anyone else like the over in atletico PR-santos? +115

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chat will this hit?

>>153418257
Well Deni isn’t playing but I think he has sucked lately anyway so you probably saved $10

>>153415465
2 FHG in WSW vs Newcastle women’s A league also

>>153415465
>2 first half goals for Cruz Azul against Vancouver
Nice

>>153415465
that isn't what godzilla looks like you slopfaggot aussie retard fuck you

Without nfl /bet/ is le dead

>>153428908
More like without amerimutts le /bet/ is dead

why give money to jews? give me all your bet money instead

>>153429970
you killed /bet/

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>>153430345
Good total gambling degens death

>>153430484
>gambling
Betting is gambling?

>>153430484
/bet/ just goes dormant, it doesn’t die

>>153430240
But then you'll use it to pay taxes, and it goes to your king, to the jew bankers, and to support israel.

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>>153430926
>sports betting isn't gambling
Definition of betting
risk a sum of money or valued item against someone else's on the basis of the outcome of an unpredictable event such as a race or game.

Definition of gambling
the activity of playing games of chance for money, or of betting on the outcome of future events such as the results of races or games.

Keep giving your money to your kike masters for bread and circuses addicted retarded broke low IQ gypsoid and kys

>>153432032
Not reading that, just wanted to bait you into letting everyone know this post isn't me >>153429970 without saying it...

>>153432032
Sorry for tricking you. You're not upset, are you?

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>>153432346
>>153432390
>anon insulted circumcised kike slaves mutts
>oy vey why are you insulting kike mutts slaves?
>I must defend myself since I am sacred of amerimutts

>>153432631
I misread your post then and it was actually this other one that 'bothered' me >>153430484
>kike, mutts, slaves
You need to fuck off back to /pol/ imho

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>>153432930
>pol le bad

Speaking of politics. Last time i vouched, sweared to quit betting if it doesn't come through (and i don't do that very often), and i even did that in front of my family. 19th may. Odds 2.00 on polymarket. And i wrote here the mathematician will win the presidential race in our country by 10% against the gypsy bully. He won 54% to 46% or sth. I may be going through a rough patch but i still have the legitimacy to continue based on that. Because what betting means is "i BET something will happen". Like, your uncle trying to ride the stakeboard after 14 beers. You say "i bet he will fall." That's betting, 'risking' money on a premise. As opposed to gambling, which is just leaving everything to luck. The fact that these kinds of bets exist, like the presidential one (where you could see i was 99.9% certain of the result https://archive.4plebs.org/sp/search/text/Nicusor/ ), for me means betting is possible. I make a lot of bad bets weekly, no value, stupid overs etc but also had struck of genius. Like, not even 5 minutes after real beat liverpool 1-0 in the CL final in 2022 i knew Benzema is the only candidate that can win the ballon d'or. There I KNEW. Had 1000 euros on 1.33 ; the next morning? Odds were 1.01

ncaab but this game isnt until tomorrow
purdue vs iowa
over 141.5 @ 2.00
if you can get this line at 2.00 it will be a +ev line. most books have 141.5 as either a 1.90 split or are favoring the over. bet365 seems to think differently.

Colts to win afc south at +350
Saints to win nfc south at +320
Chargers to win afc west at +175

tomorrow mens olympic hockey, denmark vs usa
quinn hughes 1+ assist @ 1.86

>>153435204
this is pretty good odds. hard to call it "value" because a lot of books havent released the player prop lines for the game yet, but quinn hughes will be their number 1 minute man. played over 21 minutes in usa's first game, nobody else on the team played over 18. denmark is one of the weaker teams here, i expect usa to score at least 4+ goals with more than a 55% chance of quinn hughes being involved.

nice the lines moved in our favor sitting on two sharp bets now

I know that martingaling is a touchy topic but it's the bees knees when you only incrementally beat the market. Let's say you win 70% of $1.50 NBA games; If you bet 2 games a day that's 0.1 units a day; But if you martingale that's 0.19 units if you martingale once. Alternatively if you win 90% of $1.20 bets that's 0.08 units per day if you don't martingale but 0.27 units a day if you do. Essentially if you only incrementally beat the market you're much better off martingaling once or twice because that's how people actually win.

fuck fandiel i'm only betting $5 from now on

I called a 5 teamer last ufc and didn't bet it. Like +4500 odds ez 20k in my pocket im so retarded sometimes

>>153415465
>Got a good bet today
>2 first half goals for Cruz Azul against Vancouver
Based

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>>153433381

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>>153433381
>I suck Nicusor Dan's cock

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>>153432930
>Stop being le racist

Starting to think everyone lost all their money

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>>153433381
>>153432930

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>>153454338
Yes, i voted for the guy on the right (olympic at math) to not allow the retarded gypsy on the left to become president. How fucking stupid are you? Anyways, some very shitty posts and off-topic

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>>153454879
>I think elections and democracy matter
TOPKEK glownigger spotted

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>>153454879
Enjoy mass jeet emigration to Romania retard

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>>153454879

>>153455013
>>153455089
Mars dreq de terminat nu mai scrie ca ma faci de rusine prin asociere :)))

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>>153455286
>I am scared what westernoids think of me
Maybe take the nationalist pill western pussy puppet

>>153455323
Mirosi a labagiu trist cu creier mancat de pol, si pe mine ma doare in pl de chestiile astea

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>>153455456
>I don't care
>still replies

Nu mai scrie fututi gura ma-tii de handicapat, imi pare rau ca ti-am dat atentie.

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>>153455515
>stop making me reply to you

I think modern European Nationalism can't be contigent upon getting one over on America. Electing leftists and Russian bots because of your insecurity complex is how many countries are being destroyed nowadays.

>El rumano is creating new fictional characters again.
lol i kinda liked Juan vaca.

