Thread #62132283
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crisis averted edition
>I'm a poor bobo incel who wants to bitch and moan about the strait of hormuz and sandwars
>>>/pol/
>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/
>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices
>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/
>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits
>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform you
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings
>Misc smg:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:
https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G
previous smigger thread
>>62131444
312 RepliesView Thread
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iran lost
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Bulls are taking this oil situation so lightly. I'm raising my oil targets.
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>>62132292
i lol'd
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SocGen sees AMD earning $13 in 2027.
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Whether this ends soon or not, the oil shock is already baked in. Production of everything downstream of oil is going to either stop completely or at least get more expensive.
Recession is guaranteed at this point.
And the bulls are still bullish.
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> futures
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>>62132320
i got u bro
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No matter how many times I run the calculations, there is only one inevitable conclusion: The Nuclear IPO Era.
Index fund managers, jealous of the 2-and-20 of their underperforming hedge fund and private equity friends are now going to unleash an unimaginable weapon against us. Carefully crafted by decades by the top financial engineers.
The Age of the Nuclear IPO is here. And it is headed for the index funds and 401k's of the world. It is inevitable. Massive private bid ups of companies to lead into frontrunning their inclusion in indices immediately after the IPO. The rules are written, the players are in place. And with each nuke they siphon off historic index fund return trends until there is no risk adjusted returns left at all. All that is left is for them to push the button.
SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are only the beginning. It will be a new world. I do not know what it will look like but will be different from our current one.
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>>62132290
stop stalking me
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>>62132330
>muh dick
indeed there is no point to that
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>>62132330
I've been with many women (lived in Asia for years), I was a borderline alcoholic and let me tell you something.
The high of seeing your PNL go up and up is higher than what any female or any substance can provide you.
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>>62132336
not giving a fuck is literally antisemitic at this point. watch your mouth, boy.
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>TFW Slurped the picto bottom 2 weeks ago
>TFW solded my stonks for ez pz 30% gain
>TFW all cash and GRRR
>TFW gonna schlong oil from tonight uopen ntil 11am EST tomorrow.
>TFW get to sluirp cheapies all over again
Slurp list:
GRAB
IREN
ASTS
BANB
DAVE
RDDT
NOW
MU
MRVL
ZM
OUST
OWL
SOFI
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So how exactly do IPOs work? Does the company on marketing opening just go here are N number of stocks, we will sell it to first come first serve at a specific price, and after its all unload it all in like 1 second of market opening its investors just buys and selling among each other as they quibble about the real value? I assume the big IPOs coming will have a huge spread on the price on day one? Like would I on opening do I market buy for the amount of money I am willing to invest and hope for the best?
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>(Reuters) - Iran rejected new peace talks with the United States, its state news agency reported on Sunday, hours after U.S. President Donald Trump had said he was sending envoys to Pakistan for talks and would strike Iran unless it accepted his terms.
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>>62132336
When the ceasefire ends with no deal the stock market will crash. idgaf about the war beyond these facts. I'm so bored of this shit they're obviously stalling so insiders can keep profiting off oil. They should have implemented the blockade immediately. Bombed their infrastructure and sanctioned Iran into the ground. This war would've ended weeks ago. Now we have to wait weeks for obvious actions to take their course. Israel was right.
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>>62132350
you're a nigger
it is your life, though
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>>62132356
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>>62132344
>>62132350
It was Japan, brother, not SEA. I don't have anything against SEA though. I got back home 2 years ago and I've quit alcohol altogether.
But yeah, trading is more fun than women. Waking up and seeing your PNL and proving to everyone you were fucking right. Jesuschrist, I love that feeling.
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>>62132364
>>62132361
explain pls
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>>62132366
yeah idk what the deal is with the game honestly
i just collect doros
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i havent eaten since thursday
genuinely too mind dead to go through the effort of cooking or buying food
honestly doing anything other than looking at the numbers move on my phone in bed is slowly becoming impossible
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>>62132368
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>>62132373
buy canned food
vegetable soups, beans, fruit, vegetables, potatoes, etc...
it's better than not eating & you can eat straight out of the can like a mad max character if you're giga depressed
>>62132372
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I wonder if they're doing endless Hormussy open/close/open/close, and peace/war/peace/war bullshit to make retail investors comfortable with bad news, and then ******BOOM********* a RUGPULL for retail investors.
Like the boy who cried wolf, everyone is still pointing and laughing at the boy when the wolf actually arrives.
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>>62132372
no?
