Thread #62129635
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Praise be to Allah edition

>I'm a poor bobo incel who wants to bitch and moan about the strait of hormuz and sandwars
>>>/pol/

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/

>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits

>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform you
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings

>Misc smg:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:
https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G

previous smigger thread
>>62128917
+Showing all 318 replies.
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>>62129635
Is that why he doesn't drink alcohol?
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>smelling a beautiful woman's entire ass from top to bottom

buy (female) natural gas
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>>62129635
has this been fact-checked??
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>>62129641
Yes.
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>>62129648
Snoped even.
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Iran already blocked the strait during the ceasefire. Nothing changed. Iran is still stuck in the same position. US Navy closed their ports with the blockade. They can't do shit.
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>>62129648
He doesn't even drink alcohol or eat pork
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Just a tiny weeny small bomb would make the world lot 'brighter'... Well... No... But certainly my portfolio would.

Europoor 4 life. Sad.
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>>62129659
>6 gigawatts
So just ten or twelve nuclear reactors worth then. No biggy.
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>>62129659
6.0 GIGAWATTS. 6.0 GIGAWATTS GREAT SCOT
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>>62129635
Lmao how this went Spanish in 10 generations
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>>62129668
I know the feeling, brother. I just want the markets to collapse so I can stop being poor. Why can't bears win?
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oh god I have to do some MS Excel spreadsheet surgery
Perfect way to spend a saturday, actually
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>>62129674
depends on the size of the plant. Westinghouse 4-loop PWR makes 1,200 megawatts. Combustion Engineering 2-loop PWR does 870.

When TMI Unit 1 is restarted it will do 860. Thats a B&W PWR.
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Muhammad (PBUH) & Jelly sandwich
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Wake me up before the next TACO. I’ve got 33% cash for slurping
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>>62129685
Whats the sheet for?
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>>62129647
this degeneracy must cease immediately
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>>62129665
>>>/pol/ptg/
That way migger.
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>>62129708
It's my mega sheet to track my finances over my lifetime. I realized it was estimated my expected future credit card spend incorrectly. Need to fix that to plan for the future
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why did iran attack again?
>>
Some of you smiggers are alright, don't come to the stock market on Monday.

Also I'm going long BANB for the peptide revolution!
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>>62129721
Do you pull your financial data from anywhere or track it yourself manually? I was thinking about something like that but couldn't find any API that would report balances and interest charge accurately
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>>62129647
when ever i see sexy butt i scream AWUNGA and want my face in that ass
but today i though like why? why would i want that? ass will smell like shit. whats the mental reason for that? i will not gain anything from that. wanting to put your face between boobs is still relateable because you got milk as a baby so its not that far but ass? just why?
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>>62129728
I just enter everything manually. It's a pain, but I do it every day then refresh the sheet (takes like 10 seconds to recalculate everything) to see when I'm going to run out of money.
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>>62129723
because you touch yourself at night
>>
I use monarch money because I like supporting female owned businesses
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>>62129728
It's too much of a fuck around if you have multiple bank / exchanges accounts because there's no standardised api for them all.

Yet.

There should be.

By now.
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>>62129723
Nip-slip incident. It was more of a selective lighting swimsuit show through. Had to do a war anyway.
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>>62129744
Even if I could find an API some of them don't have info I wanted like the current rate I'm being charged so I could project my interest for the month on my balance. If this existed it would be nice yeah don't understand why it doesn't exist.
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I’m getting spooked again. Maybe I should have gone 100% cash on Friday.

If this war restarts I think we’re in for a bad time on the market.
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>>62129778
Uh huh. You really believe that huh
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>>62129752
They already have some ability to do it because in the UK various banks are encouraging you to bond accounts you have at other banks to theirs so you can view them in the same place. But thats party just so they can take a peak at where else you're holding money and how much.

And yes the data formatting and what's included is a bit lacking.

Binance was (is - I don't use it anymore) absolutely fucking horrendous for trying to get your transaction data from.
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>>62129778
If there is extreme fear on the weekend, we are going into the green on Monday. Always expect the opposite. We are living in clown times.
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>>62129778
>If
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How long can Big Don's circus keep fooling people? Another week? Another month? When should I buy my puts?
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i bought OWL. i am prepared to be wrong.
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>>62129790
>SPY at 720
>Pools still not open
>Didn't buy puts

You blew it but you can't accept that, you'll chase and get burned by the next Truth Nuke
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>>62129790
Huh? You think it’s going down while hyper inflation occurs? Indexes are near record highs. If anything we only go up with record capex for AI.
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>>62129785
Middle East getting fucked up first time around was bad if it happens again as the world was recovering it’s gonna be even worse. A lot of the upswing lately was based on the hopeful idea that the oil shortage was gonna be short lived.
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>>62129792
I like OWL & I like owls.