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>>153455596
>getting one over america
This are your guys not russian bots retarded mutt

>>153455636
Good. America is the last bastion of Westernism. Russian and their islamist friends cannot brain worm Europe into destroying themselves

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>>153455721
This

>>153455602
Swear i'm not. You mean Luis, yeah he dissapeared after the latest failed prediction

goal markets in football (soccer) are just always a scam, no?

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THIS IS HORSE SHIT

>>153462703
Yeah jap league is an under league. I dont know how much every match going to penalties effects this though I feel like they are even less likely to go for a goal in the dying stages of regulation

>>153415465
>2 first half goals for Cruz Azul against Vancouver
Missed it but gj

pinnacle let's you bet on x to win the gold medal - no on some events, you can pair that some futures bets on a different book to make pretty decent arbs. cross country, alpine, and biathlon have been giving sick arbs so far.

efremova 3.50

>>153463011
i wish I had access to pinnacle.
still doing okay with hockey and curling spreads, but i expect that to go away once they shitters are eliminated.

Football come back

$21 profit plus a $10 free bet on $390 in olypmics arbs today. still trying not to get banned or id go harder.

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middles are very satisfying

it's strange how inactive this thread is

like with how popular betting has become and the age demographic of 4chan has shifted to that of those often desperate for money you'd think this place would be bustling
where are all the dramatic stories of NEETs gambling their last dime in a last desperate attempt to garnish a normie-free income for themselves?

>>153487212
Many lurkers, few tipsters

CFR
Dinamo
Barca

>>153487212
You'd think that, wouldn't you? Instead you got the vegetable eating poofs generation >>153430484

You know the kind? When you go out for a drink with the buddies from college or work, and he stops after 2 beers. When you say let's roll another joint and he says "i'm good"

Would've posted but i feel that romanian would've hate follow my picks and it killed my buzz

>>153486109
No nfl

>>153488498
NBA and NHL are off too.

>>153488498
>>153488697
So? American range is limited to your sports?

>>153489482
To what im gonna heem money on yes

Also Strickland beats fluffy

2 missed penalties from these romanian shitters

>>153490424
The first guy who missed the pen has a manbun. So probably God hates him

Alright my hypnagogic visions are in. Take it with a pinch or two of salt but Macclesfield are pulling an upset today. Also expect a big injury in the Barca game but the result is probably safe still

now a polish shitter missed a pen. but ultimately it is my fault. should have cashed it out when it was first awarded.

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olympic hockey season is even better than home run under season. i will be sad when its over

>>153492820
>should have cashed it out when it was first awarded.
No. You made the right call letting it run

>>153493013
if its getting late and you took the over, i think sometimes it is better to take the guaranteed profit.

and now some dutch shitter misses a pen. what the fuck.

>>153493476
And you gonna question yourself every time?

spurs to win the west @ +750?

east sucks so spurs to win it all at +1400 is the play if you want to bet against okc repeating. but okc is probably repeating so i wouldnt put a lot on it

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>>153487866
Lmao the tranny loving woke Nicusor Dan jeet started spamming. Go get a job gypsy leech like all broke /bet/ niggers

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Go woke go broke

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>>153487866
This is your generation?

>>153495444
Makes no sense, how am i a "tranny lover"?

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>>153495719
>I am too retarded to know what l voted for

>>153492928
what a dud

>>153495751
Btw i hate the 4chan lingo so fucking much. It's such a tryhard attempt to fit in. I don't even know half the words you use. Not even gonna reply to you cause you're a sad boring baboon and you're shitting up the thread

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>>153495827
>I hate 4chuds
Hello plebit

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>>153495827
Go back from where you came then tranny gypsy loving Nicusor Dan

>>153495851
>>153495898
How am i reddit if i never go there?

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>>153495943
>am I reddit
Nice english gypsy

>>153495993
I wrote correctly. Apologize

is this the schizo gypsy general?

>>153496111
Fuck you. I'm not replying to myself. "Samefagging" in 4chan lingo. Don't you see it's obviously another guy? "Schizo" is even a compliment here. It's cool to be edgy, to make no sense, to make a hundred posts and even reply to yourself and then you're "schizo".

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>>153496111
You are gypsies too mutt

lmao he’s so mad

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>>153496391
>mad
Ok mutt

>>153495771
i dont watch i just take the money

>>153463011
check USA Denmark womens curling ML.

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only 1 loss this time! think i'm getting better

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Should be easy win for faze klan imo

>>153500046
Starts in 1h 20 mins

Not betting much recently but i did great smelling frauds

This week's HUNCH® acca begins on wednesday with

Wolves v Arsenal @1.31

On Friday
Brest v Marseille @1.95

>Puebla v Club America @1.71
Had a big bet on away win in this fixture last season, and this time the same Club America has a superior squad

Lecce v Inter @1.41
Great momentum, and i think they even prioritize serie A over CL

PSV @1.33 v Heerenveen
Out of european competitions so will def focus on this

Moreirense v Sporting @1.30

Atletico Madrid @1.50 v Espanyol
have to back them at home, late hour, have to

Silkeborg v Midtjylland @1.57

Celtic @1.42 v Hibernian
Win at the last minute after 2-0 down, should be high spirits and at home

Livingston v Rangers @1.35

Red Star @1.40 v Partizan

Tottenham v Arsenal @1.57

Slobozia v Univ. Craiova @1.45
Carrying a fantastic momentum following the win over wcsb

Feyenoord @1.30 v Telstar

Osasuna v Real Madrid @1.70
Was gonna be wary of it but with barca's choke

>>153500046
Fucking cocksuckers

Rebacked ...

