Thread #62128917
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Oil Baggies No More
>I'm a poor bobo incel who wants to bitch and moan about the strait of hormuz and sandwars
>>>/pol/
>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/
>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices
>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/
>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits
>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform you
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings
>Misc smg:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:
https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G
Back when you fell for it again:
>>62127605
315 RepliesView Thread
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thank you chip gods!
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Keep it up, retards. Keep buying your puts. Keep longing oil.
You’ll lose every single time.
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straight being open (now or in the near future) is pretty much priced in the market is going to ignore any short term noise coming from iranian ircg propaganda social media posts. mm are already planning the next move.
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No matter how many times I run the calculations, there is only one inevitable conclusion: The Nuclear IPO Era.
Index fund managers, jealous of the 2-and-20 of their underperforming hedge fund and private equity friends are now going to unleash an unimaginable weapon against us. Carefully crafted by decades by the top financial engineers.
The Age of the Nuclear IPO is here. And it is headed for the index funds and 401k's of the world. It is inevitable. Massive private bid ups of companies to lead into frontrunning their inclusion in indices immediately after the IPO. The rules are written, the players are in place. And with each nuke they siphon off historic index fund return trends until there is no risk adjusted returns left at all. All that is left is for them to push the button.
SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are only the beginning. It will be a new world. I do not know what it will look like but I know it will mean the end of our current world.
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GPU
>NVDA
>AMD
ASIC
>AVGO
>MRVL
simple as
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>>62128946
The S&P500 needs 1 year before including a stock.
Total Market index funds do not have such a rule, and will include IPOs immediately.
IPOs generally tend to underperform the stock market on average.
As an index fund investor, I do not mind it. I accept that it's part of the concept.
I don't understand the recent frenzy about excluding these mega IPOs from index funds. We don't know whether these companies will do well or not. That's why we own the entire index.
Persoanally I'm not convinced SpaceX is overvalued, I'm happy to own it as part of the index. They do truly meaningful things and have no real competition.
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Also, I've heard some people recommend canceling my escrow account, so that i can pay for my insurance and property taxes personally and then you can get more money in a savings account or get credit card points and other benefits. Is this actually worth the effort?
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>>62128963
We’ll be green, bitch
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>>62128977
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>>62128950
>The S&P500 needs 1 year before including a stock.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/s-p-weighs-rule-cha nges-that-would-speed-spacex-s-p-50 0-entry?embedded-checkout=true
>I don't understand the recent frenzy about excluding these mega IPOs from index funds.
Part of this technology revolves around restricting the float for the few days/weeks before index rebalance. This is not about price discovery which is one of the major bedrocks of the index funds.
https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10711759#:~:text=Market%20particip ants%20say%20the%20company's%20limi ted%20free,release%20less%20than%20 5%20percent%20of%20its
> SpaceX is expected to release less than 5 percent of its total shares to the public — a relatively low level compared with typical large-cap IPOs.
OpenAI, Anthropic, etc. will do the same. These are being engineered with 1 exact purpose. To carve 2-4% of the flesh of those in index funds. It will be obscured for a time by 11% historic returns going to 9% then to 7%, etc. But this is how the incentives are aligned now. Every "great" financial instrument is eventually arbitraged to risk adjusted noise. And now there is finally a way to do this with index funds.
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>>62128977
Blood red gap down but may recover from a tweet or two. I expect crabby selling throughout the week accelerating into Friday close.
Next week blockade is lifted, Hormussy is opened, but this week we get act 3 of the political theatre and dramatic posturing to save face of the leaders of both sides.
I'm going to slurp HARD on Thursday/Friday.
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>>62128866
Monday we'll get yet another David Axios blatant manipulation. And the fuckdumb markets will gulp it down like good sperm once again.
These fucktardeds markets will only start reacting when normalfags can't go to their holiday destination, and the same normalfags fucktards here in this very thread will ask "uuuh why is the market dropping, I don't understand".
This is fucking tiring.
I'm fucking tired.
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The Strait of Hormuz is open.
You might disagree. You might even have some evidence to the contrary.
But you have to ask yourself: is this really worth losing my portfolio over?
The Strait of Hormuz is open.
