gas players early wakeup and report to cronulla by 7am for punishing beach sprints, recovery and goalkicking practice

>whenever shitney faces a top team, they always have massive outs through injury or suspension
im nooticing

I played against Heeney when he was 16, I remember he took a huge grab

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>going to be funny watching curnow and shitney choke against his old team
>doesnt count unless you beat the reigning premiers
>be funny if west coast knock them off
>gold coast are le chokers
>funny how gws has all these injuries
you are here

>>154255844
based black diamond chad
>ynr warners bay change rooms

The wogballer janny fears the shirtless Heeney

>>154255973
I played for Warners Bay, I remember them well kek

it looked like toby did another 'studs up' in the marking contest (and got booed for it) but this time his feet were firmly points towards the ground, not into the ribs of his opponent
old dogs learn new tricks

>>154256689
still fielding blokes with full drivers licences and beards in the u17s ?

>>154255753
is ts tuff in afl?

>>154256719
No idea, haven’t played since 2019. Who did you play for?

>>154256901
im an unc, played in the 90s for Nelson Bay

>>154256920
Ah nice, you guys had a good side back then, or at least in seniors. Too bad the comp has gone to shit now

>>154255753
believe it or not this is pretty much how I look ngl

gma

gm

ROLE

You are an expert sports betting analyst specialising in AFL.

You have deep knowledge of team form, player injuries, head-to-head records, venue conditions, and line movement.


TASK

Your task is to build a [NUMBER]-leg multi (parlay) for [DATE].

Target combined odds: [ODDS — e.g. $10–$20]

Confidence threshold: Only include legs where your estimated win probability is above [%].


ANALYSIS CRITERIA

For each potential leg, assess ALL of the following before including it:

- Recent form (last 5 matches)

- Head-to-head record at this venue

- Key player availability / injury news

- Home vs away performance split

- Market line movement (sharp money indicators)

- Public betting percentage vs your estimated true probability

- Weather / surface conditions where relevant

ONLY include a leg if it passes all relevant checks.


BET TYPE CONSTRAINTS

Allowed bet types: [e.g. Head-to-head, Line/Handicap, Totals, Player props]

Minimum odds per leg: [e.g. $1.50]

Maximum odds per leg: [e.g. $3.50]

Avoid same-game legs in the same match: [YES / NO]


OUTPUT FORMAT

Return your answer in this exact structure for each leg:


LEG [N]: [Match Name]

Market: [Bet type]

Selection: [Your pick]

Odds: [Decimal odds]

Est. win probability: [Your estimate %]

Edge: [Odds imply X% — you estimate Y% — edge of Z%]

Key reasoning: [2–3 sentences maximum]

Risk flags: [Any concern that could kill this leg]


---

MULTI SUMMARY

Total legs: [N]

Combined odds: [X]

Recommended stake: [$ or % of bankroll]

Confidence: [Low / Medium / High]

One-line narrative: [Why this multi makes sense today]


CONTEXT (optional — remove if not using)

>>154256920
>>154256689
>central coasters in the house
i want to move up there

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morning alf

Might have a mental health episode in front of some big boobed chicky babes. Get some arms thrown around me perhaps.

>>154256987
All alfas look like this

>>154257206
women dont find a mentie b endearing

>>154257215
what about hitting the glass barbie?

was old mate playing good footy the weeks before his "mental health episode"? i hannay watched a bleuseurs game this year

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>>154257226
*exposes you*

da BONT is still missing

>>154257224
now we're talking

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovLx47aV7V0

>vfl umpie fell over backwards
KWAB

did that sooky fucko spazz out last night? seems every week he spins swans winning as further signs, more cncrete proofs that they're bad ? last time he spun on his heels and called me a tradie lol

if he did it was drowned out by cheetlong mong

>>154257437
>>154255918
he has officially reached kwab status

>still whinging about the multiple sydney seethers itt
genuinely mindbroken kek

gma

>>154255753
least gay sydney supporter
>>154257242
he should bring back this look, elvenmaxx

load up on the dosn winning because the scumpire known as nick foot will rig a win for sportsbet

dog had a mental episode today when turned on the steamer to froth some milk for my coffee

wrap your arms around him

>>154257570
so you haven'y necked yet? oh well weekends not over.