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>>62132368
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>>62132373
I wish depression made me eat less
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Don't worry guys this whole situation is firmly in the hands of Pakistani negotiators
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>>62132352
>Iran blocks every ship but their own
>it's fair
>we block only their ships
>THIS IS A VIOLATION OF INTERNATIONAL LAW
I get browns have no sense of self-reflection but this takes it to a new level. They look like complete faggots on the world stage.
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>>62132394
seek help, anon.
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>>62132355
HOW IS ANYONE PROFITING OFF OIL!?
IT HASN'T GONE UP ON A GRAPH FOR ME TO MAKE MONEY!
EVERY FUCKING TIME.
THE FUTURE IS LIKE 150, BUT OIL IS 90 OR 100, HAHA, NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT!
WHEN WILL IT DROP AND MY OIL STOCK GO UPPPPP?
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>had to cash out some of my port to buy a car
at least I wont have to deal with "people" on public transport anymore
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>>62132391
i'm not sure what "MUbros" means or what those prices of 400-500 refer to, or how either relate to SNDK earnings
i'm aware of SNDK going up but i never found out why it did
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>>62132371
It was fucking epic, brother. Back in the day you could even see extremely obese English teachers walking around with cute girls. Now things are more difficult. Back in the day, a white chad would have laughed at the idea of going to Japan. But now it's full of white chads smashing Jap pussy. And not only whites. Downtown Osaka looks like Marseille.
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If the market tanks by December, I'll use my Christmas bonus to buy stonks and drive my 2003 shitbox for another year.
If the market stays at 40+ P/E ratio by December, I'll use my Christmas bonus to buy a new car instead of stonks.
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>>62132403
>MUbros
anons who own Micron (MU) stock
>how either relate to SNDK earnings
both are AI/memory stocks
>400-500
price of MU stock, MU hasnt been able to break its peak price of circa 450 since late January even on record earnings in March
>SNDK going up but i never found out why it did
smaller market cap, more volatile
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>>62132377
Based
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>>62132427
tyvm
>16726237532859735.jpg
hehe...
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>>62132399
insiders are making hundreds of millions of dollars on prediction markets beats placed minutes prior to announcements that predictably cause oil price action so much so that their accounts are in the process of being uncloaked by congress
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>>62132434
you're dumb
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>>62132449
strait of hummus
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>>62132332
It is, unfortunately, quite real my good chum.
The history of financial markets has been to arbitrage away signal until it is indistinguishable from risk adjusted noise.
The index fund system has been an anomaly but they finally figured out a way to tackle that "problem".
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>>62132475
your take is dumb, these new big IPOs are just a fraction of these etfs
even then, you cant even assume they are that mispriced
even if they are, the mispricing would be a fraction of its valuation
it isn't anything weird or inherently bad
it would be bad to not include them, as it would be bias
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this machine kills bobos
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Advanced Money Dispenser
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Every weekend this general claims something is gonna happen, then every monday nothing ever happens
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TRVTH POST JVST DROPPED
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>>62132471
idk why we're even wasting our time trying to make a deal with a country ran by mentally ill lunatics. they support a well known long standing terrorist organization like just wtf are you doing trying to make deals with them. blow them the fuck up take all their oil and move on
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US NAVY FIRES ON IRANIAN CARGO SHIP
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Here is what is ACTUALLY happening on Monday:
- I fail to go to bed on time and wake up at 7am feeling like shit
- I have to skip the gym because boss wants an 8:30 meeting for no fucking reason
- Another day another dollar, literally nothing interesting happens at work
- All I can think about is my friends all having kids now and me being unmarried and childless
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>>62132467
Let's fucking GO baby!
I hope the sink some ships
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>>62132498
>>62132496
Touska is an Iranian owned containership
It's not a tanker
With a tanker you always know what's on board, but containerships are different. Every box is a mystery.
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>>62132485
>your take is dumb, these new big IPOs are just a fraction of these etfs
Depending on the index etf the weights of these nuclear IPOs are 3-8%, this is part of the design when you have a non-discriminating buyer
>even then, you cant even assume they are that mispriced
>it would be bad to not include them, as it would be bias
This was already the case wherein IPOs had to wait several quarters before inclusion to respond to market dynamics and price discovery.
Shortening this window to 15 days to time with index fund rebalance allows for very target restrictions on float and lockup expirations.
The only reason for such changes in the machinery is expressly because of a profound bearishness on the underlying IPOs. And thus, a target weapon against the index funds themselves.
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>>62132497
some elements in the US still want to look good for eurofaggots and other trannies that give a fuck about liberal institutions and international law
We're an empire, no we are THE empire, we need to act like it
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>>62132283
Trumps Persian Rug Pull
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>>62132509
whats in the box?
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ABANDON YOUR POSTS
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>>62132513
>if you flip a coin twice, you will 100% get head and tails once each!!!
