Thread #61915007
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Time to profit from war edition
>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
>Financial TV Streams61905800:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
>Charts:
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https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/
>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices
>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/
>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits
>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings
>Misc:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
Previous smigger thread
>>61912920
320 RepliesView Thread
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I think WTI will skyrocket on monday. It's an oil stock and oil prices will surge due to the iran conflict.
It's also dirt cheap with cheap options.
it's close price is 2.65. And Calls that expire in april with a 3 dollar strike price only costed like 20 cents.
There's at least 14,000 open interest in some cheap calls for march 20th.
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WEEKENDFUTAS
>NDX at 24646
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>>61915030
The USA already moved their fleet there, Iran has no navy and no air support.
Israel is just making shit happen to force the USA into the mud pit.
Either way, Iran is finished, sooner the better.
Perhaps we can see the rise of Persia again and we can get a REAL ally in the middle east?
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>>61915047
can you translate the german words to english?
>>61915051
Iran is a massive country, it might not be a long war but it probably won't be over in 3 days.
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>>61915060
>Iran GDP $80 billion
>Ukraine GDP $200 billion
>USA GDP $32 TRILLION
>>61915063
Completely depends on how the civilian population reacts, which hopefully should be to burn down the government and kill all the leaders.
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>>61915060
>>61915063
I'm saying that its not going to be a war, the USA doesn't have the units in theater for a ground war. They will bomb rocks and declare victory. This already happened in June.
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>>61915071
more contracts for micron
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Crazy how the USA is basically giving china a free win by ensuring their stockpiles is empty just for israel....
Is there a worse fate for an empire? dying for a foreign nation? I don't think ith appened before. grim
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>>61915071
wym?
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>>61915081
Sure, but Iran is on the verge of civil war, USA wont be the ground troops, the civilians are, with USA air power now.
USA probably already sent missiles to a bunch of military sites we haven't heard about yet.
Iran still has internet locked down too so we can't get ground coverage easily yet, but Im sure we'll start seeing stuff shortly when people turn on their starlinks again.
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IM BALLS DEEP IN OIL BROS
YES YES YES
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>>61915007
>That’s where Israel comes in. Some White House advisers reportedly believe it would play better politically for Israel to strike first rather than the U.S., and thus force Iran to retaliate. Like Trump, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is a man with an eye on impending elections (October at the latest) is Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who makes no secret of his ambition to see the Iranian regime brought down. Netanyahu — backed by almost the entire Israeli political spectrum — is clearly champing at the bit, but aware of the danger of being seen to drag the U.S. into a potentially messy embroilment. One reason perhaps for the unusually discreet nature of Netanyahu’s sixth visit to the White House on February 11 — in through the back door, no lovefest press appearances.
>Which may also actually have been a sign that the two allies might not be on the same strategic page. Plunging Iran into fragmentation and chaos would absolutely fit Israel’s playbook, but not necessarily America’s. The two are working at cross-purposes in Syria, where the Israelis are pushing against a strong central government which the U.S. is supporting, even against its erstwhile Kurdish allies in the north-east.
>If there are two constants in the current equation, they are that the Iranian people’s disillusionment and rage against the regime will not go away, and neither will Israel’s desire to overthrow it. But if Trump does not share that goal, he will have to find a face-saving way to wriggle off the hook he has created with his ostentatious military buildup.
>The Phoney War
He's wriggling! Lot of table pounding today!
>we'll kill you!
>certain death!
>(btw ppl of iran plz rise up we've been waiting like a rly long time here and i know i can't swing an invasion domestically plz plz plz! ty)
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>>61915095
>stock pile is empty from Iran
lol
lmao
Also, China can never ever start a war with the USA.
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>>61915117
Stockpile is already nearly empty from ukraine and israel . look it up. It'll takes DECADES to replenish
>Three gorges dam meme
Yea try hitting that then get nuked. I'm not talking about a nuclear war. but China can basically get taiwan for free now you retard.
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>>61915063
Grösse = Size
Verkauf = Ask
Kauf = Bid
Änderung = Change
% Änderung = % Change
Zum Layout hinzufügen -> = Add to the layout
>>61915088
6716 or so
Now it's at 7247
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The question we should all be asking is "Will Trump do it? Will Trump use the secret reverse-engineered alien electrogravitic craft and energy weapons?"
Ground force not needed.
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>>61915121
>selling old equipment to Ukraine
>these bases are empty guys
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>>61915133
this over two years old report btw. retard
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>The U.S. military has begun “major combat operations” in Iran, U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed on Saturday.