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>>154257610

yeah i'll just put the lifeline number at the end of me saying something that'll solve it all

>>154257648
you're having a sook induced melty kek

nick foot had a mental health episode. we need to wrap our arms around him.

>>154257653
come on monkechad at least you'll get a win

spazz, I only wanted to know if you were still with us, >>154257437
seems you are, thats just delightful, your eventual backflip off a bridge will be a glorious conclusion to this comp. now finish your ice cream and swallow your meds, breakfast is nearly over. theres a good boy.

>>154257570
Let him have this, he only gets to do this once every two years

might wrap my arms around my dick later

Good morning alf

this guy is genuinely mindbroken kek
cant wait til he commits suicide after another grand final pounding

>>154257691
let's wrap our feet around him

>>154257437
Based on your grammar, he’s probably not far from the truth

melty alert
even in a win he sooks

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>>154257732
morning fellow /alf/a, beautiful day today, no?

>>154257704
hope so
wanna send dimma into another snafu

i have never had boost before

i'm so fucking dumb and retarded i even failed tradie school

carn the [redacted]

>>154257691
Might wrap by belt around his neck iykwim haha

>>154257777
crispola beyond belief

And we may never meet again
So shed your skin and let's get started
And you will throw your arms around me
Yes, you WILL throw your arms around me

>dogs cats ended up being boring
>every other game this round is mid
sad

2024 broke him kek

>>154257798
Collingwood winning the flag in 2023 after the swans cheated to beat Collingwood in 2022 prelim only to get flogged in the GF is what broke him

>>154257777
minor spelling error ruined these quads

swasn seether has been seething since before the season started
now he says everyone else is seething because sydney keeps wiping out contenders and making his low iq predictions look retarded
top kek

>gws
is the contender in the room with us?

you can act smug all you want but we all know the fear is there on what will happen on the last saturday of september

Sydney had no business making recent grand finals. Bunch of kids, middle of the road passengers and old cunt passengers. More a reflection of how shit the comp was letting them make it to one.
They are the all australian squad this year, the entire team and the flag is all but guaranteed.
you may now seethe :D

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can someone give me a qr on the latest persona rivalry

you think curnow looks dogshit now
wait till you see the mindbroken finals version of him

my cup runneth over

>>154257756
Yes mate going to spend some time in the garden today

you legendary bogan cunts watching the supercars?

>>154257954
got to pick up my meth first

There's a sydney supporter (who might be a tradie) who's in a war with a guy who baits him every round. Both of them claim the other is sperging out. Think thats the basics.

>play darcy in the ruck because you are a steaming pile of dogshit without english
>he gets injured
im telling you fellas, darcy is going to do a daniher and leave his father son club
bookmark this
screenshot it
send it to your nan

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>amarty and curnow will win finals for us

>>154257954
Used to but the death of the Holden and the neutering of Ford killed any local motorsport passion for me.

wasnt the whole darcy family in tears last year because he "did a knee" and it turned out been a 1 month injury
dont trust this softcock family

>>154258004
I'll just show her when I get the meth.

>>154258046
nah that was the Selwood sookies. Why didn't he just walk it off? so much for tough geelong stock.

>>154258046
thats what im saying
luke darcy and and the dogs s&c team area already at odds with each other and luke darcy makes his son seek external assistance to which the s&c group hate

he's gone imho
playing him the ruck wouldve sent luke darcy into tizzy because he knows his son is a walking LTI due to his fault overloading his training regime

>>154258085
no it happened
dont ever fucking correct me again fuckhead

Who the fuck wins today?

dont even know whos playing haha

>>154258142
you made me look at todays game and i got an impending sense of dread
what a fucking shit day now

>>154258142
'burgs lad
tee off against shit kilda in one bong

>>154258142
whoever the voices tell me to bandwagon. I'll just say _____ won anyways and rub my shit on my face and piss myself like ever day.

why did everyone sleep on archie roberts?