>>62132510
just buy the etf and if you are obviously bearish on the IPOs, short them
what is the problem boss
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>>62132523
>>62132509
Persian gacha time
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>>62132513
This is how life works for women
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>B52’s have departed from UK
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>>62132496
>>62132498
>went to check he actually posted this
>see pic related
How do these idiots actually use this platform, jesus fuck
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>>62132529
>just buy the etf and if you are obviously bearish on the IPOs, short them
>what is the problem boss
Of course I can build a fall out shelter. My concern is for the public whit large that cannot perform such a hedge because of either lack of access or lack of capital. Humanity's risk adjusted returns wiped out by Nuclear IPO annihilation.
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>>62132527
>>62132536
this thread is getting glowie'd like hell all of a sudden, am i the only one seeing this?
seems like they want everyone to panic sell
maybe that "april shakeout" schizo was right
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We rallied 10% on nothing. We'll lost 10% on, very tangible things.
Shorting with leverage 2x tomorrow at the open.
Literally free money.
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>>62132570
>saar join the crypto coin group saar
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>>62132320
This is true but it's not the end of the world scenario bears think it is. Just because Billy Bob won't get to drive his V6 around the block doesn't been there won't be food on shelves. No matter the price of oil government is going to secure fuel supplies for agriculture and mining because these are the left and right feet of states and civilisation; things will be more expensive but won't collapse.
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What I hate the most about this gay "war" is that we barely have any fucking video content. I already mentioned it but it's unreal how when I was a kid I could see Serbia getting bombarded on prime tv and in fucking 2026 when everyone, even really poor people, has a fucking android phone with a camera and we don't have anything. Fuck this shit.
What the hell happened to war journalism?
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>>62132570
Buy an ad nigglet
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>>62132580
Agreed, but we'll see -25%.
It doesn't have to be an end-of-the world scenario to see the same thing we saw in 2022.
Big opportunities coming for people who are patient.
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Today I will remind them that peace and war are irrelevant as far as pump/reversal goes.
Mr Donald has printed 2-5 Trillion dollars by changing the SLR rule at the largest banks which went into effect April 1.
On top of this, the fed and agents of the fed have expanded their balance sheets by 1 Trillion over a months time.
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>>62132587
>situation is completely fucked
Crabbing
>there is a slight possibility that the situation may be improving a little if everything aligns perfectly, but nothing has improved or resolved yet
HOLY SHIT, WE RALLY THE FUCK OUT
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>>62132584
Iran was under a total internet blackout for most of the fighting. Even then there was a good amount showing impacts and interceptions in the Gulf.
I mean shit there's a video of a US submarine torpedoing a Iranian warship
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>>62132513
My math teacher was a woman and taught me this. It took until I got a middle aged arab ranting about camels to understand my math education was bad. Thank you based sandman for using language i could understand
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Is the US blockade legal under International law?
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>>62132627
hope not
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>>62132627
Forget about international law. The mission of the US Navy is explicity to maintain the freedom of navigation of the world's oceans. What it is doing right now is in contradiction to it's own stated goals.
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>>62132627
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>not under command
kek
so the ship was actually seized hours ago
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>>62132637
delet this
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>>62132290
If it's not a 100% then why fucking even have an account? Anyone that says otherwise is a fucking pussy or invests like a grandpa. Might as well invest like a granpda and keep your money in cash under the mattress
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>>62132637
She's an SPA (Special Purpose Avatar)
Once Mr Bobo arrives and has his party, she will no longer be required.
I can go back to posting Mr. Bobo if you wish.
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2 more weeks
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>>62132670
I am not quite sure.
I've uncovered the printing as the fuel for the rally but no the exact mechnism.
Based on my VIBES (always the most important indicator) looking at the tape, I do not think its algos or minute by minute treasury intervention.
So far the bank trick that sounds best to me is some sort of swap pegged at a 5-10 minute tick of the SPX average price.
That would explain the tight snaps back to the planned trajectory and very short term average price, which doesn't feel like usual algo or pumping activity.
An inverse of the 90s hong kong trick which was unrelated mostly to this, but the "tick"ing factor really had my jimmies going when reading, that is what the SPX is doing.
Some other asset linked to the SPX is running ticking checks on it.
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>>62132695
i did hear a few other anons call you retarded & say you always change your view to fit any time you make a wrong prediction in these threads
though i'm tempted to believe you, and my uncle always told me to pay attention to what the fed & banks are doing
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>>62132349
Momentum is nothing but game theory, anon. After the shellacking we took in February, you buy Micron because you are attracted to amazing fundamentals. However, in an irrational market amazing fundamentals are not enough. Be cautious. Keep those trailing stop loss orders in place. Avoid the urge to go All In. Buy in small cautious increments, and only after you have a comfortable buffer of 10%+ unrealized gains as a cushion.