>“Our objective is to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime, a vicious group of very hard, terrible people,” Trump said in a video message on his Truth Social account.
>defend the American people
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>>61915158
>>defend the American people
MIGAtards will unironically swallow it up.
I'm not a smart person. But if even I can see through it surely everyone can? I cannot believe there so many people who fall for this retarded crap.
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>>61915144
>literally meaningless chart oh noooo! The military just doesnt have any ammo! its over!
Imagine believing this even put a dent in what the USA military has.
A few million shells is NOTHING. ANd this is obviously the shit they had in warehouses rotting away, they didn't take it from their bases and navy.
You're literally delusional.
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>>61915167
You're so fucking retarded its unbelievable.
There's literally no benefit for us to be iran's enemy. None at all. In fact we'd be allied with them just like we are with the rest of ME. Guess who's blocking that and making us go to war for them?
Retarded bootlicker. If you were a true patriot you'd be anti-war. There's far more important issues to focus on for USA.
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>>61915169
Listen to Trump's announcement. He just said he's going to bomb the shit out of Iran, calls on all military and police in Iran to lay down their arms, and for the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow their government in the aftermath.
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>>61915178
fwiw, i think you're beautiful when you talk politics. disagree or not. you're so thoughtful and passionate, i love seeing it. not this though. you need some tempering, more restraint. i can imagine you so much better.
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>>61915007
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zGuR1qVKrU
Live cam, iron dome firing back.
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>>61915192
He’s too far gone. Propaganda is very powerful. I mean he literally can’t see the fat the US has initiated an unprovoked war of aggression for nothing against them. And he’s still. Dude they want to kill us!
Many such susceptible minds.
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>>61915228
not mad
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>>61915217
i mean, iran has been poking the bear for a long time, eventually you will get mauled. There should be no sympathy for those retards, all they had to do was mind their own business. Nobody is fucking with best korea for example.
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>>61915240
Haven't you learned to not take Trump statements to heart? this will not be a long war for the US. Mid term elections are coming.
Or have we forgotten the greenland fiasco from last month? where he said he'll take it by force if needed?
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>>61915243
>all they had to do was build a nuke asap. Nobody is fucking with best korea for example.
fixed that for you
>>61915246
I will only support a defensive war. The shit US does is not in my interests why the fuck wold i support it?
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30% of the world oil and gas go through Hormuz strait. If Egypt puts pressure on which looks inevitable in a long conflict and shut Suez. That’s 50% and other trade on top.
Within weeks global energy inputs will cripple over leveraged economies. The Americans under Biden emptied their strategic oil reserves. Stupidly. Trump complained but hasn’t refilled it. China of course has spent 20 years building vast lakes of reserves. And that’s the real point of the war. To strangle Chinas energy and ore inputs. That’s all this is. Nothing else.
This all has the setup to escalate to a global conflict if not deescalated. China WILL back Iran. It will do so using the template the Americans established over Ukraine. Sanctions for a war of aggression. China has a thousand processed commodities/inputs it can cut off to strangle whole sectors in the west in weeks. Auto. Semiconductor. Metals. Rare earths. Just one week of embargo could kill the MAG7 values. Then housing and bond crisis follow. Calls for war would ensue from radicals in the west which we have plenty of against Russia and China . You can see where all this might go. All for some fools mission of Christian Zionist brainlets in Washington and London, in league with two step thinking fools, playing empire with an American level education and DEI crew to further dilute the critical thinking and strategic planning.
It’s a fucking disaster in the making. But heaven. For gold and silver and hard assets if not controlled. Hopefully we live to spend it some day. Very few are risk assessing this properly. Trump I no longer understand. He’s cracking it seems under the pressure of all these front arrayed against him. And he’s nasty when cornered.
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>>61915249
Yeah and nobody bothered to fuck with best korea because they stay in their lane. If they had constantly antagonized between the korean war and getting a nuke, there would have been a second korean war before they got it.
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>>61915240
Trump knows an unpopular war with Iran will cost him midterms.
His (real) base (folks like vance) hate the idea. The only people who like it are FOX boomercons, who can literally be told to think anything.
This was a nothingburger strike, 3 bombs, and it has been responded to in nothingburger terms, barely anything sent back at israel.
I doubt a single person died.