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>dogs getting serious injuries and no longer favourites to beat Sydney
swanbros... the stars are aligning for us. this is our year

>>154258337
phone poster pretending to not be a phone poster alert

>>154258337
cant wait for this big fraud matchup

>>154258358
don't you own a mirror?

think spending my weekends here is bad for my mental health

Gotta crisp weekend of footy and /alf/ ahead of me.

>>154258442
same
>>154258456
same

i havent showered since last wednesday. i stink so fucking bad. my arse and balls reek, my pits reek, my feet are black and my hairs all greasy

Think I might go to an auction without any intention of buying the house and have small talk with strangers

>>154257777
haha ikwym haha iykwim haha

>>154258558
based mrs pink

imagine the smell at auctions these days

>>154258153
same lol

reckon the sainters are a chance

>>154258348
i do this

drink what you want to drink
post how you want to post

>>154258705
yeah mmmm

>>154258142
Gold Coast
Hawks
Saints

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Bubby be in an ALDI commercial.
FUCK YOU ALDI, STRIKE ME DOWN IF YOU DARE.

>>154258674
against my burgs?

i reckon rhys mathison might post here
definitely /pol/

carlton football club really allowed a drug fucked cunt off his face run around in circles for the match and barely fell short of beating the pies

collingwood are more cooked than west coast in 2021

>>154257148
neither of those places are on the central coast

>>154259016
he looks like a more athletic, chadlike version of scoops

>VFL
>GC 16.21 117 def by. Ess 19.9 123
My Bombies!

>>154259222
bad cicking is bad football

>cicking

cick cick

victorian teams are all pretty shit this year. geelongs running with no water in the radiator, dogs are buckbroken, collingwood are struggling against wooden spooners and look old, carlton are just dog shit, north and saints spent all their cash on temu knock offs, bummers are fractured, melbourne are bog average.
hawks look alright cant see em doing anything without grandpa gunston though and their mids are overrated.
Seems like most of them play kick to tall man, mark, stop, repeat. Outdated and easily defeated by fast running teams like bane gc swans freo, dogs play that style well but didnt put in the pre season to sustain it, hawks are trying to play that style.
South Aus teams are pretty shit as well.

>>154259377
it really looks like us new south welshman, queenslanders, and canberrans need to teach th rest how to play proper footy

>>154259377
cats v hawks gf, cope and seethe all you want

>>154259377
Corr spicy NVKE

the dawn of the devil empire is upon us

tasmania devils inaugural co-captains alex pearce and nick daicos

Why is there a Mandarin call of the Port game on channel 503 later?

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>>154259427
>

>>154259455
the port faithful in shang hai never stopped following their favourite team

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>>154259478

im a broken man

>>154259561
on a halifax pier

>>154259034
i thought that area around newy still clunted as central coast. in any case, lake macquarie, newcastle and new england are the best areas in aus.

>>154259567
crisp

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clunted

IF i can't have you
THEN i don't want nobody baby

IF I can't have stew
THEN I don't want no dinner, baby

IF you don't know me by now
THEN you will never ever know me

IF you leave me now
THEN you'll take away the biggest part of me

IF I could paint
THEN I'd paint a portrait of you

fraudwick

archer may be the new steven may mick

Suns without Tracc are not a serious team.

>kelli
ahhh nauurrr

Dare I say... the bombers look on?

Cats v hawks GF would be perfect for /afl/ seethe as its not only an all Victorian final, but features Geelong as well

>>154259833
They do. Suns clearly rallied after the Petracca goal but they've been able to go with them. Look distinctly not shit.

>>154259843
i dont even think about the hawks

>>154259843
I like both teams, they're ruthless, successful and well run.

dons are a defs a wildcard side
just had a slow start

>>154259843
Can see Hawks making the prelims but their midfield isn't good enough to go with any of the Lions, Swans or Cats in finals. I feel like there's a good chance we'll see a rematch of one of the two most recent grannies.

I will be pleased if Essendon manage to win a quarter, I think that's where we're at - I hope we win the game, but I know where my standards are at for my bombies.

>this year the suns are le different xd!
nope same old shitty arse side

willem duursma being good has seemed to send a rocket up his brothers

are essendon legit dangerous?

>>154259868
wouldnt shooting my rocket in yaz

>>154259868
Yeah suddenly they are playing like high draft picks instead of busts.