For fat dividends and growth, I also like
ARCC
AGNC
HTGC
ADM
>>
> futures
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>>62129792
I was looking at that for a rebound play
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>>62129805
thanks ill take a look!
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>>62129792
I levered BX on friday I am ruined.
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>>62129720
whatever you say oil barrel holder. you spread propaganda here every day in hopes of filling your oil barrels. faggot
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>>62129808
>That slicing method
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>>62129810
heck yeah. i bought BX and OWL. i figured i'd go high quality and lower quality to lessen my risk vs all in on OWL.
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>>62129790
We've known since outset the operation could go till end of April nothing has changed. if needed a war powers resolution will be passed to continue things
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>futures
https://i.4cdn.org/wsg/1774863115671559.mp4" target="_blank">https://i.4cdn.org/wsg/1774863115671559.mp4
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>>62129812
i have $10k in shares. i think we'll be ok.
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>>62129808
dude. her asshole is basically hanging out and that bitch is cooking like that.
>>
>it's another subtle "spaniards are brown" post
fuck off OP
you will never be European Mehmet
>>
How are oil futures?
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>>62129685
I have spreadsheets that I've forgotten how they even work. The one predicting propeller performance will probably take a month to figure out.
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>>62129824
I'm ~5% of account in early 27 leaps. Might buy some otm monday as well. Earnings just makes me nervous but long expiry should be ok.
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>>62129727
I was actually in that /r9k/ thread.
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>>62129808
I'm beginning to think your gifs don't actually have anything to do with the current state of futures
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>>62129778
It never ended you clown. Lucky for you the last time oil ripped the market didn't give a shit.
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>>62129832
Nice. i'll take a look at the leaps. i wouldn't mind more BX. Like you i think the crash in the shares is overdone.
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>>62129834
You'll have to refresh my memory
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>>62129836
It will
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>>62129665
ok iran blocked the strait so only china and russia can do shit. you're retarded.
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>>62129852
Iran's ports are closed by america Iran can't do shit other countries are irrelevant. Perhaps you should speak in your first language so you sound less dumb oil bagholder
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>>62129808
How much extra for her to fart in the box?
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>>62129831
Yeah,that's the problem with spreadsheets. I know what this formula does, but not at all how it fucking does it. I'm still trying to figure it out exactly. This isn't even in the top 10 most complicated formulas in this sheet either. I guess I was supposed to name the ranges and cells, but it's too late for that now. My sheet is 578 rows and goes to column QB
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>>62129854
YELLOW JAP
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>>62129858
Why don't you ask Claude to do it for you :)
>>
REMINDER:

You fill your car with gasoline, not oil.
You eat food, not fertilizer.

None of this shit matters in the real world
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>>62129862
I'm on an old version. Is it compatible with Excel 2016?
It did a half decent job with figuring out the formula.
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>>62129685
VBA, power query, power pivot?
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>>62129868
Certainly not in the civilized one. Which is the only one that is relevant.
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>>62129868
its not like China and India will let 2 billion of their own people starve over Iran
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>>62129871
Nope, just raw formulas. Some of them are array formulas. See >>62129858
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>>62129869
>He's a spreadsheet monkey
>He's going to be replaced by Claude within 3 years
>He's not utilising Claude during this unprecedented goldilocks period of enhanced productivity with zero effort

I hope they pay you well, but I suspect they don't.
>>
>>62129875
A. No, I'm not a spreadsheet monkey. I do it for fun as a hobby. It wasn't my career.
B. I'm currently a neet anyway so it doesn't matter
But yes, I need this sheet to work so I can see when I run out of my neet savings
>>
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Grok made this, based or cringe?
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>>62129876
>For fun, as a hobby
>On a Saturday night

WTF smigger, you might win most autistic poster of the day. Well good luck with your hobby, do you have any stonk spreadsheets for us?
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>>62129883
It's less than 3X the gain and more than 3X the loss. There are fees to be paid.
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>>62129884
The one I use to generate this graph: >>62126686
but that's a separate sheet and relatively simple compared to this one. Though, the logic to separate out the two yearly performances was tricky.
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>>62129883
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>>62129887
Oh you're Ding Ding Ding anon AKA the weakest hands in the west who sold the very picto bottom of Liberation Day.

What are you holding and why isn't it GRRR?
You will make back all your losses over the next 3 months.
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>>62129835
I have many relevant animated jpgs on deck for this week thoughever..
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>>62129886
I love when I lose money and pay fees for doing it
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Quick reminder the zoomers posting here still think they can get away from this because le donald has their back and le FED will print oil
>>
In the six years of me browsing /smg/ and thirteen years on /biz/, I have never once seen anyone as euphoric as mumus were late last week. That was the top for this business cycle. Now we dump for the next two to three years.
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>>62129895
Print my ballz
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>>62129896
you neggros already had 2 dumps in the past 12 months. enough is enough.
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>>62129891
Kek, that's very based anon. How old of an oldfag are you
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>>62129896
3 weeks ago bears were saying that the west is over.
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niggers?
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>>62129890
Right now just some QLD, SSO, and SCHD.
>>
I read he's actually of Danish nobility, not Moorish or Spanish or English. That would explain Barron's height.
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>>62129910
Smigger you are literally never going to make it with that grandma portfolio, long GRRR & IREN & NOW & HIMS & FLY