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First 1.45 but then come the rebacks

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>>153415465
who else here /hatermaxxing/

>>153505041
kek
now i'm curious on the odds for multiple falls of the kwab that missed gold

couple possible arbs on women's 50km mass start cross country skiing
ebba anderson vs heidi weng
nadja kaelin vs johanna matintalo

Im gonna start gambling hard this year, Im unemployed and I cant find a job

>>153508978
remember the golden rule: only post your winnings if you're going to post your losses
nothing is worse than a wanker that comes in like he owns the world after a good day. like that irish fag proclaiming how polymarket is free money
haven't seem him around in a while, I wonder why

>>153509900
I've won 50k and lost 60k lol

A 2024 study from Connecticut found that more than half of sports betting revenue comes from the highest severity of problem gamblers.

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FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU FUCK YOU!

Betting on Philly union vs defence force 2FHG

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6 games. 6 overs?

Yesterday don't wanna say what happened after i stopped posting. I'm good. So i stopped in the evening, didn't even watched the games and i see galata 5-2 juve. Which makes sense. Noa lang was my fav player in PSV. Didn't even know he was here. Osimhen. Icardi. Sane. And let's be honest, we all knew PSG will be 5+.
However tonight it could be the same.
I mean i have no clue, i'm just spamming overs, right?
Cause this shit... makes no fucking sense.
Listen, say Dortmund Atalanta would've ended 3-4, yeah? You'd say. It made so much sense, how didn't you see it coming.
So just spamming overs...
Brugge Atletico liking a 6+ desu
Olympiakos Leverkusen could explode.
Arsenal.. i'm taking sth special: Gyokeres Hattrick boosted @41 haha
Qarabag Newcastle keeping it low. Since it's played earlier it's low stake. Just to prepare for the 5 events at 10pm.
And bodo glimt inter could be 7 also desu
And my favourite
Milan Como
4+ @3.85 - nuclear stake

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Olympiakos will be a stadium in flames. So i heard a streamer saying leverkusen has a shaky defence. Fair, it was against PSG. But here we need them to score 2, and Oly to score 5.
Olympiakos has good players, and even thou they might "slow the tempo after they take the lead" or that they have under 3.5 in the last 19 games or whatever the ai's been spitting about...
I'm hoping
From the bottom of me heart
That this game is different

3+ @2
4+ @3.4
5+ @6.70
6+ @14
7+ @32

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You know what other team has potential for goals? These fucking retards in pic related. Oh boy, i can feel it. 3-0 at vallecano. 4-0 barca. The pendulum swings.
They'll try to pick club brugge apart but the best part is hosts are punching back at home. So could see a 5+. A 2-3?
3+ @1.80
4+ @2.92
5+ @5.55
6+ @11
7+ @24

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CHAOS
4+ @2.27
5+ @3.90
6+ @7.20
7+ @15

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If gyokeres plays (90 mins) he can score a hattrick. Or he can score it earlier

A gamble, but
to score anytime @2... 50
to score 2+ @6.70 .... 50
To score 3+ .... @41 .... 100.

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And we need Como to score goals. 2 ... or 3 tonight.
4+ @3.85 looking mighty fine
btts or 3+ @1.62 is a solid parlay piece also

Went the biggest on this game.
i'm loaded on
5+ @7.90
6+ @17
7+ @40

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The milan como 7+ er

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Gyokeres hattrick

I know i'm gonna lose them all...
Lads, come on. It's only right

All in on AC Milan 2.5@ for the W

>>153515470
just like alcohol, cigarettes, and loot boxes

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>>153520350
>Qarabag Newcastle keeping it low

Gyokeres in starting lineup. Good, first step of our plan completed.

Getting ready for the goal shower. Probably gonna drive on a hill just outside the city and follow the results on flashscore. It's such an amazing setup to have a handful of games going simultaneously and waiting for red dots from all angles

>>153528598
Kek that’s nice
You can honk your horn when a red dot appears

>>153528850
Lol

>>153520580
That type of weather makes me think unders. Prob 1-1 or 0-0

>>153528976
I got a couple hundred back from qarabag overs and want to reinvest for a high impact bet. Hold on

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ill never win again

>>153529119
Done. Hunch kicked in
>Club Brugge Atletico 6+ @9.60
Chose this over. Club Brugge has been my overs team this season and if they can score 3 goals it's possible to hit cause Atletico will definetly show up. Fuck, as i typed this i realize what a long shot it is. 3-3 heh

Chickened out and went for 5+ @5.10

>>153529714
Nice one romgod

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>>153529714
nice

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>>153529405
> Fuck, as i typed this i realize what a long shot it is. 3-3 heh
I kneel

>>153529405
Lol wew lad

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>>153533542
>>153533723
>>153533841
If you're curious how it went. Staked bets worth 1130, made 1970. Could've been much better with one more goal at inter and olympiakos, but i'll take it. Carried your bum asses for another thread (i'm joking)

UFC Houston Saturday 2/21

Had a bad betting week the last Vegas card that was mostly favorites winning by decision. Getting it all back this week.

All odds from Draft Kings

>Judice vs Miller over 2.5 +124
Market expects a finish so I'll go the other way. it's WMMA and fights in this weight class go to the scorecards near a 70% clip. I think Judice's power is overrated though she does throw high volume and Miller is easily hit. I think there's a lot of clinching and grappling as Miller tries to avoid getting bludgeoned at range.

>Leavitt vs Del Valle fight ends by SUB +160
Both guys like to finish by sub. Del Valle has a much better standup game. Leavitt's best chance to win is to make it a grimy grapplefest. Worth a shot at plus money on the most likely outcome.

>Rowe vs Lebosnoyani over 2.5 +120
Rowe is extremely frustrating to watch. He's one of the lowest volume strikers in UFC and accepts being controlled grappling. He has solid power though and has faced a far stronger schedule than Lebosnoyani. Rowe uses his length and experience to frustrate Lebosnoyani and take this over 12.5 minutes. Don't like either ML here, just take the over.

>Soriano +100 vs Brahimaj
Brahimaj beats guys who can't strike and gets beat by superior strikers. If I lined this fight I'd have Soriano -200. Puna probably finds the KO but I'll take ML to be safe. Wrestling defense is good enough to avoid Brahimaj's shitty takedown attempts.