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>>62128977
>>62128982
It's gonna dump and then pump above the ATH. Then Iran will say no it's closed, it will dump to the previous ATH and then pump again to the next ATH. The resolution of the same "bad" event will pump the market higher and higher to infinity. It's not like we haven't seen it happening last weeks with talks, ceasefire, israel lebanon talking, not talking, pickign a date for ceasefire etc
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> futures
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>>62128977
Really, nothing did happen over the weekend though. The strait had been closed all week and the market pumped all week. Friday was the day I gave in as a bobo and accepted the retard pump as my new deity after closing my puts for a big loss. It does not matter anymore what is real, the market is its own being.
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>>62128991
People don’t want to hear this.
They refuse to Trust The Plan.
They’d rather be a panican and then wonder why they keep losing money.
>>62128992
That’s the MAGACOCK
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don't fight it
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>>62128982
So we're just gonna ignore pic related huh?
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>>62129007
To put it in perspective.
The worst part is even coming back to the green cells doesn't mean it's cheap. It's just normally priced. If not a bit overpriced.
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Strait is open
War doesn't matter, just another irreverent shithole
War is already over there is peace
Donald pump is giving us the golden bull run.
Any one posting different on this or against this are literal sour grapes who missed out sitting cash, people who sold the bottom, or holding heavy oil bags.
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>>62129007
nobody cares about yesterday's newspaper babe.
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>>62129018
Oddities always existed, even back then. They don't even weight that much overall other than Tesla. Tech is not even overpriced, it's not the problem.
The problem is fucking everything else.
Fucking Wallmart with a fucking PE of 45? HELLO?
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and skepticism and cynicism don't profit the way hope does
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After Trump's eecutive order today, Psychedelics will be the next industry to pop, take a psych ticker and leave a psych ticker and lets enjoy our collective trip to the moon, far out man!
>CMPS
>DFTX
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>>62129019
The strait is open.
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>>62129027
even if they were cheap you wouldn't buy them babe. because right now you're not focused on making money, you're focused on proving something, or acting out some kind of ritual i'm not sure. think of the stock market like a menu, and imagine there are no prices on it. swiftie says those places exist by the way and i'd like to take you someday, but anyways you should be focused on making the best company, in this analogy the best meal, not on the particulars. imagine i were paying for your stocks, what companies would you want to own? stop ordering off of the dollar menu and pick what's best.
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>>62129025
I don't think you understand what happens in a crash. Even the fairly or undervalued stocks get heemed -8% a day without any distinction.
>>62129021
Ah yes, le forward PE meme, impervious to anything, totally reliable. It totally helped the retards that bought because le forward PE was down late 2021/early 2022. Oh wait, they got heemed by a -30% by late 2022.
Not saying it's not an indicator to follow, it is, but it's just one of many. Look at how the Shiller PE is calculated, smoothing everything over 10 years to better see if the markets are overvalued or not, instead of this "instant" Forward PE shit that changes every morning.
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MSFT is still on sale bros.
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>>62129048
Yeah, for good reasons
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>>62129008
And most of them are niggers.
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>>62129046
you think anything that happened in the last 5 years ago is repeatable or cyclic? and we're inflecting upwards in growth and just had historic inflation, shiller p/e is uniquely terrible right now and gives zero signal
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>>62129048
potential head and shouldies setup. see my advanced ta.
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Straight outta Hormuz
Crazy motherfucker named Don Trump
Telling everybody they can kiss my white rump.
When I'm called off, I got pissed off
Launch the bombers, and bodies are hauled off
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The strait is open
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I think buying spicy brown Latinx stocks is actually going to be the move.
There 6-7 trillion credit expansion in America simply doesn’t have anywhere to go domestically.
Building mountains of Ti-84 equivalent power computer center in 1980 wouldn’t have been smart either, the tech will improve and deprecate the stuff before it’s even in use.
Trump has pulled back from Asia and has delusions of American empire, but I think the one who replaces him will probably continue this line of New World focus as that credit needs to go somewhere and the opportunity is in spicy nations, Africa is Chinese property.
The US will need resources and it isn’t going to be able to get them from yuros and chinamen anymore, there will be some scheme of us debt for Latinx development and industry.
Long term, white folx will trade places with Latinos and move to the equator where human beings were actually designed to live.
There is no reason to freeze your cock off on the streets of Madison Avenue when you live in a fully automated utopia, settlement of high and low longitudes have been a disaster for the human race.
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strait status?
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>>62129087
>https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2045503858130956788
Open if you have clearance from Iran unless if they decide to shoot you anyways
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just a small heads up that I am going to pump every single fiattoken I own into spy the non-second it dips below 700. do with that information what you will.