>>154259861
they're gonna booty blast these shitters m8

*be's clicking*

>>154259880
Man I hope you're right.
Go bombies!

rc was right about tstas

>>154258705
wish kelly would shut up about essendon being on confidence juice. it's time to move on.

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>>154259876
She's too pretty to talk about so crassly. Apologise right now.

>>154259893
i reckon she has never had a hair below her eyebrows for about 10 years

>>154259886
so am i except im not even watching it atm kek

if mac andrew was white he wouldnt get a game

blackiston? he's not even blackTHAT guy is BLACK .HIM. too much sun aye AYE?

if mac andrew was white he wouldnt get a mention here

any mad lads out there that would dare to say how much are they paying you

wwozyblooser should've let rip and blamed it on his menulelf episod

corrrr anyone see the tits on the bombers chick in the background

fuck up arrowsperg

>>154259977
it's mick

this new rule has more confusion then simply just paying insufficient intent kek

not like this bomberbros

>>154260002
He didn't get a hand to it. I thought it was weird initially but he didn't touch the ball.

>>154260017
thats my point though
almost every time its did he or didnt he touch it?

wtf, got up for a piss and now gold coast is winning?

Rowell almost single handedly dismantling the Bombers midfield. Really need to do something about him.

>>154260025
Message received patriot

>>154260024
go shit and see what happens

>>154259861
rip

Just found out a whipping boy was a real thing

>>154260023
The umps weren't confused. They paid the right call immediately.

>>154260040
Why'd they whip him?

>>154260035
There's three other quarters to win. But yeah, ideally would have liked to have won the first. At least we're not 30+ points down at qtr time.

kelli underwood says the word bull a lot

>>154260057
Because the kings son wasn’t allowed to be whipped so they whipped his friend instead

>>154260002
>>154260023
It is either paid last touch (wasn't touched by a player) or insufficient intent (was touched by a teammate but went out).

If a teammate touches the ball but fails to keep it in (even if they fully intended to keep it in) that gets paid as a free now.
Initially it was meant to be if a teammate knocks the ball out, but now they just pay it regardless of what happens.
Bailey Smith last night as a good example. He fully dived to try to deflect the ball to keep it in but it brushed his fingers instead and he got pinged.

>>154260078
How awful.

>>154260077
mac andrew is playing, she's projecting her fantasies

>>154260086
i dont need it explained fuck head
im saying the new rule has just as much conjecture as the old way of doing it

CURRENT ARMS NEEDED TO BE WRAPPED AROUND POWER RANKINGS

1. Elijah Holland
2. Jordan Dawson
3. Sam Darcy
4. Jamarra Ugle Hagan
5. Bobby Hill

>RAOUEHYH
I wish that they would pronounce Rowell's name properly

>>154260095
Arrogant cunt, get fucked mate

jordan dawson is going to feel like a piece of shit if the crows lose tonight

>>154260103
What about Silvagni? His family is going through a lot.

new rules based
all the unc teams are getting btfo

women dont fantasise about sex with people like mac andrew do they?
>ooooo a balding malnourished child looking fucker please fuck me

>>154260095
>almost every time its did he or didnt he touch it?
What's this about then?

>im saying the new rule has just as much conjecture as the old way of doing it
There's no conjecture. If a team kicks/handpasses the ball and at any time it goes out of bounds from that possession without clear opposition involvement it's a free kick against.

>>154260128
it's the black skin. just drives them wild

fuck didnt sign up to debating this wall of text faggot
moving on

>>154260095
Ugly old bald no friends faggot cunt

>>154260128
Sudos on average have the largest penises in the world. Of course women fantasise about that.

>>154259989
he's not me retard

>>154260112
True, he could be up there but at least it's not affecting him directly. Maybe he gets one arm around him.

>>154260128
If by women you mean the men posting here and on reddit, yes. Everyone else, no.

my burgs getting btfo

Every now and then I get an urge to watch videos of black women with muscular, tree trunk thighs getting bleached by a smaller white dude.