>Gurule +230 vs Coria
Gurule had a lot of hype coming into UFC and has fallen flat in his two UFC fights. Everyone expects him to lose and get cut so I'll go contrarian and back him here. Coria should not be -285 against anyone, dude just isn't that good.

>Ode +110 vs Idiris
Idiris has very low fight IQ. Throws retarded spinning shit nonstop and puts himself in bad positions. Ode has some of the best power at 125. I think he'll drop and finish Alibi or win a damage-based DEC.

1/2

>>153536187

>Leal vs Njokuani under 1.5 -160
I've had awful luck on under 1.5's lately but will not be discouraged here. Leal fights like an idiot and Chidi is dangerous. Someone gets heemed or possibly club & subbed quick.

>Delija -135 vs Spivac
Bad matchup for Spivac. He looks like shit when he's at a striking/power disadvantage, which is exactly what will happen here. Delija hits hard and goes for the kill. Delija most likely wins by KO, but it's only +110 so I'll take the ML at -135 and cover DEC too.

>Ige wins by KO in round 3 +1800
I think Costa controls this fight on the feet and via grappling until he gets tired late. Ige will have a chance to put him away at the end, similar to how he did against Woodson. Longshot bet, toss a 1/4 unit on it for fun.

>Medic vs Neal u1.5 -195
Another expensive under 1.5. Taking it because Medic fights like he's fined by the minute. Tons of early stoppages in Medic fights. Neal might be washed, though it's hard to be too critical when he's been fighting the best in the world for years. Someone gets heemed in the first or early second.

>Strickland vs Hernandez over 4.5 rounds -175
Strickland is hard to finish and hard to control on the mat, plus he's as pillowfisted as it gets. Fluffy never gets tired. I don't see this finishing early unless there's an injury. Over 4.5 and fight goes distance are great parlay pieces. Main events/5 round fights go the distance at a high clip. Also sprinkling half a unit on Strickland +230 in case he stuffs takedowns and makes it a typical Strickland jabfest.

2/2

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Hate to quote myself, but you know how i always preach about taking "anyone to score" over teams to score live.
6 days ago i was devastated. Pissed away my 1k deposit on motherwell rangers overs. Said it was gonna be 2-4, with that guy Chermiti scoring a brace. The donkey misses a 1v1 with the kepper at 0-1 (had early payout), and rangers even get equalized in 90 min with a man up which ruins the rangers ml as well. The irony is of course that they won the next game at home 4-2, with a Chermiti hattrick.
So i was betting pennies on a 5-game accy and Rennes was leading PSG 1-0 at HT.
I borrow 200 to put on PSG to score over 1.5 @1.83 because the result seemed so unfair. But switch to over 2.5 total goals @1.50 ; Rennes make it 2-0, and two minutes later it's 2-1. Since it was around the 70th min i put again all in 300 @1.42 over 3.5 ; and lord behold, rennes scores for 3-1.
Saved my life? ....
Next morning
Qarabag away in the league . 0-0. All in over 0.5 @1.29 ; won
All in bayern away at bremen @1.30
Made it 570
all in Zvezda over 2.5 @1.80 at Zeleznicar Pancevo. here only included Zvezda. Was willing to take the risk that red star will score 3 before zeleznicar gets 1. Ended 0-3.
Had 1k, but had to withdraw 650 to pay the debt of 200, and also other shit.

With 350 i won sth on LoL, made it 500 sth. And then all in over 2.5 in vallecano - atletico at 2-0 @1.5 ;
Saved me life again cause vallecano scored, and i put it for atletico's equalizer. 3-0 ft
Then all in over 0.5 in Nacional v Porto at 0-0 and made 1k.
and then some other bets on counter strike
And then 600 on over 2.5 in girona v barca at 1-1 . (200 @1.35 and kept rebacking 100 @1.47 , 100 @1.53, 200 @1.70) and who scores? Girona?

Then i pissed away 850 on faze in cs, but recovered in about two hours with Aurora 2:0 over B8 , which should've lost desu.

Withdrawn again 500 for utilities. and from the 1130 the bankroll is now closing on 2k, but will probably have to withdraw again.

Two lessons here: see how tough is for a full time bettor to raise a bankroll if he has to sustain a living out of it with these constant withdrawals

And second. The importance of "anyone to score" , to include both teams. You want to bet because you think a team will score. And they don't, but at least maybe they conceide.

And yeah, of course, what it means to never give up. I borrowed 200 and made 15x since. But again, wouldn't have been possible without 2.5 totals instead of psg over 1.5 . This is technique btw. Like you have football players with good technique on the ball, bettors also have technique in knowing which markets to take.
For example: you have an acca with 5 games, you won 4 and your team took the lead on the 5th and it's 1-0. You could cashout but you're getting robbed. And you wanna hedge/ counter (to secure profit, and don't get equalized like a retard in 90+4). And instead of taking double chance X2 @6 , you take "who wins the remaining of the match? away team @6.50" , at 1-0 it's basically the same bet as X2, but, because of the bookies flawed algorythm, the odds are higher.
OR say you [really] wanna take a team to score live. It's 0-0 and on away team to score odds are 1.30 ; and you go on bet builder : take away team to score AND over 0.5 in game and for some reason odds are 1.32. That's technique. And many other examples, like... i remember once, speaking of gyokeres, he was in sporting it was 1-1, and instead of taking him to score at 4.00 sth, was looking at him to take a shot. But not to take a shot on target at 2.75, just to take a shot at 2.25 . So overall it's about simplyfing.

I can't tell who takes me seriously here, but if this helps just 1 (one) anon one day my job here is done.

the totals line on this women's hockey game sweden vs switzerland has moved quite a bit in the last 24 hours. under 4.5 fell from 2.40 to 2.10. womens hockey usually isnt high scoring. both goalies on fire with a .950+ sv%. if you can find an o/u that doesn't include overtime, under 4.5 goals in regulation time @ 1.86 looks pretty good. under 4.5 ot included might be sweaty think switzerland might be able to score 2. chance the game ends 2-2 and needs overtime.

