct then iran got until tomorrow to tank trumps peace announcements
houthi announcement to close bab el mandab or hitting east west pipeline tomorrow would ruin the american plan?
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>>533378119
>Has the US and Israel ever relented once they got this far in a country?
No, it’s on now. The Jews have their puppet emperor of the United States on a leash like a fucking dog as well as the entire governmental apparatus. ZOG isn’t backing down. Iran is all in too, they have been putting up with this shitfuckery for like fifty years and are now totally done with it. Especially after seeing how effective their weapons systems and military plans have been, they are all in too.
This could get really fucking bad.
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>>533378119
No. They haven’t. In fact they become more vicious and duplicitous. Now it’s the time to use maximum pressure. But the US may resort to nuclear weapons at some point. They have to understand that.
This is a genocidal mafia.
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>>533373328
>>533373397
>>533373455
>over
no party has made any concessions... literally conflicting infos
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>>533378167
People who enjoy watching military conflicts from the safety of their own homes
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>>533378198
>The WTI contact closes Monday 20th I think. So you have to be out and take any losses on shorts or go find oil for delivery you said you would take 90 dollars for.
Tuesday the 21st, anon. But that squeeze is WTI, which is not as significant as Brent imo, the July contract of which expires April 30th. Once we get close to that, things are going to get jiggly
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>>533378377
It’s super duper cozy for us irrelevant country neetchads right now swedebro I won’t lie but it’s about to get real for all of us very shortly.
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>>533378263
Well it’s baked up so to speak. They haven’t the power to continue to strong arm the futures price. But the backwardation in cash spot will continue to grow.
Just look to the effects. You can’t print oil and now you will see the effects roll through most vulnerable nations. But as in silver. They can bully the futures price at will. But what happens is confidence in the US controlled commodities exchanges is waning fast in the world’s eyes. They are just another arm of the weaponised system.
De dollarisation accelerates. De dollarsystemization too.
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>>533378276
>>533378272
Then Irans primary objectives must be (other than survival)
1. To let as little energy out of the middle east (without permanent destruction if possible)
2. Horizontally expand the war and destabilize the friendly regimes to the US until they topple (this is no impeded by pakistan, the ceasefire hurt Iran there massively)
3. take down US logistic, fuel and information in the region to give you more time to survive
Secondary objectives
1. Soften israeli infrastructure up so minor actors can threaten them
2. hit israel so the US overspends on its defense letting other assets be more vulnerable
3. try to show that the US is at fault
4. inflict cost on the US in blood not just coin
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CNN network quoting senior IDF officials:
We will create in southern Lebanon what is called the "Yellow Line" and prevent the return of Lebanese residents to 55 villages in southern Lebanon.
The ceasefire allows us to destroy Hezbollah infrastructures within this area (the Yellow Line).
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>>533378377
I'm a winner then
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>>533378483
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pool is closed
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just woke up, gm frens
has there been any news overnight? i normally just check the oil price to see if theres been any big news but the market is closed
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4 x French-owned CMA CGM container ship attempted to cross the strait of Hormuz this morning, but they have suddenly stopped and are likely turning around.
Didn't pay the toll ?
https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2045451540253597879
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>>533378720
Haven't seen anyone addressing this bullshit as a ceasefire violation, neither Iran or Hezbollah.
Obviously done with complete coordination of the Lebanese government, since they are already warned people to not go south of Litani following ceasefire announcement.
It baffles me that a government just willing gives its land away to the intruders. Where do they even expect all these people to go?
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>>533378033
>I think it’s entirely in Irans interest to drag everything out as long as possible. And if they aren’t shooting all the better.
big brain post. Right now, Iran can say "no uchecked SoH trade until the US stops blockading Iranian ships" and that'll be a big climbdown for the US. However, things are going to become so bad that I'd say Iran can extract many more concessions such as
a) no US bases in the PG area
b) lifting of sanctions
c) return of Iranian money
The big one is the sanctions. No blacklisting, no sanctions, in return for traffic normalisation. In return, they might agree to a monitored pause on enrichment and de-enriching the highly enriched uranium and inspections geared to monitor weaponisation. But no handover of uranium, no curbs on missile ranges, nothing else.
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>>533378553
>People are not little stones or keys in someone's pocket, that can be moved from one place to another just like that. ... Therefore, we cannot precisely arrange for only Serbs to stay in one part of the country while removing others painlessly. I do not know how Mr. Krajišnik and Mr. Karadžić will explain that to the world. That is genocide.
the guy who said this ended up actually committing genocide.
the forced movement and restriction of where people are allowed to be based on ethnic lines has been genocide and easily results in genocide.
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>>533379016
>>533379026
i see we are now in another 2 day war again?
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>>533379107
Ceasefire is over in a few days so it doesnt really matter. Trump will likely try and save face by saying he is forced to resume the special military operation by bombing Tehran because Pool's closes again even though he is blockading it. Iran will probably publish another banger Lego video
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>>533379050
anon, the israeli genocide plan leaked they are bragging about it constantly
they made ben gvir security minister
the son in law of the US president was doing post genocide real estate development plans and is still doing it as well
pic related is itamar ben gvir, a terrorist worshipper and political assassination promoter
israels minister for security
the israeli regime rapes POW with dogs on a systemic scale when filmed the IDF protests for their right to rape
become national celebrities and walk off scott free
israel is belgian congo on steroids
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>>533378971
Spokesperson of the Iranian Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters:
The passage through the Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state of strict military control, due to repeated violations by the US and piracy under the guise of a blockade.