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Alright so If we look at the MIcron stock, since micronfag has disappeared like Lum when soxl ate shit back in 2022, micron is a little stinky right now. Trapped in a range from a to b. Howeversobeit prices are expected to surge again and Micron will be well positioned to benefit from this. I think it goes back down to the support at 300 something before it runs up and breaks out to 800 dollars a share.
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when will bears move on from the strait like everyone else already has?
the brown people sand war is already more than priced in, it has been almost 2 months since it started
we're entering a new multi year bull cycle, buy semis and miners
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>>62129108
micron makes dance dance revolution?
>>62129103
My grandfather died on 3 exploded tankers in the strait of hormuz just last week and by the miracle of hannukah he lived to tell the tale and met my grandmother there through the chain link fence
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>>62129114
>"leaders" psyop failed
>"browns" psyop failed
>"schizo" psyop backfired
>"consensus" psyop failed
>media machine didn't work to create predictable behavior in favor of dying for jews
whatever would have happened on occasion jews couldn't have offloaded bags on goyim would probably have gone more backwards in expected timelines than not by now
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Does anyone know the economic situation of the Gulf nations right now? Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain and to a lesser extent Saudi Arabia.
They must be getting close to zero income for over a month. No oil or tourist money, and expats already fled.
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>>62129135
I'm not a fan of Israel
the toll is great for Iran (2 million per ship for 100 or so daily potential ships) but it is actually nothing for the actual consumer and owners of the ships themselves
we're talking about a 1 to 2% equivalent tax here
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>>62129130
yes but pay the toll, get shot anyways
see >>62129100
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>>62129130
1-2% flat extra cost per per barrel seems pretty high, and that's at its current inflated price, the percentage will be even higher in practice. No idea on oil, but companies seem to often operate on very low margin of profit and 1% extra cost to their product would fuck them
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>>62129137
Man, call me an unc, but when I was a kid, I remember watching on prime tv how NATO was bombing Serbia. And now that even the poorest of people have cheap android phones with cameras, we had nothing. We have barely seen any cool stuff.
There used to be war journalists and shit.
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>mfw I heard the Indian captain audio
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>>62129154
2 mil per boat
8 boats per day
= 200 mil per day
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>>62129171
cmon anon give a man a link, I want to hear it
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>>62129151
you are now realizing that freedom of information is a myth and everything you see online is a psyop. Total information control. There isn't even any conflict happening in the strait this is all a handcrafted AI psyop tailor made for you to trick you into losing all your money in the stock market.
Don't believe me? Go outside and ask someone how they think they war will affect oil prices this summer. You'll get incomprehensible babble that sounds retarded because their AI psyop is attuned to completely different attributes.
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>>62129100
>>62129168
i posted it and i got dubz and literally no one cared
i can't feed my village like this
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>>62129162
>SAAR I AM ON THE LIST SAAR MY NAME IS SECOND FROM TOP SAAR!!
>>62129166
>>62129154
Iran has not received one toll payment.
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>>62129172
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2045503858130956788
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>>62129170
the whole point of the blockade is to not need to be rich. Iran wouldn't need dollars but western interests would have required passage through hormuz. That the literal us dollar would have become irrelevant would have been a point to have to gone to war over. Iranian interests could not have cared less about bits added to some random pc's memory at the federal reserve or the treasury
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>>62129102
poor greta
according to the Israeli minister of diaspora affairs and combating antisemitism (yes this is a real government ministry in Israel) she is one of the top 10 leading figures of anti-semitism in the world
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>>62129183
>>62129181
man fuck both of you niggers that's literally the same link i posted
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>>62129174
>You'll get incomprehensible babble that sounds retarded because their AI psyop is attuned to completely different attributes.
most people don't understand basic supply and demand. and they think inflation going down means prices should go down.
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Advanced Millionaire Direction
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TRIPS
AND
THE
MARKET
DIPS
AND
OIL
RIPS
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>>62129222
UNFATHOMABLY BASED
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mumubros nothing can stop us
https://youtu.be/wugY6HNLOCo?si=4wssnb9H_4MkuwEI
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>>62129228
>DA J00Z DA J00Z DA J000000Z!!
Being an antisemitic shitstain is why you are poor
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>>62129265
mumu's bus is coming. bobo doesn't even have fare, he's just here because he likes the atmosphere.
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> nows
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>>62129222
Thanks
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>>62129273
increasing capex. change rom asset light to more asset heavy. notice apple in unchanged.
if you look at the stock prices they have skyrocketed over that period of time by the way. FT aka Europe is always biased against US tech anyway.