>>153536379
People say Stricklands pillowfisted but ddps face at the end of that first fight was mulched and ddp is a power striker who was trading with some fat bombs on stricklands face.he might not be heeming you with his punches but he's battering you for sure

>>153529348
Impressive

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>>153534577
>>153519429
My bet won too..

>>153539370
Try being more schizophrenic next time

>>153539370
Ez

Well I’ll try 2FHG on the Nottingham , stuttgart and red star matches in Europa league. Combine them for about 20x so no need to bet 1000 RON on it.

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>>153541623
Got a good bet for you as well.

>Puebla v Club America @1.69
It's true the reasoning is for betting on this fixture last year also, but they do have the better team, in every position. Literally, their gk is starter in the nt, back line ok, and now up front they got raphael veiga from palmeiras, plus henry martin coming back from injury, and overall simply looking better in attack. I'm expecting 1-2. but could be 1-3

>>153541623
I think you chose the best 3. There's no other game that looks better than these 3 on paper for goals. If galata were that *stupid* , imagine fenerbahce stadium will be just as hot, and they're shaky at the back. Nottingham will respond. Wouldn't surprise if forrest score 3 (2 in first half) , and fener as home team will obviously have their say in this. I'm expecting 6+ again desu. Nottingham hasn't had the best season. Now mid season in turkey. (Like juve) With possibly reserve keeper. Gibbs-White and co score at one end, Asensio at the other. Why not the 3-3?

Then Celtic stadium is again fire. And stuttgart scores, AND stuttgart can score against them. So celtic sneaks them in cause they're at home, or screamers. But i see celtic score with determination. Remember stuttgart lost 5-1 in belgrade, so if it was in germany, we'd say stuttgart 4-1. Since it's in scotland, 2-2.

And red star, it's about them here. To come and play. They have a different coach now, dejan stankovic, second spell. But they'll come to play and we'll get the red dot from here, don't worry about it austraya, and lille has to show up at home. Maybe it's lille - feyenoord all over again. But i reckon ... 2-4 for zvezda , in a sort of "upset".

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And some very good odds on the overs brah
3+ @2.00
6+ @15 ?

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So i don't wanna overly confident here, but i think we might be onto something. I don't see how this game isn't high tempo. Cause Fenerbahce will set the tone. Into a Premier League team.
Ah, Ortega is the keeper. from city. Not Angus Gunn, as flashscore had. Still, i see on the other side Osterwolde as CB. Muldur. Nelson Semedo is good going forward. So you need that.
but it's possible it won't be exactly these lineups, but Kante is here? Kante is good going forward. Guendouzi could also get a shot from the edge of the box. Asensio still knows some football? Talisca with the skills.
On the other side, all 4 forward looking capable to score.
And even the two midfielders can get a header.
So i see plenty of chances. Back and forth. A noise in the stadium that players won't hear each other.
Ref pointing to the spot, suffering from main characther syndrome, etc.

Let's win this game and retire

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6+ @15 i'm hunting - 100
5+ wins 1k for 145
4+ covers the investment for 145

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Might have tripped, fell, placed the 7+ for 145

>>153536700
betting 100% of your bankroll each time is pretty risky

>>153543814
he bets 110%

those fucking swedish women sold

Matches like this is why I bet 2FHG, Nottingham shut it down at 60’

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>>153549222
Celtic is the game with goals

Not gonna post my slips cause it's obviously bad luck, but i'm B.I.G on 4 to 7+

>>153549548
GL

>>153550034
u2

>>153550154
I cashed out of the multi after the 2nd Celtic goal, I don’t know why I bet on red star again

>>153551071
Good. How much you made?

>>153552101
A bit over 3x
Let’s see how many these guys can rattle in in the 2nd half of the Celtic match

>>153552511
It looks good tbr. Probably the best crowd i've seen in my life, from both sides and very positive football.

Stuttgart brings 5 men in the box at every attack and Celtic will score with the power of friendship cause otherwise they're a bit outclassed.

I had 400 on 6+ @7.80 fml

Still made profit today 600 but if the game has 5 goals and it's not enough means the staking strategy sucks

Maybe i'm still in shock. But once the regret kicks in. That it was this close for 3 more k. Feels worse than losing.
But should've put on 4+ 5+ only

>>153554910
I stagger my sizes
So if I am betting 2FHG 3FHG I do 5x 1x
So $10 2FHG $2 3FHG as an example

And not only that , at 1-4 in 59' had good cashout... 1800/2300 for over 5.5 ; instead of cashing out the goal gets stoleeeeeeeeeeeen
For offside. But i didn't see it live cause if i'd saw i'd instantly tell if it was gonna be disallowed. Instead, waited to get var'ed.
GOT
V
A
FUCKING
R'D

I think i am actually going to go insane

>>153555360
How would you bet these overs? 7+ is obviously a long shot. Means literally everything has to go in.

Ok, i think i will actually die tonight if i see that last chance in my head again. I just had a flashback with that last chance.

FML

>>153555547
That’s you 1x so I’d do
1250 RON 4+
250 RON 5+
50 RON 6+
10 RON 7+
Something like that

>>153555656
>The staking super overs strategy| pyramidal

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>>153542178
After club america,
Inter Milano @1.47 away at Lecce is a very solid bet.

Inside, my head explodes. But we need to leave the past behind, and focus on the gambling ahead of us.

