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Springtime booba edition
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this taylor townsend chick is literally playing right now in a doubles game and the odds are moving massively. i dont watch tennis and googling her name and looking her up doesnt seem to show her being injured or anything. traditional sport books havent really adjusted their odds yet and even pinnacle still has her at a <1.4 odds heavy favorite. maybe somebody knows something here. possible to get a >10% arb with polymarket and a traditional sportsbook like pinnacle or 365, but polymarket does not void bets if there is a pregame walkover, only resolves 50-50.
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What do u guys buy with ur winnings? I bought this
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>>153706710
big 'ole puke
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Unbeatable combo of the day
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>>153710194
Is it only an ass?
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>>153711040
85 lbs of ass
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>Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul @1.54
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Brighton v Arsenal @1.67
Puebla v Tigres @1.70
Arab Contractors v Al Ahly @1.52
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>>153710953
Ill do bucharesti, Romanian league seems ok atm
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>>153711321
Excellent choice.
If you look at Slobozia's lineup they are complete ass. It's like they brought all the dumbest kids in one place.
In defence you got goalkepper denis rusu and serbanica.
And 3 other league 2 defenders.
Lungu is a no name from moldova.
Albu is a secret agent. Former Rapid player.
Papeau is a fag, Barbut was a talentless winger for craiova, with speed.
Don't know the portuguese (so might score against us), and the israelian played in the moldovian division.

Rapid has :
dobre morutan petrila
Most promising attacking players
Grameni is good, Farul won the title with him in midfield 3 years ago.
ST is their problem.
Keita apparently is good for this level.
Defence also ok, and clearly superior to slobozia.
The squads are miles away.
But being away, might be 1-2.
Slobozia scores first, we reback the 1.5+
2.5+ etc

Benfica also wins, if i may interest you in our other game. Gil Vicente is not a ground Benfica usually losses points on, despite the seemingly strong position in the standings from the hosts.
Mourinho has a full squad at disposal and full focus on the league.
Gil vicente players come from shit clubs and resumee.
Benfica:
Pavlidis
Rafa silva
Rios
0-3
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I like de ridder to bully caio this weekend
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>>153706710
big
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i'm back bby
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Cody garbrandt +124 vs some chinaman with a 1-2 record against other chinamen
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>>153711430
>Being away, might be 1-2
Might have to start trying some correct score bets
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>>153706710
mamacita tetas
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>>153714250
Oh stop it
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what happened to the tennis betting germanon?
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valdmannova 4.33
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UFC 326 Saturday 3/7

Good card, looking forward to it. Sat last week out because the Mexico City card was awful with too many juiced favorites. Will post a few more props once odds come available later in the week.

>Fernandez -230 vs Bellato
More juice than I want to lay on Fernandez. Still taking it because Bellato is trash. Fernandez should get him out of there in the first two rounds. Fernandez is better everywhere and might be -400 by fight night.

>Montes -190 vs Turcios
I don't know what Turcios does well besides durability. Montes should be able to drag Turcios down and either sub him or win an easy decision. I see no reason to bet Turcios, this is likely his last UFC fight.

>Aguilar +210 vs Sumudaerji
Sumudaerji being a -260 favorite is insane. He's got a ton of reach on Aguilar but he lacks the power to make use of it. Su has been tapped several times as a pro, and his UFC wins are against bottom of the barrel competition. Aguilar has enough upside to justify a 3-1 payout against an opponent with poor BJJ.

>Tumendemberel -148 vs Durden
Durden has a suspect chin and questionable heart. Don't think he wants to be in there anymore, just fighting out his contract for one last payday. Durden will look good until he doesn't, IMO he gets finished in the 2nd or 3rd. Potential for a live spot on Tumendemberel because he probably gets wrestlefucked in the first round and will be plus money between rounds.

>Johnson by KO -200 over Brundage
Brundage is a jobber. UFC keeps matching him against prospects because they know he sucks and he'll stand and trade with most guys. Everyone will be on Johnson round 1, KO1, along with under 1.5. I'll just take Johnson by KO in case Brundage has a few good minutes like against Rowston and pushes it past halfway. Brundage quits when things start to go against him, at some point he'll cover and eat shots until it gets waved off.
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>>153716232

>Rodrigues vs Ferreira over 1.5 rounds -110
Two heavy handed Brazilians. I see this being cagey and slow to start. Neither guy wants to get heemed quick. Robocop would be smart to clinch and use his giant frame to tire Ferreira out. Line is -110 now, I think the over will be plus odds later in the week so consider waiting on this bet. Public will expect violence.

>Font vs Rosas Jr over 2.5 rounds -188
Font is durable and tough to submit. I doubt Rosas gets him out of there despite Font being 38 and approaching the end of his career. Most likely outcome is Rosas decision with about 7 minutes top control and minimal damage landed.

>RDR +240 vs Borralho
I am not high on RDR. Value play. Caio should not be -300. RDR is a huge MW, awkward, dangerous on the mat/in the clinch, and has a sneaky good standup game including nasty knees. This is a 3 round fight so there's less concern over RDR's cardio. I could see Caio winning most the minutes but RDR having the big moments to steal rounds or maybe even find a club & sub finish. IMO RDR wins this nearly half the time, not the implied 30%.

>Dober vs Johnson over 1.5 -180
Surprised this is a 1.5 total. This fight has potential for a quick finish but I think it's more likely a point fight. You see that a lot with older veteran fighters reaching the end of their careers. Almost like they respect each other too much and don't really go for the kill. I think this one sees the scorecards...at least gets past half way. The market will expect an under, so go the other way.

>Oliveira by KO +850 vs Holloway
I don't like the main event gamblingwise. Fun fight but it's lined perfectly. I do like Oliveira's power in this spot however. Max got KO'd for the first time in his career a couple fights ago and he's getting hurt/dropped in every fight the last couple years. His chin isn't what it used to be. Everyone focuses on Oliveira's sub game but the dude has terrific power. Worth a small bet at almost 10-1 payout.

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