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>>61915259
You think Venezuela can help that? Are you thick? That’s heavy sour crude oil from sands. That’s 20 years away and 250 billion of investment. The reserves are empty NOW. The was is underway NOW.
You see posts like this are what I mean by two step fools playing strategy. He’s commenting on a national strategic oil reserve that takes a decade to fill at least. Likes it’s a fucking paddling pool.
And has no conception of the chain of events that will follow it oil hits 200-400 dollars in an all out protracted conflict.
>But muh Trump said two weeks!
Good luck. If shit doesn’t calm down or implode by Monday. Get long some local oil and gas and metals Monday lads.
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>>61915264
AI needs energy. Cheap energy and chips. Who makes the chips. And I mean who MAKES the materials the chips are made from. Google it. And if you find a country that isn’t China on some component or input. Google who supplies that company with the refined metal or silicon or whatever. It all goes back to China. Over 90%.
China will not stand by and let itself be slowly strangled by a country it can put the lights out on economically without firing even a bullet.
They are more intelligent. More strategic. More everything. And they don’t do DEI.
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>>61915288
Bitcoin 63542 (-3%)
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>>61915282
They don’t need to. The lumbering ships are our western economies. Over leveraged. Completely reliant on the inputs of nations we are making mortal enemies.
I’ll wait for the usual ra ra Murica poster to disagree. Then we will break it down.
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>>61915278
You have to get it out of the fucking ground! Go look up and see what condition the Venezuelan oil sector is in. There’s a reason Exons CEO said he wasn’t interested in going back to trumps face at that press conference. Which made Trump sulk like a bitch of course.
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And by the way. You haven’t got anyone on the ground in Venezuela anyway!
People posting like they conquered the country. Nothing changed. They got maduro and a that’s it. They are just waiting Trump out and will go back to work with China. Want to stop that? Cool. 500k troops for 20 years. At a minimum.
Big appetite for that in the us I’m sure. And that’s just one of a potential dozen conflicts you would need to boots on the ground to secure these agendas.
This is ridiculous. It’s all a fucking fantasy. That’s what’s so stupid. None of this shit is going to happen! Forget it. You’re more likely to end up with a civil war at home if you wage these wars.
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>>61915313
my dick (IG markets)
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Bloody sar I am of warnings you!
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well donnie had a good ol run. this'll cook his goose tho.
i think he was gambling they wouldn't respond in the way they did, but they did, and now he's politcal toast.
who's the next con and what's their opinion on interest rates?
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>>61915333
Just use your head. This hopefully will deescalate. But after listening to that congressman’s speech yesterday. I think Texas. Which was so unbelievably unhinged talking about Iranians wanting to drink Americans bloods from a boot. I’m not kidding. I have to tell you. That hands on the ships helm are not steady and not sane. Get defensive until then. Or the chaos and volatility could annihilate our bags.
For years I sat through you buys making bank in tech and crypto. While I was adding through energy sector papers and defence and war game studies and trade shit. And getting a diversified commodity folio organised in preperation. Modest gains. Then 2022 hit. And I’ve watched it go parabolic. And it’s accelerating. I’ll be a millionaire soon. Multi if this shit doesn’t calm down.
So take some advice from someone who’s done the boring homework. This is a pivot moment. If this doesn’t calm down. Fast. There will be a poly crisis on every front. Stocks, bonds, energy, political internal in the west. Or just hedge a bit for fuck sake. Take 10% gold physical and keep on what you’re doing.
Lot of haters on here not happy till their bag grows and others fail. That’s gay shit. I want mine to grow and others to grow too.
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>>61915348
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I didnt buy oil yesterday
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>pessimism about length of the Iran war
The hardliners will bunker down in some region of Iran and fight a civil war against the new government that will likely spring up in the next 2 weeks.
There is plenty of chance to profiteer of this.
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I've been telling you guys to buy tankers since June.
All you had to do was buy when it turned out the "bunker busters" didn't do shit. They were always coming back to finish the job.
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FUCKING NIGGERS I THOUGHT NOTHING WAS SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN IM FUCKING RUINED
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>>61915360
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Well I'm >>61912505 back
But I'm horny again because 20% of my portfolio is RTX and NOC
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>>6191540
did he say to screenshot this post?
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>>61915367
POST YR WARFACE!
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>>61915359
erm like legit every stock has been up since jan tho
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>oil melting down
KEK BAGGIES!
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>>61915391
95% of my portfolio is RTX and 5% is cash
>mfw
but nothing ever happens etc etc priced in idk
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keeeeeeeeeeeek
https://x.com/visionergeo/status/2027680068722442398
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Eurosister here. How do i profit from the war?