Sorry for spamming the thread. I'll give it one more shot this weekend. No more overs. Winners

>Osasuna v Real Madrid @1.72
Let's take real madrid in the title race here, lads, are we retarded? Osasuna is peak platoon side, you think Mbappe and Monicius stumbble in "Catena" , Herrando, Moncayola.
0-2

winners with value*

>Moreirense v Sporting @1.30

Livingston v Rangers @1.37
visit at last place

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Tottenham v Arsenal @1.58
would be good for overs. tottenham struck by injuries and arsenal has to have the more team chemistry. Also getting equalized from 0-2 at wolves. Could , should show up here. Odegaard masterclass or sth.
Maybe gyokershit scores here 3. But Arselel looks good to win the derby

i got the largest recorded single bet win here of $41k
i own /bet/

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>Slobozia v Craiova @1.44
Tbh it's under question mark for a single reason: it's been snowing a lot in the south. What i learned is the difference between western europe and poorfag eastern europe slavs. How celtic stadium looked, how stuttgart and nottingham forest played, and then you move to Slobozia, Romania after they cleared 50cm of snow with shovels. Otherwise, Craiova clearly the most in form team atm in the league on the road at a team that has a stadium with apartment buildings behind it

>>153556555
Someone won 60k last year

Notice all 7 are away, and all 7 in the title race?

>>153556708
fuck im gonna top that this year

>>153556555
I don't bet retard parlays
Congrats tho

>>153539159
Superficial damage and blood mean nothing. Knocking a dude down or badly hurting him is what matters. Sean never hurt DDP.

Going to try cambuur, Jong Utrecht and Jong PSV matches for 4+ goals tomorrow morning.
I also have my eye on Stuttgart 2 in 3 Liga and the Gent match in Jupiler but they are scratchy picks so just small on them to get 2FHG

+6.5u betting on the 4 norwegian biathlon athletes to win and medal
Got winner @9.0
Got the medalists @3.25 and @2.15
I’m going to miss the olympics
So much value betting on the favorite not to win various events

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What's up /bet/. I'm back. I had to take a little break. That two weeks before the All Star break is always the worst time to bet NBA. But we're on the playoff home stretch now, and the trade deadline is in the rear view. Let's smash those bookies.
>Hornets +5.5
We have one of the best ATS teams getting points at home against one of the worst ATS teams. Cavs are coming off a 28 point win against the Nets last night. I like to fade teams coming off of blowout wins like this. Hornets have covered 8 of their last 10.
>Lakers -7.5
Clippers are on the back end of a b2b after beating Denver in a scrappy game last night. Lakers are supposed to be at full health tonight. Lakers are 12-5 ATS as home favs. Clippers are 4-5 ATS on 2nd night of b2b.
>Trailblazers +1.5
Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 of b2b games. Blazers are 11-7 ATS as home dogs. I just don't like the form the Nuggets have been in lately. 3-5 straight up since Jokic's return. I'll grab the points with Blazers but I think you'd be safe taking the moneyline if you want the slight plus odds.

Good luck, and don't bet what you don't have.

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high priest of /bet/, here.
remember its not really gambling if you can afford to lose it, and always chase your losses

bet365 is fucking down
right when constitution hill makes his return

>>153569501
I don't gamble. I /bet/

>>153556555
Let me tell you a story about a guy and Draftkings

is bet365 dead for anyone else? won't let me login

nvm it's back again

>>153562145
Well that sucked , Auckland Wellington over 3.5 goals @2.64 for redemption

nvm its dead again

usa vs canada gold medal hockey game tied at the end of regulation @ 4.25

Won $10k today but put a fucking mouse through my monitor like a monster sperg because I was mad at a game I eventually won. Ruined my night i had 4 hours of gaming left. At what cost

>>153567789
>portland lose by 50
Kek, doesn’t matter if you get 2/3 tho, good work

>>153556384
>4-0 club America
Good one I didn’t tail tho
I like this one for overs…maybe super overs??

Going to try the parramatta eels as an upset in NRL right now

I might start sharing tomorrow. Its a cycle for me. Make tens of thousands of dollars and the second I share its all downhill. I won $2k on that America game though

>>153580957
>4-0
Fuming i didn't bet more. Yeah, Spurs Arsenal 4+ 5+ is possible imo

>>153581090
Yeah the stars are aligning imo
Ill try the ROMAUS pyramid on it

Sydney FC are -150 and have been so fucking ass. I bet Brisbane Tie or win $800 to win $2k

>>153581140
Nevermind theyre raping em. Abort

>>153581101
Go for it. 1-3 or 2-3 maybe

>>153581224
I aint seeing any goals

>>153581227
Bear in mind, Aussie Ange has been publicly shitting on Tottenham all week saying they are too scared to take risks. Naturally, Tottenham have to go balls to the wall in a derby and lose 4-3

>>153581289
Looks promising indeed

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Easiest rack I’ll make in my life

going with dortmund road underdog even with a rotated squad. not sure if leipzig with a 50% loss rate can be trusted as the favorite against dortmund in this form.
dortmund +0.5 @ 1.8 if you really want to be safe
dortmund +0 @ 2.425 for a little fun
but dortmund moneyline @ 3.3 and now we are really talking

>>153581489
Honestly i think the Melbourne match will slurp but GL

thoughts for today

Odense v Copenhagen @1.78
they had a pretty bad season in the league and now they're almost not getting into playoff, so kind of in need of points. Odense took 4 in first half from Midtjylland so not sure how solid they are. not confident about this game to be honest, so just taking visitors to lead anytime @1.38

Real Sociedad @1.60 v Oviedo
bigger club and at home but not expecting to be a walk in the park of course. 2-1 imo, but again low stakie

Bayern v Frankfurt
you guys seen the odds for 3+ here? 1.15. not saying this game doesn't have 7 goals but these odds are a joke

Union Berlin v Leverkusen @2.40
fucking hell, it's so fucking annoying when you start to question every game if it's gonna have goals. cause otherwise they're two teams in different form. one doesn't win in 7 games, the other doesn't lose. but could be both on the scoring sheet? how many times?

cause i will tell what games can have goals
>Brentford v Brighton
i know brighton as an overs team, and brentford has been having their chances against arsenal, so they're good too. last year here: 4-2. two years ago: 0-0.