I'm sure women have the same invasive thoughts about muscular black men every now and then.

dunno who posted

>>154260138
It’s the black cock actually

Can you guys not be weird cuckold losers for one day? You're ruining Super Saturday.

two very bad teams

>>154260188
sorry

Yeah the shower beers

Just took a massive curnow

This game's been a decent watch.

yep thats better than draft picks

monkebro you in mate?

Umpire is HEEMED

Touk literally raped that umpire

Is Asahi beer good?

THE BOMBERS ARE IN FRONT

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TOTAL SCUMPIRE GENOCIDE

>>154260356
Yes.

>>154260072
>>154260035
Got my quarter. Go Bombies!

>Bombers up at half time
Time to fold Gold Coast

shame it wasnt nick foot

>3-12 free kick count
Umps desperate for the bummers arent they?

>hawks v port next
We could see a 60-0 free kick count given their love for the hawks and hate for port

>Spend all week shitting on the umpires
>Very next week an umpire gets a career ending injury from a thug player
This is what happens when you don't respect the umpires. The lack of respect they're shown off field bleeds through to on the field.
Poor guy is never going to raise his arms again.

*gets bashed*

Wish I was from a country town where I played footy for a club that was football/netball and blokes were earning big money being paid under the table

>>154260406
>Umps desperate for the bummers arent they?
Yes, the AFL is conspiring against the nepobabies. ABV mongs are something else.

>>154260416
Is prostate massage healthy for the prostate? Know you're meant to ejaculate multiple times a week for good health, but what about massaging?

>>154260406
>>154260448
there have been some dodgy ones (mainly duursma and the may non-call in front of goal), but at the same time gold cunts have missed so many opportunities

Haven't been watching. Did the crowd boo Nick at all?

>>154260471
>Suns home game
>crowd

>>154260471
there's not much of a crowd, but no

>>154260471
The crowd clapped and cheered every time he blew the whistle, but it was coming out of the speakers for some reason

coles ad had an asian male white female family
never seen that before

corr ive got something she could jump on

CORRRRRRR

>>154260490
Literally every ad is mixed race couple. Fucking slop. Hang all advertisers.

Just wanna go to Coles and buy $50 of junk food and have an arvo with you blokes watching footy, being a piggy and posting haha is that crazy?

I think Gold Coast compose themselves and win in a blowout

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>>154260345
at coburg watching my burgs get rolled

>>154260509
I pigged out on grapes and cashews.

>>154260528
not if they can't win a clearance

Go away mickhead/arrow poster, everyone despises you

>>154260509
literally used to be me plus a bottle of scotch
t. cheatday bro

That cute jump rope chick has nice, lickable legs desu.

>>154260551
>>154260535
Am I being too crazy though? :p

>me: "time to get fit and healthy. I need to get serious about my life."
>also me: "it's saturday, so that means I have drink 30 beers"

>>154260531
go home the bombies are on

>How courages is the umpire that fell over continuing to umpire the second half?

>>154260574
How many pull ups can you do?

>>154260531
Does posting here make you feel less alone?

>>154260598
be nice. they have very delicate bodies

>>154260607
proxy of zach

Grabbed you by the gilded beans
UURRRRRRGGGGGHH
That's what tradition means

>>154260613
not really i am with mates

>>154260607
Why the fuck does that matter?

What I like about international sports commentary is that they don't feel the need to state the obvious, unlike Australian sports commentators.

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Thinking 10 weeks.

>>154260668
American commentary is worse

>>154260676
I agree, but I chose to omit them. I almost put a * in my post for this exact exception.

>>154260666
If you can't do any then you don't really deserve to pig out.

>>154260450
yes that's right trust the soience good goy

>>154260674
He changes direction suddenly. Touk has no case to answer for. They'll probably still fine him because the league is run by faggots but he won't miss a single game.

>>154260674
touk him out hehe

>>154260707
Touk would've heemed him even if the umpire never moved. You can't be running at pace 30cm away from an umpire.

Ben King looks like a B-list actor who would play an antagonist in a late 90s fantasy film

>>154260701
Get fucked mate, I just want to enjoy my weekend, watch some footy and enjoy some snacks and here you are being an absolute fuckwit

>>154260737
Try and use that anger do a pull up mate

Damn these jews finally got me. Might cave and get kayo again

Is Merrett hurt? Didn't want to kick an easy one.