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>>61915480
Your "bluechip" doubled in a single year on hopes of a full war dumbfuck, instead you have had 20 bombs dropped and a a few of irans shittiest slowest missiles fired back.
God DAYUM retail is so fucking retarded.
>BUY HIGH!
Your finances should be in the care of a government handler.
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>>61915475
Our markets opens like 7 hours before the US market. Oil, silver, golds gonna spike. If it goes on for a while defense sector and the shipping lanes closes both sea and air freights gonna go up as well as maritime defense and defense contractors as going around africa gets you into pirate land. Have fun.
Wheres yr warfaces at? I cant be the only anon with a fucking warface. Git it on faggots.
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I unironically just donated $1000 to Thomas Massie. Fuck this traitorous zogslave "president". This is financial advice.
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>>61915544
THIS
I need to sell before Monday when the war will already be over
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bros they got china on their side, the markets might not recover from this
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>>61915556
seeing a plane and taking it down are very different capabilities
>>61915550
good call imo, I personally prefer oil companies though
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God I fucking hate that child raping faggot nigger trump. Just as I was starting to get ahead, this fucking zogslave starts a fucking massive war. I'll be lucky if my folio doesn't get obliterated on monday.
total MIGA death
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>>61915556
China wants this to happen lol.
They could immediately give trump the out he is desperate for by starting some Taiwan nonsense. Any clay the could give Don he would immediately take and start making bricks with.
China wants nothing more than America getting bogged down in a retarded war over nothing, ballooning their debt/killing their currency even more, poisoning global opinion even more, taking their eyes off asia.
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Any nothinburger chudda enthusiasts itt should be thinking about the extremely unlikely possibility of Iran caving into the orange-migger man in any way shape or form. This is twice, there won't be a third time.
This is now a war of survival for them, and anybody who takes them on internally is now by definition an orange migger asset. So good luck with that.
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>>61915551
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>>61915620
Nothing ever happens.
Don thought "they say they will, but they won't, they're chicken, they wont poison their arab alli-"
And then the IRGC went full retard "mr trump saaaaar we are going to crash your beloved market with survivors" and started zerg spamming missiles at every country in a 1500 mile radius
obviously this has since changed his anaylsis. the news is saying its no surprise but it really is for him, if he continues with this the S&P will tank 25% and he will lose the election and probably become politically weekend to the point the tranny can finally throw him in jail.
so now, its called off, and nothing will happen.
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>>61915696
I know it's kinda dumb, but I think china is actually too scared of japan to really do something in taiwan
it would be smart to send weapons to iran though to slow the americans as much as possible, basically reverse ukraine
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>>61915711
In all seriousness our people seem to assess that he CANNOT do anything so soon after his purges (which I think even continued like, yesterday with the loss of someone in the position that handles taiwan ops)
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>>61915718
chinese armed forces spend half their training time studying politics instead of how to operate
they are more of a parth police force with fancy toys than a true army in the western sense (which works really well to maintain internal stability dgmw)
xi knows it very well ofc
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>>61915723
in reality the latest intel is that the us was focusing on missile production in their strikes while israel was just bombing everything.
not that hitting missile production would allow them to make the peace deal they wanted.
obviously this is fanciful on dons part, but they can at least halt strikes
rev guard did go full retard in a way he obviously didnt think they would, and he cannot politically survive them and the houthis shutting down 1/3rd of the worlds oil and the majority of the worlds shipping through suez.
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>>61915566
It's priced in. We're strongly rangebound since November and the last move Thurs/Fri was to hammer us back down to the very bottom of the range, again.
There's literally nowhere to go on Monday except up. The street will be buying looking like pic related, whether we find ourselves living in the land of milk and honey for 100 years or if WWIII actually just started. They are all just following what their little economics textbooks, and especially what their (((boomer))) bosses, tell them to do. And breaking range to the downside is NOT what they say to do.
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>>61915696
China doesn't need to invade Taiwan, considering the US trajectory they just have to wait while America gets more psychotic, unstable and untrustworthy and eventually offer a better deal to the Taiwanese elites.
Many parties there have already softened their positions in recent years.
Trump is just accelerating the process.
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>>61915834
I hope this isn't a tiny shock and awe strike like grabbing maduro. America loves shock and awe because it's not war. I'm so scared if that's the case. I'm shorting microstrategy and it's printing money.