Aston Villa v Leeds
desu i'm giving the edge to villa at home, ofc, but again smells like over. except only a 2-1 isn't good for the overs.

anyways
Chelsea @1.25 v Burnley
goes on the extended acca

CFR Cluj @1.65 v Petrolul
a very slurping 1-0

>Lecce v Inter @1.50
no lautardo martinez, but i remember betting this fixture last year, ended 0-4. probably won't be the same but a hard fought 1-2 is possible.

Slavia Prague @1.44 v Liberec
have to keep an eye on them

>Konyaspor v Galatasaray @1.57
initially i didn't add them because i figured they're thinking only about the return leg in CL, but i believe they'll get the job done, and one of the main reasons i'm making this post. even if they play all the starters, or they rotate a bit. the title is still at play, and their opponents are weak. so away win is a good bet

Club Brugge @1.40 v Leuven

>Osasuna v Real Madrid @1.70
just blindly taking real madrid against a mid table laliga side. away tho

PSV @1.39 v Heerenveen
gonna be honest, could be goals, especially if PSV is without their starting goalie, but took home win for now

Benfica @1.12 v AVS
obviously haven't taken this, but if it's somehow 0-0 at the 60th min, becomes an active bet

>Moreirense v Sporting @1.30
not much to say, shitty away pitch, but Sporting is a great team and in the title race, so goes on the main acca

>Atletico Madrid @1.50 v Espanyol
taking them for being atletico at home. not underestimating espanyol. 1-0

PSG @1.17 v Metz
i parlayed atletico with it, cause it's free money, for 1.80 total

and now for 2 potential overs of the night.

>Ajax v Nijmegen
ajax is an overs team. they are all very young, so not exactly nesta maldini type of defenders, but go forward a lot at home. NEC Nijmegen, in the opposite corner, is the surprise of the season, in 3rd place with 58 goals scored in 23 games, 39 conceided. they have like 6 different players with goals with 5 or more goals. so they play positive football?
4+ is @2.20

the other one came out of no where. the model highlighted it;
> >Schalke v Magdeburg
in 2023 on veltins arena, ended 4-3. in 2025, ended 2-5. so the two previous visits of magdeburg here had 7 goals. so here both should score because of how shit their opponents are. especially that Magdeburg are battling relegation. so it's another game to consider.

obviously there are gonna be goals where i don't expect. or what usually happens is this: i take a team to win @1.50 . they go 0-2 down, then win 4-2. but when i take 6+ in game the favourites win 2-0.

>>153581730
You think how we say 3rd place final has goals? At least in football. >>153579981
What do you make of Slovakia v Finland? Over 5.5 @2 ...

These were just preliminary thoughts. A draft. Now come the starting lineups where you can confirm the bets, and also live might make more rebacks. I'm so stressed because i know what can happen now. I have 2k bankroll prepared for this weekend and might finish the day with 0. Because i'll make up these scenarios, i'll load up on those late overs or sth. So even if it goes right at the beginning, live betting is such a double edged sword that it will take me to my knees. If not today, tomorrow.

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Went 1-2 last night. The Blazers pick was just a totally bad beat, but Lakers had the spread covered the whole game until LeBron goofed it up in the end with missed layups and turnovers. We have a smaller card tonight. I like a couple of picks. Let's smash those bookies.
>Bulls +10.5
Bulls are in the bounce-back at home, double revenge game, division home dogs, double-digit home dogs and ~80% of the public is on the Pistons. These are too many profitable scenarios to pass up. Pistons probably win, but too many points.
>Knicks -3.5
Knicks are 19-10 ATS at home (21-8 straight up). Rockets have only covered in 2 of their last 10. Rockets have only covered 1 of their last 5 against Eastern conference teams. I like the Knicks in the bounce-back spot coming off of a blowout at home tonight.

Good luck, and don't bet what you don't have.

>>153588132
why’d you stop posting your “all-time” record lmao

>>153588132
taking a tanking bulls team against the #1 you are retarded

>>153588330
>>153588434
Where's your picks, little fella?

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>Pistons- 29 ATS wins
>Bulls- 25 ATS wins
>10.5 point spread
>losers who never post their picks: durr you are retarded for not taking the team that 73% of the public is on
This is why I only post my NBA picks. You faggots don't deserve my NFL and MLB picks.

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Hello and where are the heem picks for tonight pls

damn leipzig collapse but manage to hang on for the draw

>>153584238
I really dunno with that one honestly

>>153588715
Strickland by heem

>>153588132
Im doing Giddey 10 ass/ Smith 15pts/Simmons 15 pts @$27

Canada wins hockey in OT
Btts 3

how do you guys record your sports betting on polymarket for your taxes? i see so many people there making bets everyday on whatever, how are those people not being flagged as a pattern day trader or do they just not give a fuck?

>>153591500
Strickland is unreliable for KOs now, I wouldnt

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Surprise package for (You). Dubs unlock it. Time remaining: 4h 11mins

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Hint

>>153597063
Roll

>>153597063
Check em

>>153597063
Fml. One more

I don't care

Post it or don't

Come on guys let's open the surprise package before the countdown expires. Reply to the post with the pink gift to be registered into the contest. Posts that contain dubs but aren't replied to the gift post are not eligible to open the pack unfortunately.

>>153597347
You sure? Ok then....

LAFC v Inter Miami

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goals goals goals

If messi plays
On the other side son

And lafc scores with bouanga
Tbh 5+ is ok @4

>>153597063
Don’t worry Ill get dubs for ya

>>153597641
It's tough

>>153597631
Yeah looks good for goals,
MLS usually starts out slow so it’s a dangerous round to bet over goals imo.
I might try Columbus, Kansas City and New ENgland matches as well just because I can’t control myself and have FOMO

Posting to steal dubs from someone else

Wait a second

>>153597734
Tomorrow we loading on tottenham arsenal super over ?