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>>533379177
>new law to hang palestinians
Palestinians are going extinct.
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>>533379192
Do I buy the WEAT ETF? Unironically thinking of doing 35$c out to janurary on WEAT
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hebrew
The Iranian news agency "Tasnim" from its "sources":
"Iran has not yet agreed to the next round of negotiations due to Trump's announcement of a naval blockade against Iran and because of the excessive demands of the Americans.
Iran does not intend to waste its time on long and futile negotiations.
Iran has informed the Americans of its position through the Pakistani mediator."
##
The Iranians are trying to save their image after Trump shattered it to pieces yesterday, immediately after the announcement of the opening of Hormuz.
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>>533379177
israel ordered in parts of lebanon that christians can stay and that they would be severely punished if they hid muslim girls in their attics (this really happened last month and the US facilitiates it)
israel is a blight on humanities conscience
https://thecradle.co/articles-id/11290
I saw this plan corroborated in an israeli military briefing before they started to enact it.
To this day it is being worked on by the USraeli regime
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>>533379282
>The passage through the Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state of strict military control, due to repeated violations by the US and piracy under the guise of a blockade.
What’s stopping the US from pretending to lift the blockade for a few weeks to let stuck ships through for market relief, and then going back to business as usual? It seems like Iran doesn’t even plan to keep Hormuz closed forever.
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>>533379413
>Bro is posting from a multiverse. Amazing.
this one's funny. big right wing hebrew telegram channel:
Operation "Furious Wrath" / "The Lion's Roar"
1. A surprising opening strike on 28.2 even though the element of surprise was absent.
2. About six weeks of intensive air attacks - destruction of 80% of Iran's military and civilian capabilities.
3. Ceasefire alongside negotiations.
4. The decisive move: imposing a naval blockade on Iran - the blockade Iran imposed on Hormuz is reversed against it.
5. Ceasefire in Lebanon + start of peace talks between Israel and Lebanon - after a month and a half of significant damage to Hezbollah's capabilities and pushing it 10 km north.
6. The Iranians open the Strait of Hormuz despite the ongoing American naval blockade - oil prices plummet sharply.
7. President Trump announces that the Iranians will hand over their enriched uranium.
##
Is there anyone else asking what the exit strategy is or claiming that Iran won?
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>>533375454
to be fair they did extensive groundwork for that shit to happen.
Germany for instance we had G20 in Hamburg and other big demos, which all happened to have one terrifying sob story about some dude losing his eye to a water blast from the cops and other assorted crap, as well as "le evil extremists" (state paid) usually going apeshit and smashing civilian (!) infrastructure.
So normies expect every show of resistance instantly devolving into shit and don't even bother anymore. It's demoralizing.
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>>533379459
>What’s stopping the US from pretending to lift the blockade for a few weeks to let stuck ships through for market relief, and then going back to business as usual? It seems like Iran doesn’t even plan to keep Hormuz closed forever.
Obviously the jews don't want to do that at the moment. The sanctions relief on Iranian/Russian oil sorta ends today/yesterday, or had to be shipped by yesterday.
So yeah the US/Jews have multiple ways to ease the oil market including what you said.
Sounds like Trump/Jews are just trying to prepare for the next big round of war, and trying to win a friday/weekend optics war with World Goyim audiences.
Plus the market manipulation.
But war is the plan, not lower oil prices.
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He's truthing
y'all ready for the melty
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>>533379577
>Is Trump even remotely aware that Enrinched Uranium is used for power generation? Or does he genuinely think it has no civilian use other than for nukes?
It's the jews excuse for total Iran destruction. yes trump's aware, and he'd be fine with nuclear energy, but he's not calling the shots.
Just like Biden wasn't really gung ho for gaza genocide.
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Khamanei Jr just now
>By the grace of God, in the near horizon, the necessary measures for realizing the line of progress in the various capabilities of the Islamic Republic of Iran's Army will be issued.
https://xcancel.com/Rahbarenghelab_/status/2045452574543982820
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>>533379656
>The sanctions relief on Iranian/Russian oil sorta ends today/yesterday
you missed a taco
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>>533377911
ooooh noooo how could this happen
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>>533379468
basmati is fucking disgusting though, be a man and import japanese
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No U-turn for them.
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>>533379812
>Yeah it's honestly the biggest indicator so far that round 2 is inevitable
It's cool that Iran or Iran's Iraq guys hit the Kurds yesterday, but the US has a whole lot of soldiers right back in the Gulf right now.
The US is in some ways better positioned than on Feb 28, because they're ground invasion focused now with various ops on the drawing board.
Iran would not be smart to wait for the US to strike first again this next time.
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>>533380014
>BAKED MIGRATE
>>533380014
>BAKED MIGRATE
>>533380014
>BAKED MIGRATE
/pig/ - Persia Israel General #944 NOTHING FUCKING CHANGED EDITION
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>>533379923
Idk bro, Americans fresh off the back of world war 2 getting pushed back to the parallel by Chinese peasants with only rifles, no radio comms, no air support, no ships, barely any supplies, pretty fucking huge L. The Chinese paid in blood for it tho, lot of dead Han.
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