Thank me later, I really do want the best 4 u :3
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>>62129905
i am very new on 4chan, only actively posting since 4 months ago. of course I am a lifelong chud internet nerd posting at least somewhere since SA but 4chan to me is new, I like it
I view futuresposting here as the same thing as coffee duty at AA
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>>62129883
make a David SOXL shirt and sell it on Redbubble
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>gasoline comes from the gas station
>food comes from the grocery store
>medicine comes from the pharmacy
>oil comes from futures contracts
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GRRR cookie, how heavy are your bags?
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>>62129858
>>62129831
you really should learn VBA and user defined functions, power query/model/pivot. Excel is capable of far far more than a few spreadsheet formulas.
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dns block again? fag jannies should be gassed
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>>62129896
We had a 20% pullback last year
Bears have the most retarded memories

recessions usually bottom out in within like 7 months
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>>62129932
The best technical and career advice anyone ever gave me was "you don't want to be really good at spreadsheets" followed closely by "you don't want to get a phd."
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>>62129881
>backside of the hill
WHERE WERE YOU IN DECEMBER, GOOBER?
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>>62129904
>>62129907
>>62129935
The strait is closed and you're *still* euphoric. The market will beat some sense back into you.
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>>62129931
This will be silly green in 2 weeks, in 2 months I’ll be a gorillionaire
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>>62129939
up and to the right. cmon anon, repeat after me. UP AND TO THE RIGHT.
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>>62129939
>The market will beat some sense back into you.
clearly it hasnt worked on bears yet lol
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>>62129942
>He chimped in
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>>62129949
Its nothing personal kid, its just monkey business
>>
SELL IMMEDIATELY.
Close ALL your positions NOW.
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>>62129952
omg
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>>62129952
ok i can see how the doomer bears are created now

>chokes off the worlds oil supply
lol
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>>62129952
nothing ever happens
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How do I use Claude on my laptop
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Maybe ill get an xop exit.
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>>62129952
>Iran did this
tiring
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>>62129943
Anon do you know why the stock market always goes up and to the right
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>>62129962
Shut the fuck up.
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>>62129952
The exact same as it was before when oil was trending down around $90
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>>62129952
Heck!
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>>62129967
Your right I'll ask chatgpt
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>>62129873
India and china will just outbid africa
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>>62129952
the world's oil supply just flew over my house!
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Can the US and Israel stop being fucking faggots for one day? We're gonna crash so hard on monday.
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>>62129952
robinhood won't let me sell!!!
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>>62129962
buy claude code and use it
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>>62129974
couldnt that be said of almost any country? so the strait really doesnt matter with that logic?
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>Pakistani negotiators
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>>62129928
I've read my daily image generation limit im afraid.
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>>62129952
Called my female broker, she said i can't sell
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>>62129881
i own SO and DUK
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>>62129990
reached*
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>>62129982
Some countries already gave up early on. Pakistan gave up trying to buy LNG for example.

I don't think anyone can afford to give up on diesel and gasoline though, there will be riots.
But there is plenty of crude in storage which can be refined, so it's ok. LNG is harder to store that's why it was fucked from day 1.
>>
>>62129936
What is good for your career then? I wouldn't get bogged down in the details of excel sure, but VBA is extremely transferable to other programming languages, and if you can do spreadsheets you can absolutely do arrays and databases
>>
I ran out of Grok posts so I made this myself,

based or cringe?
>>
ctrl f: insider
>0 results

Oh so we're at the stage where nobody discusses it and everyone accepts it
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>>62130001
the nations who deserve the biggest cuck prize in the world can't buy oil because they're cucked.
India had no issues buying russian oil since putin started the war, pakistan is cucked so it wasn't allowed to. It still isn't allowed to because its cucked. Sovereign nations like india will defeat africa and buy fertilizer. Pakistan will probably starve along with the congo etc.

The top of the food chain is europe and america. They will outbid everyone and there will never be a shortage. Latin america and east asia will lose a lot of money getting their shit but they'll manage. India will partially starve, but the pakis and africans will get hit the hardest
>>
>>62130013
ew!
>>
>>62130017
The government is unmasking the identity of the insiders through prediction markets accounts. Takes time.
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>>62130017
wait until you find out about how the Kennedys made their money 100 years ago... or how OPEC manipulates the market lol.
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>>62129987
This really is the most bullish thing for oil
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>>62130021
How about now?
>>
>>62129635
Anyone got the scoop on INFQ? Nvidia partnership? Quantum AI stuff? GOOG/IONQ/INFQ

neutral atom is the new thing im seeing
>>
>>62130032
very good!
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>>62130032
better lol
>>
I can't post
>>
What are the odds we get a -6% week next week?
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There will be no deal. That was never the intention.

The second phase will begin soon.

Bullseyes are on a lot of IRGC heads. They fucked up. They didn’t realize they aren’t dealing with libtards or neoconservatives and came out of their apartments. The US sees everything.