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Stake like this 250 -> 750

>>153597063
Roll fuck it

Someone has to open this goddamn box

Some boxes are not meant to be opened

Hold on, i brought my unc to the server for the roll

Write "roll" uncle

Have you solved the captcha?

roll

>>153598364
But no, reply to the pink box.

how?

>>153598400
You click on the number....... and you just got dubs ...

Today uncle?

>>153597063
roll

>>153598464
We lost. You wasted your dubs on the previous post.

NEVER bet on wmma

>>153598000
Trips confirms,
I feel good about it

sramkova 10.00

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>>153596897
HEEM STRICKYYYYYYYY

>>153588132
lol, lmao even
nice 0-2

>>153598000
Im doing 4+ 5+ 6+ for the record, and some dumb correct scores

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>>153604902
My australia, i trust you with my life. You see, i always talk about being content with the bet. Ever since i arrived here, 7 years ago, you have been supportive of me since day 1. I mentioned in prediction, first thing, but just a thought that this could have goals. And then you confirmed it. Even more so, you say the stars are alligning and you predict this with the level of confidence high. So if we lose this, we are embarassed. Any 0-2 1-1 is horror. Over means 3+ , right bro? 3+ here covers the investment. (partial). 4+ is slight profit (+600) . 5+ is money. 6 7 cause you say arsenal win the derby 4-3. Pls let it have goals.
So what i meant to say is, if this hunch is there, and australia is making a case for it, why not take it? Why not risk the bankroll NOW? Why miss this?
Invested: 1400
3+ returns 1k
4+ returns (1k) + 1k
5+ ret. (2k) + 1.5k
6+ ret. (3.5k) + 2.5k
7+ ret. (6k) + 3.2k
Australia is the best overs bettor in this thread btw
And i wanna say another thing , /bet/
I think (You) should all bet this.
Everybody should bet this.
The odds are nice and warm. Fresh out of the oven over 2.5 @1.90 . Bet it's gonna go down. WOOOO. To 1.61. that's it's place. Like 1.57. ... 1.54
1.45
To be honest
It's 1.35
1.32
The over 2.5 correct line.
If you expect both will score.
If not, fml.

Just had an ephiphany and changed the 3+ at 1.90 into "btts or 3+ @1.56" , and instead of winning 1007, i get 826.
To cover for the 1-1 , so i feel much better now. Cause this saved me once.
So from 4+ you take it straight. But here i don't want to lose all. It's better 826 than nothing.
I aim for the stars anyway. The 5+ would be fantastic.
6 7 forget about it, obviously not gonna happen....

Cashed out the 3+/btts cause there's no point. I have 530 waiting for live.
It's concerning tottenham lineup. Who scores there? But could be a good thing. They're losing for sure. Gyokeres could get his hattrick.
4+ 5+ 6+ it is .
7+ for the stars

I just don't feel comfortable all in. Feel like my hands are tied. Like this i wait for magic at this game with 530 able to maneuver. Thinking of Gyokeres hattrick desu. A web
shots, shots on target. anytime (or assists), brace, hattrick.

>>153605150
Im trying that pyramid style so 4 goals is profit, 3 or less I lose. Its paying $3.03 which I think is pretty good.
I actually think Tottenham can win my correct scores bets have them winning.

I thought Vandy was going to ruin my Saturday the most but along came Illinois to do it again.

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>Arsenal to win at 1.5
Free money, put it with Saka for at least 1 shot on target and Gallagher to commit at least one foul to get it over 2.0

gimme more picks to fade nba coomer bitchass

>>153605672
Moment of truth laddie

This is looking dire. Arsenal could've scored 3 times and didn't, and for tottenham is impossible to score. Also the ref is a massive faggot

>saka missed 1 v 1 with the keeper
Better to not watch the game

Ball keeps creeping across the line

I don't know who i hate more. Saka, trossard or the bum with the manbun dragusin

Can't complain at 1-1 at half time. I've no idea what's gonna happen in second half

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>>153615795
I got you, buddy. Still waiting on a single pick from you though.
>Bucks +3.5
Bucks have covered and won in 6 of their last 7. Raptors are only 6-6 as road favs. Getting good value with the Bucks because Giannis is out.
>Pacers ML
Great buy low spot at plus odds for the Pacers. Mavs shouldn't be favored over anybody right now. Pacers are back home after a long road trip. They've covered in 3 of their last 4 home games. Pacers are 17-11 ATS at home (14-8 as home dogs).
>Blazers -3.5
Suns off of an emotional double OT win. They will have dead legs in the 2nd half especially with so many players out (Booker and Brookes confirmed out). Line tells you what you need to know with Blazers coming off a 50 point blowout.
>Bulls +10.5
Going back to the well. Knicks have been terrible on the road all year. On the 2nd night of a b2b and laying double-digits is a spot I want to fade. Bulls might fuck around and win this game outright if you're looking for a long shot moneyline.

Good luck, and don't bet what you don't have.

>>153621938
> Still waiting on a single pick from you though.
our picks are the opposite of yours
having a pretty good week

>>153622014
Don't run like you did last time you were talking shit and I went 4-0. Remember that?
>inb4 playing dumb
Show your face later tonight.

ROBBED

Okay, it's over. The goal that breaks the game open got stolen. I was actually expecting this.

Romania bets soccer instead of +235 Sean strickland lol

You should be constantly trawling through the books to find underdogs that will win thats how you make money on the le bets. You should know enough about what you're betting on to see the trap lines or the other miscellaneous bullshit

You also shouldn't put money on maybe. You should put money on yes they will. Thats why I typically stick to nfl and fighting because its all riggi fraudi and shits been predetermined

He literally took it off the line bruh

>betting soccer

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>>153605672
Made around 1900