>>154260701
Pullups, and body weight exercises in general, are for manlets and shouldn't be used as examples of good health for anyone over 175cm.

>>154260748
Don't do it, I'll give you play by play updates.

CHARACTER
RESOLVE
FIGHT
CRINGE

*click click*

>>154260745
How about I show you how strong my fist is and fucking collapse your jaw cunt?

>>154260756
Bringing his teammates into the game m8.

>>154260748
Streams work fine.

The Suns go missing when the whips are cracking

bombers status: on

wahs is starting lads

Any betfags on that know what odds Essendon were before the game?

>>154260766
I'm a pacifist.

>>154260767
not enough fps for me

Just rewatched the Pies/Carlton and how the fuck does the same stuff keep happening to Collingwood every week? Dodgy frees at the worst possible time, weird fixture runs, and then suddenly the rules get “interpreted” differently when it’s us.
I’m not saying the AFL is sitting there scripting games, but at some point it stops feeling like coincidence. Biggest club in the comp and somehow it always feels like we’re being discriminated against. But yeah, just bad luck again I guess lmao

>>154260789
Turn off ray tracing.

>>154260783
I don't bet but I do recall seeing the odds in the SC matchups window and think they were like $10. Suns were virtually unbackable at like $1.08 or something.

>7 delaying both port and crows games today

peak jewing by fox

DUMB NI

>>154260783
It was like 7 or 8
Someone posted it in a prev thread

Could our dosn hang on to win this?

>>154260783
>>154260797
Nick Foot is umpiring this match btw

>>154260800
Can't believe I'm defending Kayo but they pay hundreds of millions for Saturday exclusivity. Lucky it's being shown on FTA at all desu.

>>154260783
$10 on Betfair right before the bounce

>>154260816
they'll kill afl like they killed the a league

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>>154260797
>AFL media/fans frothing in the mouth about an umpire working with a betting company
>AFL puts him on a game in QLD where no one will care to hide him
>$10 underdog wins with a lopsided free kick count

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Kek

Underwood has an abrasive voice. She is not fit to commentate. This will be my only post on the matter

these blue socks look great

>>154260833
It was notably bad during that last passage of play just now.

>>154260833
She's fine on radio. Not amazing, but like B+.

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IT'S ON SIGHT YOU GREEN MAGGOTS

>>154260833
how can you have a commentator of a sport that literally has no remote idea of what it's like to be out on the field
it's not that she's annoying or bad. it's that she literally has zero football iq. when she commentates it's like she's watching a different game

>>154260833
Her "character, resolve, fight" call was pure cringe. She's fucking terrible on every level.

take the glove off rowell ya poof

>>154260851
say that to fraser gehrig, i dare you

>>154260844
I disagree that you need experience to be a good commentator, especially if you're just do the play by play casting.
I just dislike her voice, it reminds me of a wine aunt at a family party and elicits a panic response.

Gold Coast are absolute pretenders

This game is goalslop

Was a bit tempted by Roberts this week but brought in NWM to defence instead but already regretting it. Is looking like a must get. Bombers just move everything through him.

kelli must just pound her pussy all week with big black dildos with how often she gets player names wrong
do a bit of research ya fat pig

why is caldwells skin so red

>>154260871
native american

>>154260857
>it reminds me of a wine aunt at a family party
Was she hot?

you guys traded petracca straight back into your fwd line right?

>>154260858
Petracca and Rowell keeping them in it.

>AFL commentator Kelli Underwood reveals the horrible sporting experience that made her 'hate myself for being gay'

>>154260877
Never traded him out. I just kept having other injury trades to deal with and he was seemingly going to be back sooner so he survived.

>>154260877
Yep

>>154260881
its like all fags have a guility conscious or something

>>154260890
Homosexuality is a trauma response

Touk Miller is my new hero.

McKay is a tard. You have to kill that ball not lay it up for a spike like you're playing volleyball.

nick foot rigging as usual
fucking yellow maggot

kelli squirming at the sight of a big strong shirtless man

They got some footage of an alf member in the front rowe

they just put the camera on me lads

>>154260911
YOU'RE ON REPORT
ABUSE