This will be over by mid-may. And the US will win.
>>
>>62129808
Cute
>>
It might be obvious but it's worth saying again that Trump is NOT a source. He can and will and has just said shit before purely to manipulate markets.
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>read about Berkshire Hathaway
>Buffett let CEOs and manager stay even if they underperformed for years
>new CEO wants to sort it out a bit

i do a bit of a read into Berkshire... its just GEICO, BNSF, a utility company, apple shares, AXP, KO, BAC, CVX, and 350B in treasuries they refused to deploy in 2020, 2022, 2025, or this last selloff.

it trades at 16x earnings when you exclude the cash and interest from that cash. despite being down 10% for the year it doesnt seem to be a bargain. BNSF seems to have underperformed the market for years which matches with publicly traded UNP which is only up 12% in the last 5 years.

maybe BRK.B is worth a look on a massive selloff.... it should probably be broken up honestly.
>>
>>62129995
Nothing stopping you from signing a contract with someone to sell your stock to him on monday for a price agreed on today
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>>62130051
>escalation
>not a good day for you
Retard this is an oil schizo thread .
Take your avatar posting back to /pol/
>>
>"Israel" violated the ceasefire again.
I wonder who the fuck thought they would adhere to a deal for the first time in their 80 years of history.

>>62130051
Imagine being this retarded. If you were my grandfather I would have to put you out of your misery.
>>
>>62129808
I'd like to point out that this bitch's videos are always the same. Booty shorts, cooking pizza. Like 100 videos of the same thing and she was recently featured on the front page of Yahoo.com talking about how she's sick of the unwanted attention she gets from male followers
>>
Trump (peace be upon him) was and is and will continue to be the only source.
>>
okay rate my EWY t shirt
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>>62130072
THAT'S A EUROPEAN CAR
>>
pool's closed
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>>62130056
I could imagine that they'll bleed at least 25-30% once Buffett kicks the bucket. He's basically the entire image of the company. Without him it will become a literally who company holding whatever the fuck and being run by literally whos.
>inb4 priced in
>>
>>62130080
Vassal state
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>>62129932
Yeah, I know I could, but I just don't want to. I find working directly with formulas fun. It's a challenge to see what I can do with just the functions. If my job were Excel, then yeah I'd relearn VBA and all the other stuff, but I'm just having fun and tracking my finances.
>>
>>62130072
I don't think I've ever seen him driving before. Does he still drive today? (golf cart doesn't count)
>>
>>62130074
looks good!
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>>62129930
Quick reminder that the market was bought these past two weeks by le smart money (the ones that underperform 90% of the time), while, for once, retailchads stayed away from it. The same retailchads that bought the april dump last year while le smart money was cucked out and stayed away.
Trade accordingly.
>>
>futures
https://www.reddit.com/media?url=https%3A%2F%2Fi.redd.it%2Fyy5ofyr8l6r81.jpg
It doesn't let me upload from my ip. God damn, 4chan is trash.
>>
>>62130072
he's literally retarded though?
>>
>>62130072
>FULL SERVICE ISLAND
the clues were hiding in plain sight
>>
>>62130083
i 100% agree bro. i could be wrong but there didnt seem to be anything special there especially without Buffett. i was hoping there was some opportunity there but found none.
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>>62130094
damn nigger rich chads get to have all the fun fuck poordom
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>>62130090
Go back
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>>62129952
>Headlines switching to doomer posts now.
Beartrap flag.
>>
>>62129896
>In the six years of me browsing /smg/ and thirteen years on /biz/, I have never once seen anyone as euphoric as mumus were late last week. That was the top for this business cycle. Now we dump for the next two to three years.
they were like that because the stock market had a historic once in a life time run, an insane massive giga rally which normally only happens deep in a bear market
of course they would be happy. So you can't use that as a metric.

to see if this is bearish, you need to look at history. and it turns out massive giga rallies are very bullish 12 months out, AFTER you buy at the top of the rally.
Think about it. If you buy right now, at the top, you are still very likely to do very well over the next 12 months.
I agree it makes no sense, and there will be a pullback, and likely come back down below spy 700 until november, but we will shoot back up after the election like nothing
and spy 770 or spy 7700 will be easy by end of year. That's only a 10% gain YTD. Easy!
>>
>>62130098
or maybe its just the same coordinated fake out which has been happening on an ultra predictable pattern for 4 weeks straight.
>>
>>62129939
the iranians are playing around. they shot some machine guns at a ship. if they were seriously, they'd just shoot a missile and kill everyone on board with the oil fireball.

even their rhetoric has totally shifted. "I will totally kick your ass tomorrow, maybe, in the future!"
it sounds like tough guy talk, but it's just signaling. If they were serious, they'd just go psycho mode, kill some people, then declare the worst is yet to come and the infidels will feel their wrath.
>>
I look at the ridiculous pump and I wonder how the fuck that happens when shit is still fucked.
>>62129868
Then I see this and I'm reminded that retards exist.
>>62130101
Listen, it's just so the richest pedophiles in the history of mankind can become even richer. And also to help "Israel", but I repeat myself.
>>
>>62130106
Their goal is not to kill random people

What a dumb argument
>>
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>>62130072
Trump is blessed by God
>>62130090
You have to go back
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Ok I finished my spreadsheet edits. I went with a much simpler solution. Turns out my fucked up formula was over-predicting my spending by a lot. With my updates, I actually gained almost a full year of neet runway
>>
>600 EUR for 2 hours
gawd damn even escorts did price hikes
>>
>>62130110
>Their goal is not to kill random people
>What a dumb argument
but they have killed people before in the past?
They literally just shot some bullets at a ship, then stopped. They could have done much worse, and have done so previously

So this is de-escalation.
>>
>>62130111
He's literally the person who checks most items on the Anti-Christ checklist.