I hope this is a special military operation that takes at least 5 years or more and 50 trillion in 2026 dollars wasted.
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>>61915566
It wasn't priced in to happen this soon, even though embassy evacuations were happening last night all across the Middle East. You doubled your money on Polymarket last night if you bet on strikes happening by March 15.
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>>61915859
Exports of crude 2024
You are retarded, other anon is correct.
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>>61915876
>UAE are american dogs
The fuck you blabbering about? They have their own foreign policy which is directly opposed to the one of KSA, which is a staunch ally of the US. E.g. they supported a rival faction in Yemen and took over Socotra.
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>>61915876
Doesn’t matter. Iranian share of global crude export is minimal. Venezuelan crude is roughly 1% of the global supply and is only refined at serious scale in China/India/the US and even then it’s pretty undesirable. It’s just funny to watch you say that Iran and Venezuela lock down the crude market lol. Do the bare minimum amount of research.
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>>61915892
yeah, sure. now let's see how that looks on the ground.
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>>61915898
>Iran holds 208,600,000,000 barrels of proven oil reserves as of 2025, ranking #3 in the world and accounting for about 11.82% of the world's total oil reserves of 1,765,151,568,000.
>The proven oil reserves in Venezuela are recognized as the largest in the world, totaling 300 billion barrels (4.8×1010 m3) as of 1 January 2014, though some believe those numbers to be inflated.
Again, it's about potential, if you still don't get it.
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Uhhh Ameribros? I don't feel so good..
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>>61915914
You don’t get. You said that the entire world is dependent on the US for oil >>61915859
Potential does not matter. Other countries export oil. There is an oil glut WITHOUT Iran and Venezuela.
God I hate retarded people so much. Kys.
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>>61915359
>tanker stocks
I've been talking about TRMD since january 2025
Then I lost interest because I figured its not gonna happen after trump's le midnight hammer
now its 60% up already
fml
still upside if strait of hormuz is closed tho
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>>61915498
Thanks sis. Any defense stocks you’d recommend?
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>>61915505
My WAR FACE
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well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well well
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>>61916006
Sell it all. Today.
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>>61915363
>he cares about normalfags
There's nothing wrong in exploiting them.
>>61915566
The Israeli shekel dumped against the dollar yesterday as different countries evacuated citizens out of the area. Gold dumped a bit today, BTC dumped more. It was not priced in.
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>>61916015
>It was not priced in.
how is that even possible? I am a retarded uneducated retail investor and I saw this shit coming from a mile away. sold everything last week. you cant tell me it all comes as a surprise for wall street, I cant believe it.
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oh no another war I'm so shocked
https://youtu.be/1T14eOUf-28?si=spg2fP7zAcqiDs6f
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>>61916040
Well yeah, it was obvious they were waiting for the Gerald Ford to reach Israel before attacking. Rubio postponing his Israel visit should have been obvious to everyone. I guess the market got fatigued from Trump's bipolar behavior and fell for the "it's just a ruse" narrative.
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>>61915007
Oil bros... it's a beautiful day for LIBERTY and DEMOCRACY...
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>>61915030
I bought april calls not my problem. Idk retards always buy 1-2 weeks out
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>>61915663
not just proxy wars
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>>61916215
Trading212 for us europoors
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> mfw demonstrated again we are the strongest and best country in the world
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>>61915688
Checked. Me too! I just need one stock! I wanna own a piece of Grok cuz she hot! And I wanna go to space! And that one stock will be legendary when my great grandchildren inherits it in the actual space age.
Also, ye of little fate! "War is already over". You need to be 18 to post here.
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where is this shit going to land on open?
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WHAR WERE DECLARED, LET'S GOOOOO
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>>61916257
$100/bbl. Maybe more.
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>>61916257
Doesn't look that extreme yet. No glue how good that site's predictions are.
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>>61916276
Oil is the most traded commodity in the entire world with over 2trillion market cap
This meme site that no one knows about isn't a good prediction at all
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He dead
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>>61916290
Yeah oil and the futures market is beyond that. Energy companies/fuel refinerys/etc arn't buying from a broker they're buying actual future contracts from actual sellers because they need actual physical delivery of oil. Currently those markets are closed. You're looking at CFD's which are different
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>>61916306
>>61916299
It might still solve to yes even if he is not dead.
>Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
>The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Meaning whales can buy up yes and just push it through UMA that based on reported rumors he is incapable of fulfilling his duties.
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