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>strait closed
>market goes down
>strait open
>market goes up
>strait closed again
Can you guess what happens next, mumu?
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>>62132700
in fact i have banged dudes girlfriends more times than you have had sex tee hee!
>>62132701
my predictions have consistently been that Mr. Bobo is coming BIGLY
but
that you should not yet buy puts.
I have not told you anyone yet to short.
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Schizo here, this is nothing.
the 11 missing/murdered scientists.... all working on free energy and anti grav tech,
look, there was a ufo spotted in the area of the war
Trump is giving his friends who are big in OIL, the market in general pumps and dumps to make as much money as possible and exit.
Once free energy is announced, and USED against Iran to defeat them, everything will first giga dump OIL to zero, nat gas zero, all the markets, -75% or more
gold, near zero
silver, pretty much zero
Trump is the antichrist and will bring in world peace with this tech
great reset
its gonna happen
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>>62132722
11 missing scientists?
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>>62132547
London is within range of Irans missiles
>>62132710
I am pissed I couldn't buy oil on Friday. the app blocked me
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>>62132722
Listen Schizo, I'm you from the future you haven't yet remembered. Everyone in this thread is actually the same person. We are all posting here on a thread that exists on different timelines. That's why our life experiences, our thoughts, and feelings are so similar. Yes also to your question and be aware the CIA is watching all of us (You) / (Me)
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>>62132695
>>62132701
he's been highest iq poster itt for months
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> futures
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>>62132748
>In another timeline I sold out and work for the CIA
Might just as well work for them if you enjoy hanging out here. We won't judge you.
If you apply, there's no need to send CV or references, they already have them.
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>>62132722
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>>62132781
>believe my screens goy
moshe take a break
>>62132784
and if nato doesn't or their troops die?
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Seems like this shit is far from over. Oil is gonna spike on Monday and everything will be red. And even though I will get another chance to buy the dip I’ll probably chicken out again. How do I keep this from happening? This new chance is everything I’ve prayed for but maybe it’s a bad time to get into the market just as the 2nd global depression is about to happen.
Give me balls.
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>>62132802
>There are other routes to get oil out, and it isn’t that scarce anyway.
Many axis countries can hit pipelines and oil refineries that they can see. Iran can easily blow up all the other oil refineries and pipelines to the Suez canal any time they want.
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Biggest buy signal for KMB I've ever fucking seen
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>>62132805
What do you mean?
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>>62132722
>2021, Biden usurps the presidency
>Immediately opens the border, millions of unvetted people start pouring in
>Fires and explosions start destroying factories and refineries
>Barely makes the news
>Scientists working on advanced military and military adjacent technologies start disappearing and being murdered
>Barely makes the news
>Death toll reaches critical mass that can't be ignored
>iT wAs AlIeNs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Biden allowed Iran, China, probably Russia, and God knows which other hostile countries to send kill squads in the US and Trump is playing along with the coverup to avoid public panic. That's it. That's the explanation. It probably won't affect the stock market in any meaningful way and no one will be held accountable when it's all declassified in 50 years.
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>>62132808
>Scandinavian American.
I am the only Scandinavian American ITT
There is not room for the both of us.
You will have to depart and cease your shilling of glowie talking points.
Unless you are a filthy Dane there is no reason you should be doing this.
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>SURE YOU ARE, SMOSH
fucking insult jews properly, c'mon now
i see this shit every day
this shit ain't nothing to me man
>>62132752
i get that impression, but i know some people are just able to speak very compellingly
i guess i could double check the things he says
>>62132741
is it?
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>futas
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>>62132667
>>62132720
This guys an attention faggot, message received.
>>62132795
You're meant to invest with money you're not afraid to lose and not have emotions when investing. This is like step 1 and step 2 when you start investing dude
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>>62132825
>anime avatar shitposter
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>>62132827
>fucking insult jews properly, c'mon now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M1AFPobcxkE
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>>62132845
hehe
>>62132841
dunno what you mean or how many layers of sarcasm that is i'm sorry
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>>62132842
remember jews use "x is y" and pretenses at consensus or in groups because they literally fear goyim naming them and their tricks
>>62132849
the goyim will profit at your expense moshe
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>>62132396
There are very clear well established international laws for maritime blockades. Guess which country is adhering to the law and which one isn't. Guess which country has issued clear and well defined guidelines of what their blockade actually entails and which one hasn't.
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>>62132627
Yes. see >>62133031