American "Christians" are just way too American to ever internalise the teachings of the New Testament.

>>62130113
At that price point, it's cheaper to go steady.
>>
How does /smg/ feel about precious metals? What percent of your portfolio are they? For me, it’s 10%.
>>
>>62130122
If by precious metals you mean semis then 30%
>>
>>62130122
Can not believe the AI recommended divesting into frigging gold of all things when I asked it to review my portfolio this evening.

>Yeah, sure dude, just like, buy the absolute generational peak of your lifetime
>>
>>62130125
I think the long term target for gold according to most major banks is significantly higher than it is now. In general, it’s good to accumulate what the central banks are accumulating.
>>
>>62130113
crackheads are still solid IMHO
the homeless and drug addicted have exploded recently and the cost of living crises here in the states has accelerated even non drug addicted people facing homelessness

I recently busted the arse of a homeless woman living in a storage unit downtown. Railed her good for only $50.
>>
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>>62130122
I only like them in ancient coin form
>>
>>62130122
0% right now
countries are selling gold to buy oil.

I'll buy back at 3k
>>
>>62130101
Yeah, that’s the beartrap..
>>
>>62130125
gold was $300/oz at the time of the 9/11 attacks. Now its $5000/oz and all time highs. thats not random, that's a structural reassessment of gold vs. USD
>>
>>62130125
"AI" is not intelligent. So you learned something today.
>>
WEEKEND OIL DUMPING
>>
>>62130132
Seems like the liquidity dump happened when it hit 4400. But yeah, it could go lower, especially if this drags. Central banks are still buying during this crisis though. I think it’s hard to time, so I just try to have 10% in.
>>
>>62130137
AI speak is so funny to me.
I’m surprised we don’t have ai-jaks anthropomorphizing and mocking their behavioral quirks yet.
We’ll get there eventually I guess.
>>
Why is oil taking a shit? Did Donny tweet something?
>>
Buy the dip
>>
>>62130129
You did remember to padlock her back in there?
>>
INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDERS ON OIL

ITS GOING TO EXPLODE TO $100
>>
Has anyone ever back tested astrological charts? Are we sure theres not any alpha there?
>>
>>62130159
Not buying your bags, Mr. Chevron
>>
Okay rate the back of my EWY hoodie that I just made
>>
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>>62130174
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0927539805000691
>>
>>62130191
heheh
>>
>>62130200
lets go boys!
>>
>>62130122
>How does /smg/ feel about precious metals? What percent of your portfolio are they? For me, it’s 10%.
I like gold, but not when it's behaving like retail fomo hype risk on kind of stuff
I'll buy it again when it is less exciting, and more like risk off.
>>
>>62130141
longterm I'd like to have 60% or more in gold
>>
>>62130122
i have 5% gold because it's supposed to decrease the volatility of a portfolio
>>
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>>62130191
ok, so what do i do with that information?
>>
>>62130207
This is because of paper gold and the shenanigans of the banks to get more gold at a discount.
>>
>>62130190
Very drippy
>>
>>62130221
i havent read the paper but the abstract seems to say buy around a new moon.
>>
>>62129666
That's because he is jewish.
It has leaked a few years ago but was deleted.
>>
Why do you guys buy semiconductors when the AI industry is fake, just in all teh AIs are faking their test scores
https://youtu.be/Oq5e_8zvick
>>
>>62130227
just because stock returns are higher around a new moon doesn't mean i don't want to capture the returns of all other days too
>>
>>62130049
>-6%
bump, I need my bear spreads to print
>>
the same fags who said silver was going to 500 dollars, gold to 10k are the same fags saying oil is going to 200
>>
(...) Here.
https://www.brighteon.com/419b3679-f177-429e-8969-1f8f08f403b7
>>
>>62130244
gold is heading to 3.7k then 6k.
oil was pretty high in 2022, the least it can do in this crisis is head to 200.
The invasion of tehran hasn't been priced in yet.
>>
>>62130239
its obviously for traders and not VOO and chill
>>
I buy the top, and sell the bottom

I went all in Friday, after selling everything at bottom 2 weeks ago. Ask me anything if you want a reverse indicator. I'll tell you what I think

I've been trading like this since 2014. 12 years of trading, and investing, and I'm negative.. I've lost about 40% of the value of my portfoloio. And I don't even make risky trades.

I was literally all treasuries in 2022, thinking that I was safe, and the bond apocalypse happened

No matter what I do, whether it's tradinhg or investing, I lose.