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Interesting. Drill baby, drill.
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>>62129286
That's interesting. So the move to cloud infrastructure, and now especially with hyperscaling, is moving them out of the typical low asset tech sector scaling and into something more like utilities or industrial
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>>62129286
all that capex will reappear as 10x earnings
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>>62129302
Ill give it a look.
>>62129285
This is less preferable since breaking the CD usually means you forfeit all interest within a certain time period, usually one year.
Also Id have to call my bank and Im lazy about phone calls.
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>>62129285
>>62129277
Name 1 benefit of buying a retarded CD or putting money into a HYSA when you can literally just open a brokerage account on Fidelity with a base position in SPAXX or just pay the 50 bucks for RH gold to get the 3.5% interest on your unvested cash. And then you also have the ability to immediately slurp any dips without waiting for cash to settle and move.
You fucking retards are such good cattle for messing with any of these bullshit products.
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What "term" are they saying the US violated? Or did they realize how buckbroken they looked and are trying to save face
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>>62129312
sure scramble some railcars to sortie when sputnik comes knockin' again
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>>62129317
You can get a debit card for your fidelity account with a base position in SPAXX if you're a gay retard that uses debit cards. That literally has more liquidity than a CD or an HYSA.
Every normal person with a few nickels to rub together pays with credit anyway so even if it had LESS liquidity it wouldn't be an issue.
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i have to become rich from stock trading, there is no alternative
>>62129339
if you call any boat with guns on it a navy vessel. As advanced as somali pirates.
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>BREAKING: The IRGC Navy is publicly calling Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi an "idiot" on international maritime Channel 16, broadcasting that the Strait of Hormuz "is still closed" and "we will open it by the order of our leader Imam Khamenei, not by the tweets of some idiot."
>He added "All vessels that have a connection with our enemies will be targeted if they try to pass."
kek this is hilarious. Since the very fucking beginning, this clown administration negotiated with the guys holding zero power, and that never held any power since ever in the first place.
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>>62129363
If the IRGC goes rogue because their Imam is in a coma and can't actually give orders and they won't listen to the negotiators that seems incredibly bullish because they're going to start eating each other.
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>>62129374
>>62129377
>>62129378
Market already priced it in for that scenario.
Oil is going to 50.
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>>62129382
leave some gains for the rest of us!
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>>62129363
This retard actually thinks anyone thought the talks would go anywhere. I'm just waiting for more war kino as the retards try to convince everyone Iran is winning because a drone hit an apartment building in Israel.
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i decided to try and saved some money and invested in the cheaper coffee, since coffee is so expensive now..
and it was a bad investment...
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>>62129367
+2,000% in a year
see >>62128922
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>>62129387
>https://x.com/i/status/2045511617300029608
ai
fake news
already priced in
just look away
we are already past this topic
no one cares about india
irgc propaganda
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My dearest sweet hormussy,
Would you please tighten your gap, just for about a week to get the nasdiq to dip down to say..22000. Seems a good number. I'd like to *ahem* enter, a position you see and this may be the only way.
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Been working on my star trek ship. Gonna park it above the hormuz. United states, iran, israel, china, all of them are gonna have to pay ME in monero to get passage. I AM the supervillain of planet earth. Go ahead and stop me. I am the smartest guy on /sci/. You will never beat my laser cannons. Enjoy 1000 dollar oil.
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>>62129377
it's pretty obvious at this point the jews have already accomplished a behind the scenes regime change. going forward we'll see strait tolls funneled to israel and random flare ups when they need a headline.
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>>62129412
You will be so kind as to wait for market open?
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>>62129410
yeah. I usually stock up on the brand I like when it's on sale, but I had run out and it wasn't on sale and I was like... ok, might as well try something else. Last time I tried this, I picked a brand and roast that was alright. Not as good as my preferred, but good enough. This time though... I picked wrong.
It sucks you can't taste the coffee before you buy it
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>>62129418
I don't operate by fiat peasant. I keep it all in the blockchain. I price companies in moneroj. Let the bodies pile up. You will get your mercy when I say so.
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>>62129395
Stop drinking beanwater.
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>>62129429
never and you should delet this post
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Donald Dump is only in charge on the weekends.
Donald Pump will be back on the throne come Monday.
Only up. Baggies cannot win.