Since I'm all in right now, an apocalypse is probably about to happen
>>
>>62130122
I only care about gold, and i have aem and wpm. It's 10%.

Gold and oil has an inverse relationship right now, so when oil goes down gold goes up. I also believe in no rate hikes so having 10% is quite nice, gives room to double down if we have a crash

If you're in for a quick buck pm race is over
>>
>>62130257
The fact that youre only down 40% despite being the one and only omen neccesitates you arent the omen because the omen would have lost all their money already by pre-empting every investing catastrophe
>>
>>62129936
>"you don't want to be really good at spreadsheets"
Whoever told you that is a complete retard not capable of understanding microsofty developed Excel, Access, (most of Microsoft office) and SQL to all work together and make very powerful data analysis tools. If you thought that was the best technical and career advice you ever got, well you must be retarded also, I hate to say it. That person really derailed your potential, and maybe they did that on purpose to protect themselves.
>>
me and my biggest client (mom) are having a night out to celebrate the new highs. goodnight babes.
>>
>>62130257
Ok. Would you invest in health insurance next week?
>>
>>62130261
The only reason I hadn';t had my account get blown up is that I don't use leverage
>>
>>62130257
>Since I'm all in right now, an apocalypse is probably about to happen
yes it is. I own treasuries but I bought at 40 not 200, but I also own oil. I sold everything else.
>>
This whole recent pump was based on the war ending and the strait reopening. If the ceasefire ends and the US starts dropping bombs again, Iran will probably tell the Houthis to close off the Red Sea. That's 7 million bbl/day gone immediately, which, together with the Hormuz being closed, would be fucking apocalyptic for the global economy.
Anons, I'm genuinely scared...
>>
>>62130257
Fucking legend, anon. Let me ask you something. What keeps you going? Some people may laugh at you but you may have somewhat of a faustian spirit.
>>
>>62130264
No, I wouldn't. I did buy some health insurance company, i think AIG around 2020, but I'm not interested in them now. When it comes to financials, I like JPM
>>
>Futures
>>
>>62130257
Dude, just exit this kiked market. Really. Do something else.
>>
>>62130268
the hope of a 10% annual return
>>
>>62130257
Losses are fun too bro
>>
>>62130257
>an apocalypse is probably about to happen
With a full moon right around the corner? Ch'ya...
>>
>>62130275
he can buy gold and gold for 10 years for a 2x
>>
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>futures
>>
sometimes I look at the last 3 months ofmy life and wonder why the fuck I always fuck myself so hard.
>>
>>62130267
and the US stock market wilkl gap up 1%-3% monday, and close 1.8% up for the day
>>
>>62130267
>I'm genuinely scared...
Would it be fair to say, you're a little... panicked?
>>
I am from the future.
Bloodbath on Monday, then comes a TACO before close. Fake "peace" talks until friday to give the last pump. Then war resumes during the weekend. Do whatever you want with this info.
>>
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>>62130267
Panican detected
>>
I am American and want to buy stock in a European company. The ADR is weird and doesn't seem to map to the share price. What's the best broker for actually buying foreign stocks?
>>
>>62130218
Except it doesn't, it increases it. Sorry lil bro you got sold a lie
>>
>>62130316
Why would you buy into a dying continent?
>>
>>62130312
easy dip to buy.
>>
>>62130257
Literally all you had to do was bogle and you would have won, even just learning from your mistakes and just holding after a few years of bad trading would have put you ahead. Literally why do you keep trying to time the market? What kind of mental illness?
>>
>>62130323
Most of their economies are ass but there are still opportunities to be found.
>>
>>62130323
>about to lose the hegemon status to chinks
>chinks doing business with europe
>everybody dumping the dollar all around the world
>becoming a rogue, pirate state that became isolated in the international stage
America is a dying continent
>>
>>62130257
>>62130327
This. Anon, just buy and hold. You will get a better return AND you won't save a TON of time. Life is already hard. Don't make it harder on yourself.
>>
>>62130327
I am relatively new to investing and I made that exact same mistake. Trying to time the market is insane. And it actually makes you insane, looking at charts like a madman.
>>
>>62130257
Thank you for validating my nearly-all-cash position
>>
>>62130334
>US controls all straits in the world
>US is destroying all of chinas allies
>Xi is going to kiss Trump’s ring
>yurotards embarrassed themselves holding a meeting to open a strait that they can’t even sail to
>land war right in the fucking yurotard continent
US is solid. Yuropoors LOST
>>
>>62130350
Jiang says china is just a slave state to america
>>
>>62130200
Full moon is May 1st for the record
>>
>>62130257
It's just going to crab. Unless something escalated massively and a whole lot more possibilities open up nobody is caring and the Iran war anymore.
>>
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>>62130334
you can be mad but since investing is about making money so lets at least recognize reality.