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>>62129429
i drink 4 cans of dr pepper, but i pour the dr pepper into a glass, and put ice in it and drink with a straw
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>200+ posts in less than 4 hours on Saturday
you guys really just sit here all weekend until futures open Sunday night huh
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Xommy clan goblino. Strait is GAY!
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>>62129458
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we tried telling you delusional bulls and migatards that the pool still closed and nothing changed. now you're worried your gains will come crashing down lmao. imagine getting high off trump tweets while knowing he's full of shit especially the one where he said no to Israel.
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>>62129458
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> Exxon Mobil Corporation today announced plans to pursue the acquisition of 10 F-35 package units from Lockheed Martin, with an estimated program value of $2.5 billion, as part of a broader strategic initiative to enhance protection of critical energy-linked infrastructure associated with its Qatari LNG interests.
> In addition, ExxonMobil announced the launch in 2027 of a Persian Gulf-based private security and logistics platform operating under the name Diamond Dogs, described here as a maritime-adjacent protection, intelligence, and infrastructure-support organization focused on offshore and coastal energy corridors.
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>>62129486
>Diamond Dogs
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>>62129487
Yes! The great and powerful US military could never possibly lose to desert barbarians!
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>>62129449
You... You do warm it right?
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>>62129494
>Iran is "winning" when they will have no electricity, water, oil, no countries will due business with them due to sanctions and they can't send or receive any supplies or be remotely bombed by ships and planes
I feel bad for people who read the news and believe Iran's toy boats and planes = victory. Iran is getting completely and utterly cucked.
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>>62129496
room temperature dr pepper with ice cubes and straw
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>>62129500
hamburger cheeseburger bigmac whopper
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>>62129523
>In October 2025, GraniteShares' 3x Short AMD ETP (listed in London/Italy) was liquidated after a ~38% surge in AMD stock wiped out its Net Asset Value (NAV) to zero. Trading was suspended, and no redemption payments were made.
you do you
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>>62129523
>Holding a leveraged financial instrument for 30 years
I'd rather get lower returns than lose my hair knowing that possibility that one liquidity event could literally blow up the fund.
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How many of you FOMO'd a portfolio on Friday?
I panic sold for 30% gains.
We are not the same.
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>>62129553
>>62129562
the drag argument is retarded because you also get it in the other direction (leveraged compounding)
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Weekend oil is +5%
https://www.ig.com/en/indices/markets-indices/weekend-oil---us-crude
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>>62129539
Does India even have a navy? They should be naval hegemony with their geography but I’ve never even heard of it existing or entering into any geopolitical analysis. All I have heard is that their anti ship missiles are supposedly decent, and being big into anti ship missiles usually means cuck status.
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>>62128917
>SPY and VOOG both beat my SPMO recently
>FMTM is just rawdogging me with back to back wins
expense ratio of 0.45% but the returns and safety is ridiculous, what am i missing here, this seems too good to be true
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The strait isn't closed. Reply to this post with positive affirmations about the strait.
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>>62129563
Chimped several thou into Nintendo
>Big news in the pipelines
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>>62129590
>Putting money into Nintendo
Theyre practically giving their games away at Costco and people still aren't buying them.
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>>62129590
I'm a happy owner of Nintendo share. They'll still be there in 100 years, and that's enough for me to know.
I don't own filthy ADR shares though, I own real shares on the Tokyo Stocks Exchange like a real man. Kinda hurts how a transaction has to be a minimum of 100 shares, but it's worth it.
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>>62129617
The blockade was announced as part of the ceasefire. If you believe Iran's lies I feel sorry for you. They have no moves left. All they can do is attack defenseless civilian vessels, defend terrorist organizations and get cucked to death in the process.
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>>62129621
What did Iran change its mind about? The problem seemed to be that the other side didn't implement the ceasefire in Lebanon. It was confirmed by the mediator, Pakistan, that the agreement included Lebanon as part of the ceasefire. Eventually the other side did implement a ceasefire in Lebanon, but only after imposing a blockade on Iran.
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>>62129622
The blockade of Iran was announced by Trump days after the supposed start date of the ceasefire, after the meeting in Islamabad. This is public record, so there is no point in you trying to rewrite history.
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Please dip so I can buy more. Donald Dump please...
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>>62129644
IRANIAN NAVY HERE, DO NOT CROSS THE STRAIT
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>>62129649
good. this will make you stronger.
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>>62129649
Double down and go long on FRIGGED.
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>>62129661
Since the ceasefire was not being implemented in Lebanon
>>62129631
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