some EU companies like Airbus are great but its not a booming continent.
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>>62130334
chinese EVs and manufacturing are a real risk to the EU especially germany.
>>
ngl bros but I dont like the current sentiment. we need a lil bit more positivity around here. how about we stop doomposting for a while like for a few months. lets just see how it feels. ok?
>>
should I buy Jan 27' 35$c for WEAT? the calls are cheap and during the Ukraine war it went above 50$ and this is much much worse, reason its so far out is because I have no idea when futures are going to start pricing in the supply shocks
>>
Just got 7200 in extra cash today selling an old tractor i dont need... should I put it towards my home principle or buy AGNC
>>
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>>62130357
People really don’t understand how absolutely batshit crazy and delusional yurotards are. They live in some strange fantasyland that doesn’t exist, it’s like they are hooked into the matrix and are getting raped in Zion by some room temperature IQ muslim and they don’t even know it.
>>
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>>62130267
>Houthis to close off the Red Sea. That's 7 million bbl/day gone immediately,
I don't see how. Let me get straight, this market is completely dysfunctional and should be down -25% at least, but I fail to see what the houdinis would be a problem. if you can't get the oil out from the south, just go north in Suez. There, problem solved.
>>
>>62130359
jujitsued those panicans, verbally
>>
>>62130327
Bogleing is the smart play, but its so just soulless idk..

>>62130338
>And it actually makes you insane, looking at charts like a madman.
I know, right? Its unironically fun
>>
>>62130376
monopoly money
>>
>>62130338
>Trying to time the market is insane. And it actually makes you insane, looking at charts like a madman
This one's pretty easy
>>
>>62130383
u don't say
>>
>>62130387
Diapers made of gold and silver are being used in that study.
>>
>>62130386
>that massive recent dump
Is the new nintendo goyslop console that bad?
>>
>>62130378
if they exit thru suez they have to sail all the way around africa to reach SEA & australia, india, etc. its so inefficient lol
>>
>>62130383
If Mississippi seceded from our Blessed Union and attack the UK, the UK would fall in days.
>>
>>62130394
It's a global market. Have it go to Europe instead, that's just nearby, and then it frees up oil Europe would buy from elsewhere so that oil goes to Asia instead.
Free trade always find a way.
>>
>>62130386
It’s time in the market not time in a shit stock like Nintendo
>>
>>62130378
>just sail around africa bro
>>62130374
if your rate is high i would pay the house. but i also dumped most of my position so it's probably a really good time to buy AGNC, earnings tomorrow
>>
>/smg/ was bearish on Kikebook 3 years ago, thus I bought it
>/smg was bearish on Apple all the same, thus I bought it
>/smg/ was bearish on Google last may/june, thus I bought it
>/smg/ was bearish on fucking Microsoft just 2 weeks ago, thus I bought it
>/smg/ is bearish on Nintendo, that I just bought 3 days ago
I'm starting to notice a pattern. Thanks for making me rich, /smg/!
>>
>>62130393
Wii U syndrome. Launched without clear distinction from previous console and worse, without games. Still no system-moving games even on the horizon, let alone released.
>>
>>62130406
as a nintendo investor I would have sold the nano-second they released the metroid prime 4 trailer with that stupid bike.
>>
> futures
>>
>>62130405
I'm bearish on UVIX
>>
>>62130411
I played that game (on Switch 1). It was good enough to finish it but I will never play it again and I am very happy that I pirated it. If Nintendo's got more of that coming down the pipeline, yeah they're in trouble.
>>
>>62130405
bears are just cheapos who would rather miss everything than over pay for even a single thing.
>>
>>62130262
Meh, I've definitely met a couple people too good at spreadsheets. There's a point of depreciating returns where just learning to fucking program instead is worth your time instead.
>>
>>62130393
It's one of those cases where a stock gets amped like crazy because of the idea of Product in a way that Product can never match the expectations of so the actual release turns into an instadump. Plus tariffs and all the ram shit have kept it on a downward trajectory
>>
So what are you buying on Monday's dip (aka sale)?

For me?

More photonics

I hope AERH and Amkor dip big time
>>
I lost everything. $27k shorting the most insane and idiotic rip I've ever seen. I still have $250 in bear spreads expiring 4/24 and 5/01. If SPY dips 6% by this Friday, I might recover 50%.

I'm in disbelief that I fucked up this bad.
>>
>>62130405
I'm bearish on gold

>>62130378
I can't believe Ethiopia, Sudan and Somalia are allowing tankers through there for free.
>>
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>>62130427
I was going to joke about buying Ubisoft stock. But I took a look at and am now mad. I knew after it dumbed I should have bought due to the assflag4 remake rumors
>>
>>62130430
Ethiopia, Sudan and Somalia dont wield much political power. If they tried to setup tolls they'd get bullied for willful disruption of agreed upon routes. the only reason Iran can get away with it is their geography + arsenal.
>>
>>62130393
No, it's just that its PE fucking reached 60 and I made a fucking alert here, and yes it's in the archives.
Proof again the market is completely dysfunctional, nobody looks at the fucking metrics anymore. Now it's back to more reasonable levels, though a bit more than I'd want, but hey nobody looks at the metrics anymore ANYWAY, just fucking vibe retards everywhere.
>>61079160
>>60857064

Oy yeah, don't look at Wallmart's fucking PE. Nor pretty much all the boomer picks on the S&P500. Tech that deliver actual earnings are actually cheap in comparison.
>>
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>>62130430
>Ethiopia
Unfortunately they are coastless
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>>62130429
the markets recovering from an unexpected event is totally normal. more information becomes available, markets adapt, etc.

>covid
>tariffs
>iran
>>
>>62130437
They have weapons too and they aren't sanctioned so they can buy cheap drone stockpiles from china close off the route by hitting every tanker that passes
>>
>>62130439
>the fucking metrics
The markets boardering on a game of vibecoded lucky dip now.
>>
>>62130443
Please shut up. Obviously I'm aware of this, but the intensity of the move here was a statistical anomaly, and it recovered on pure lies and the most clownish headlines and contradictions I've ever seen.

Don't 'well akshully' me like this was normal behavior.
>>
>go outside and walk around
>think about all the cool trades I made
>walk back inside
>remember I didn't make any of those trades
>wish I was dead
>>
>>62130429
don't feel bad
it was a 99.7%tile move. one of the biggest and quickest rallies, and no one saw it coming
I certainly didn't
but eventually as we got closer and closer to spy 700 I realized it was going to blast through that and then go higher, and I didn't need to keep my shorts and feel that pain all the way up. So I sold all my shorts.
I can just buy them back, at the top, if I want to.

Should the market have moved like that? No. It was crazy and almost unprecedented. but it did, and eventually you need to stop catching a falling knife (in this case in reverse)
you can always buy shorts again once it tops.
>>
>>62130381
Ah yes, losing money and throwing away your future is "soul"
>>
>>62130443
>covid
money printer
>tariffs
TACO, deregulation, policy support, outright fraud
>iran
pool still closed w/ admin pulling every bullshit move out of their ass to prevent asset deflation. god forbid someone other than geriatric pensioners can afford to buy a house. running out of ammo here sweety, not much but hot air under this mess. that said if the 401k flows continue it very well could end in a blow off. getting really fucking tired of the "market knows" schtick. it usually does but there are plenty of instances where spot existed in wonderland
>>
>>62130422
I already know how to program. Did it for almost 20 years. If I wanted to recreate my spreadsheets, each one would probably take days of effort at least, even with Claude/ChatGPT' shelp, and I'd basically have to build a UI not much different from a spreadsheet anyway. It'd be more focused, but also harder to tweak.
Excel is more fun.
>>
NEW

>>62130456
>>62130456
>>62130456
>>
>early thread
>on a weekend
>>
>>62130461
I just hate feeling like I 'need to make it back'. I oversized my short when it rebounded to $650-660, thinking the market would reprice the fake news but it's refused to so far. I was nearly back to breakeven when the 'peace deal' failed, but then an hour into open Trump Truth'd and it exploded up again. Aside from the momentum, everything was reading like a really good setup to go short to me and I oversized it, then doubled down, until ruin.

>>62130466
Agree with this completely, this is different than covid or tariffs and comparing by price action alone is idiotic.. OPEX was 4/17, hopefully it starts to correct back down since nothing has been resolved.
>>
>>62130378
Verly large tankers cannot pass the canal fully ladden, they have to unload before entering, have the oil transported to the opposite end via pipeline, then reload. I think that process may lead to capacity problems if there's too many tankers doing this, but I don't know desu.
>>
>>62130466
>>62130458
imagine not being able to learn ever lol
>>
>>62130584
We'll see what happens over the next four weeks. By all metrics this was an extremely rare event and a blowoff isn't off the table.
>>
>>62130591
it happened last year also.

you and the other guy saying it was fraud, insane, bullshit, idiotic, fake.

thats still NOT learning.

that guy calling covid the money printer is funny... markets came back up when we learned covid wasnt as deadly as we first thought. money printer later send stocks even higher.
>>
>>62130591
oh i forgot to add "lies" and "clownish" to the list.
>>
>>62130629
This is not the same tariffs. Trump campaigned on tariffs, so it should've came as no surprise when he acted on it and a rebound was no suprise. And COVID was an absolute money printer (who knows, this might be too). Tariffs are more similar than COVID, but those were something fully within the control of Trump to toggle and pause/resume, and once he signaled he would the market forward looked past it to recovery.

The situation in Iran is fundamentally different, it involves parties hostile to the US and the damage to the oil supply is already done, just not yet absorbed. This can't be toggled on/off at Trump's whim as much as he likes to pretend that's the case on Truth social. Market's pricing in a very optimistic timeline that I think is impossible to meet realistically, or it's assuming insane money printing. I think this rally was largely mechanical as a squeeze and going forward it'll be priced in more accurately.
>>
>>62130629
>that guy calling covid the money printer is funny...
>money printer later send stocks even higher.
And that was the exact point, retard
>>
>>62130422
Yeah, that was the point. Just learning to program (after that convo) ended up being a good decision for me.
>>
>>62130430
What exactly do you think those Somali pirates were doing?

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